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Thread: Colorado Basketball Win Shares and Adjusted +/- for the last 5 seasons

  1. #16
    Numbers never lie jgisland's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffnik View Post
    I think you've got to give Dre credit for taking Ft Lewis' best offensive player, Matt Morris, out of the game. He didn't score a field goal.
    this is a problem with win shares, it doesn't actually account for "playing good defense." it is very difficult to quantify holding your opponent to zero field goals, getting a hand in a guys face, staying in front of your guy or boxing out so a teammate can get a rebound.

    so a guy like sharpe for example is probably underrated on defensive win shares, as he doesn't get a lot of boards or blocks but plays pretty good actual d. roberson could for example get lit up by his guy but get 1/3 of cu's boards a block or 2 and look statistically pretty good in def win shares.

    all that being said, win shares is the best overall stat we have.

  2. #17
    Numbers never lie jgisland's Avatar
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    Win Shares have been updated through the Wichita State game. Poor offensive efg% and poor rebounding really brought these number down this week. Where the win against Fort Lewis was statistically worth +1.3 wins, this loss was worth -1.5.

  3. #18
    Moderator Buffnik's Avatar
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    Nate led the team in minutes played, but his win share is below both Shane and Chen. Booker really needs to step up and start taking his minutes.


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  4. #19
    Hoops Moderator Goose's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffnik View Post
    Nate led the team in minutes played, but his win share is below both Shane and Chen. Booker really needs to step up and start taking his minutes.
    While I agree with that, I also have a hard time believing that Nate will play that poorly again this season. Even the people who aren't Nate fans have to admit that he was uncharacteristically bad yesterday.

  5. #20
    Evil Mod Light Darth Snow's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goose View Post
    While I agree with that, I also have a hard time believing that Nate will play that poorly again this season. Even the people who aren't Nate fans have to admit that he was uncharacteristically bad yesterday.
    Actually, I thought he was protypically nate. Your man crush on him gets more confusing every time he steps on the court.
    Quote Originally Posted by Goose View Post
    Snow's right. Listen to him.

  6. #21
    Hoops Moderator Goose's Avatar
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    No crush. He's an average PG. Nothing more, nothing less.

    And I knew that comment would draw you out.

  7. #22
    Evil Mod Light Darth Snow's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goose View Post
    No crush. He's an average PG. Nothing more, nothing less.

    And I knew that comment would draw you out.
    My hate is strong. Very strong.

  8. #23
    Hoops Moderator Goose's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Darth Snow View Post
    My hate is strong. Very strong.
    I would be disappointed with anything less.

  9. #24
    Numbers never lie jgisland's Avatar
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    Wins Shares updated through the Maryland game.

  10. #25
    Numbers never lie jgisland's Avatar
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    Win Shares updated through the Western Michigan game.

  11. #26
    Moderator Buffnik's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jgisland View Post
    Win Shares updated through the Western Michigan game.
    Interesting. With Dre out with foul trouble that game, our MVP race has shifted a lot:

    1. Austin Dufault
    2. Carlon Brown
    3. Andre Roberson
    4. Askia Booker
    5. Shane Harris-Tunks
    6. Sabatino Chen
    7. Nate Tomlinson
    8. Shannon Sharpe
    9. Spencer Dinwiddie

    Pre-season, I would have guessed the following after knowing our starters:

    1. Andre Roberson
    2. Carlon Brown
    3. Austin Dufault
    4. Spencer Dinwiddie
    5. Nate Tomlinson
    6. Askia Booker
    7. Shane Harris-Tunks
    8. Shannon Sharpe
    9. Sabatino Chen

    I'll be interested to see how this adjusts after the Air Force game. 5 games should give us a decent baseline set to the data (about 15% of the season).

  12. #27
    Evil Mod Light Darth Snow's Avatar
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    When should we start being concerned about Dinwiddie?

  13. #28
    Moderator Buffnik's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Darth Snow View Post
    When should we start being concerned about Dinwiddie?
    I'll get concerned if we don't see him step it up during the home part of the non-conference schedule, beginning with Georgia.

  14. #29
    Numbers never lie jgisland's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffnik View Post
    I'll get concerned if we don't see him step it up during the home part of the non-conference schedule, beginning with Georgia.
    I wouldn't worry too much yet, the good thing is his mistakes are because he is trying, he hasn't gone into a shell on the court and not touched the ball or afraid to throw up shots. Obviously 23% FG shooting isn't ideal, but he is still learning where and when to take his shots.

  15. #30
    Numbers never lie jgisland's Avatar
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    Adjusted +/- is updated for the 11/12 season.

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