No
Hell No
We're Kidnapping Oregon's Cheerleaders
LAST WEEK
Men
74 50
77 60
Women
69 67
62 54
THIS WEEK
Men:
Thursday, February 2nd
7:00 PM
No TV
Coors Event Center
Boulder, COWomen:
Thursday, February 2nd
8:00 PM
No TV
Gill Coliseum
Corvallis, OR
Colorado
OffenseColorado
DefenseOregon St.
OffenseOregon St.
DefenseD1
AverageeFG% 50.7% 46.8% 53.8% 51.0% 48.9% Turnover % 20.7% 18.0% 19.6% 24.5% 20.7% Off. Reb % 32.3% 28.8% 33.7% 33.6% 32.4% FTA/FGA 45.6 31.7 45.7 37.1 36.5
Men:
Saturday, February 4th
7:00 PM
ROOT Rocky Mountain
Coors Event Center
Boulder, COWomen:
Saturday, February 4th
3:00 PM
No TV
Matthew Knight Arena
Eugene, OR
Colorado
OffenseColorado
DefenseOregon
OffenseOregon
DefenseD1
AverageeFG% 50.7% 46.8% 50.9% 47.9% 48.9% Turnover % 20.7% 18.0% 21.0% 19.1% 20.7% Off. Reb % 32.3% 28.8% 31.9% 32.0% 32.4% FTA/FGA 45.6 31.7 43.4 29.1 36.5
Despite the split results for the men's team last week, we actually saw both the offensive and defensive efficiency numbers improve last week. As disappointing as the second half of the UCLA game was, I have to consider the week a success because of that. I think most of us are playing with house money at this point in the season, so every win is a bonus, but the team could still make a nice little run. I think our NCAA Tourney hopes are officially dashed now (provided we don't run the table in the PAC-12 tourney), but 20 wins and a solid NIT run is still VERY reasonable. We're at 14-7, so if we protect home court over the last four games (the Oregons and the Bay Area - which KenPom projects us going 3-1) and win the Utah and Arizona St games on the road, we'll have the 20 wins before the PAC-12 tourney.
But let's not get ahead of ourselves -- first we have to protect home court. This week we get the Oregons with the "better" of the two teams coming to the Keg on Thursday. Oregon has been getting a lot of hype lately for being the potential dark horse who could sneak into the big dance, but that came crashing apart a little yesterday when Oregon State went into the Matthew Knight Center and stole a win from the Ducks. However, that was the first win on the road in conference for the Beavers who had previously lost on the road to the Washington & Arizona schools. They're not a good team away from home, so the Buffs have to take advantage. Oregon State is a phenomenal offensive team (26th in the nation in offensive efficiency) who can play solid defense. Stopping Jared Cunningham will be key. If the Buffs can slow him down (he's averaging 18.2 ppg) and keep him off of the line (20th in the nation in FTRate), the victory should be ours. But there's a reason that Cunningham was on a lot of people's pre-season All-PAC-12 teams.
Oregon has had more success on the road than the Beavers, beating both Arizona schools and Washington State while losing to Washington in PAC-12 play. The key to beating the Ducks will be free throws. Oregon is very similar to the Buffs in the regard that they get to the line a lot and keep their opponents from doing the same. CU is 18th in FTA/FGA while Oregon is 39th. On defense, Oregon has the advantage as they're 33rd in the nation whereas CU is 72nd. This game could come down to who gets the whistles, and with the game being at the Keg, we hypothetically should have the advantage there.
There is no excuse for the women's team losing to UCLA, but at leas they got the win over USC. That's a huge win RPI wise as the Buffs went from 107th to 78th in just one week thanks to that. The UCLA loss stings, but it isn't considered a "bad" loss according to the computers. Still, 16-3 (5-3) would look a LOT better than their current 15-4 (4-4) record. RealTimeRPI.com has Oregon at 70th in the RPI ratings and Oregon State at 133rd. Apparently they don't like our performance on the road though as they currently project the women's team to go 0-2. Time to prove them wrong.
Finally, we have to give a shoutout to TZISKIN for his "You Can't Win At Altitude" chant idea. It appears that it might be catching on already as the men's team's twitter feed has already started the #YouCantWinAtAltitude tag.
Offensive
EfficiencyDefensive
EfficiencyPace Colorado 104.8 95.6 66.7 D1 Average 100.3 100.3 66.8
RPI SOS Men 71 69 Women 78 177
Also, make sure you're voting for C-Unit in the Naismith Student Section Award.
http://www.facebook.com/ILoveCollegeHoops
Need to win both of these this week. Two mediocre opponents at home, and a chance to put ourselves back in 1st.
Oregon State likes to put up some points. It should be an entertaining game
I really liked Rumblin' Buffaloes' comparison of the UCLA and Stanford games and here's my takeaway. UCLA cannot sustainably shoot 60%. An outlier like that I think is more indicative of a hot night for the Bruins rather than an indictment of the CU defense. If we're looking for the silver lining, the Buffs have a favorable close to their season, hosting the Bay schools (#YouCantWinAtAltitude), no trip to Washington, and four of nine games with an opponent named Beaver, Sun Devil, or Ute.
I'm worried about stanford and the oregon schools at home and the utes on the road.
Two mediocre opponents at home that are very similar to CU in a lot of ways. These teams cannot be overlooked and thought of as sure fire wins. Oregon St. has has some terrible losses (ASU and WSU) but they did just win at Oregon and beat UCLA and CAL at home. Oregon has won a tougher road game at Arizona and beat Stanford at home.Originally Posted by CVilleBuff
Basically what I am trying to say are these teams aren't WSU, Utah, and ASU. At this point in the season teams are getting used to conf road trips and aren't going to roll over like our previous home conf games (I would be elated if they did, but I just don't see it happening).
But are they used to ALTITUDE?
I agree these could be opportunities for the Buffs to get caught napping. Loud, involved crowds should help to keep that from happening.
On the women's side, I realize it's hard to predict based on what opponents have done against teams we are playing, but we trounced DU and DU trounced Oregon in Denver. That said, I have no idea how this team will do. Right now, they seem to do better on the road than at home, which speaks poorly about my decision to buy a plane ticket and be in Boulder when the Lady Buffs play Utah.
This has to be a big week for the women or we're talking NIT.
Yup, they really needed the sweep at home over the LA schools and obviously didn't get it. Any NCAA tournament talk has to start with a sweep this week in Oregon. Both those teams are in the bottom half of the conference standings.
Anybody worried about the weather tomorrow night effecting attendance?
This guy
Standing on the wall for Colorado Basketball since 2002.
No man wastes that many "f---s" over something he doesn't love.
For more, please visit The Rumblings of a Deranged Buffalo.
What time is the snow supposed to start?
might effect my attendance.
For all you whining about the snow...
SnowDumbassBook[1].gif
Last edited by GoBuffs!!; 02-02-2012 at 04:18 PM.
Reply With Quote
