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Sefo Liufau (O/U thread)

22 is a great number to set that line at.

I'll go under. But only because I think the running game will be effective in the red zone this year and that without P-Rich we won't see many long touchdowns through the air.
 
Cody had 22 in 2007. Last year Sefo and Connor combined for 20. We are absolutely going to miss PRich but Sefo is going to be an improved QB all around this year, we have way better depth at WR than last year. Hoping improved running game takes pressure off passing game (better play action pass) and praying Keeney comes ready to play. Also expect the D to be better so we should have more possessions.
 
Push. There are enough weapons for him to get there and we will be behind and need to throw in some games that could inflate it.
 
Over. A year in the system will result in more possessions and more scores. We will see TE involved more as well - I can't fathom who that will be, but TE production must improve.
 
Under.

The first half of the season CU will be heavily reliant on the running game. We'll probably see Sefo come close to 22 with a lot more passing TD's in the second half of the season due to the tougher schedule and hopefully one of the true freshman stepping up as a legitimate #3 target.
 
Over. 23 would have put him 30th in the country last year in TD's (tied with Grayson from CSU, ironically...). Frankly, we need that out of him this year, so call this a hope as much as a bet.
 
Over.

We'll miss PRich but Sefo will have another year in the system, the coaches will adjust to the PAC 12 and I don't expect us to get absolutely housed by every conference opponent who isn't Utah and Cal.

Hopefully Fields is able to wrestle away that old PRich role from the others and make a big impact. Show USC what a mistake they made.


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Sefo Liufau

Under. No PRich, not enough other threats and no run game. I think 2014 is going to be rough. I expect 2015 to be dramatically better (some solid veterans, hopefully average to better oline and playmakers with a bit of experience).


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Cody had 22 in 2007. Last year Sefo and Connor combined for 20. We are absolutely going to miss PRich but Sefo is going to be an improved QB all around this year, we have way better depth at WR than last year. Hoping improved running game takes pressure off passing game (better play action pass) and praying Keeney comes ready to play. Also expect the D to be better so we should have more possessions.

I'm on board with this. I say over and my prediction is 24.
 
3 of our first 4 games should help Sefo get the over. I'll guess 23 or 24 touchdowns for the year. The good thing about having a less explosive OOC schedule is it gives him lesser defenses against which he can find the right chemistry with the younger receivers.
 
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