I think Zook's out for sure. Tomey's probably done as well as one could currently with SJSU but with all things constant they may want to go in a younger direction with their coach.
To your earlier point about Fulmer: That's interesting about him and UL. I thought he may end up quietly retiring after being out of the game a year. I can't see Memphis unless he has a burning desire to coach somewhere, anywhere, and nobody else comes calling. Memphis is a terrible football gig.
I think you are right, Fulmer isn't going to take a second rate gig. He'll hold out for a decent or better BCS gig.