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Best bracketologists?

cubuffs85

Active Member
Every single one has their warts. If you had to recommend following one between now and Selection Sunday, who would it be?
 
I think the general consensus on Lunardi is that he's been good at picking who's in or out, but he loses points on his seeding. Which is why he's 35th.

Using the final results from past matrices, each site was graded based on a scoring system made by Paymon at PHSports. This rubric awards 3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team not seeded correctly but was plus or minus one seed line (to compensate for procedural moves the NCAA does to make the bracket). With 68 teams, a perfect score is 408. The variance section of the data table below lists the absolute deviation between each score and the mean for that particular year. Thus, a 10 point variance means that site's bracket scored 10 points higher than the average bracket that year.
Click to expand...

It's, like, statistics, man.
 
JPinCO said:
I think the general consensus on Lunardi is that he's been good at picking who's in or out, but he loses points on his seeding. Which is why he's 35th.



It's, like, statistics, man.
Click to expand...
I don't think picking the ins/outs is incredibly difficult, you get all the AQ's to begin with so you're not exactly picking 68 teams -- so it's 36 team, of which only the last six or so have any chance of not getting in. If you're a bracketologist, you really shouldn't have any more than 1-2 misses a year in the first place.
 
Going to be interesting to see if Lunardi's bracket sees some very big changes right before decision time. That way he can be accurate while being a tool for ESPN to drive their narrative!
 
what's missing form there is the time at which the prediction is compared to the actual. for example, Lunardi releases his brackets about 1/week until Feb, then starts multiple times per week. The week leading up to selection Sunday he usually publishes multiple updates per day (2 years he had VT as one of the last 4 in until SS morning's bracket release).

What '85 really wants to know is, whose the best at predicting 2 weeks out?

JPinCO said:
I think the general consensus on Lunardi is that he's been good at picking who's in or out, but he loses points on his seeding. Which is why he's 35th.



It's, like, statistics, man.
Click to expand...
 
Darth Snow said:
Going to be interesting to see if Lunardi's bracket sees some very big changes right before decision time. That way he can be accurate while being a tool for ESPN to drive their narrative!
Click to expand...

This is exactly what will happen.
 
hokiehead said:
what's missing form there is the time at which the prediction is compared to the actual. for example, Lunardi releases his brackets about 1/week until Feb, then starts multiple times per week. The week leading up to selection Sunday he usually publishes multiple updates per day (2 years he had VT as one of the last 4 in until SS morning's bracket release).

What '85 really wants to know is, whose the best at predicting 2 weeks out?
Click to expand...
Not so much that, but just good bookmarks for this kind of thing for now and future years. The bracketology is interesting, but shouldn't be taken too seriously until conference play starts, probably a few weeks into January actually.
 
Also, I noticed Lunardi hasn't updated it on the website daily, but he has on TV. Like how we went from first four in to being more comfortably in was never reflected online.
 
Jerry Palm is who I pay attention to most. Did the collegerpi site for a long time, and is now with CBS Sports. Lunardi is good to.
 
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