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College Hotline - Pac-12 football: Bowl projections and the CFP rankings (‘Just A Flesh...

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    Referenced this in the Pac-12 wrap and worth reiterating now that we’ve seen the committee rankings …

    Despite the loss to Oregon — and despite what many pundits believe — the Pac-12 (i.e., Stanford) is not out of the playoff hunt. In ‘Holy Grail’ terms: It still has one arm to swing that sword.

    The Cardinal, which dropped just four spots to No. 11, must run the table, thereby eliminating Notre Dame, and it needs chaos in the Big 12 or a Clemson loss. Or both.

    Yes, the odds are against everything falling into place, but it’s hardly a preposterous scenario.

    At 11-2, with a late win over the highly-ranked Irish and a Pac-12 title, the Cardinal would stack up well with any 1-loss Big 12 team — Oklahoma is the potential exception — and with 1-loss Clemson.

    As for the bowl projections …

    Eight teams are in.

    Two teams are out.

    Two teams are on the bubble.


    *** RECORDS, SCHEDULES AND COMMENT

    (Listed alphabetically by wins)

    Stanford
    Record: 8-2/7-1
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: vs. Cal, vs. Notre Dame
    Outlook: On familiar ground: Has lost the game before Big Game five years in a row (to Oregon, Notre Dame, USC, Utah and now Oregon). It’s recovered well enough to go 4 of 4.

    Utah
    Record: 8-2/5-2
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: vs. UCLA, vs. Colorado
    Outlook: Lack of marquee game (like Stanford-Notre Dame) leaves the Utes without the jet fuel they need to charge up the committee rankings.

    Oregon
    Record: 7-3/5-2
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: vs. USC, vs. Oregon State
    Outlook: Ducks take the field seven hours before Stanford, so they’ll watch the division title play out over dinner — if they beat Trojans.

    UCLA
    Record: 7-3/4-3
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: at Utah, at USC
    Outlook: Noted last week the possibility that UCLA wouldn’t win again. After the collapse against WSU, that prospect becomes very real.

    USC
    Record: 7-3/5-2
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: at Oregon, vs. UCLA
    Outlook: Thanks to Arizona, the Trojans are in command of the South. But goodness, it’s a difficult destiny to keep under control.

    Washington State
    Record: 7-3/5-2
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: vs. Colorado, at Washington
    Outlook: Any bowl that values ticket sales and hotel bookings — some put more emphasis on TV ratings — will have WSU high on its list.

    Arizona
    Record: 6-5/3-5
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: at Arizona State
    Outlook: All the pressure in Territorial Cup is on ASU, which must make Wildcat fans sad … so very sad.

    Cal
    Record: 6-4/3-4
    Wins needed: Eligible
    Remaining schedule: at Stanford, vs. Arizona State
    Outlook: Last chance this season to get the first victory of the Sonny Dykes era over Stanford/Oregon/USC/UCLA.

    Arizona State
    Record: 5-5/3-4
    Wins needed: Two
    Remaining schedule: vs. Arizona, at Cal
    Outlook: Arguably the toughest team in the league to predict, and I’m talking about from one series to another.

    Colorado
    Record: 4-7/1-6
    Wins needed: Ineligible
    Remaining schedule: at Washington State, at Utah
    Outlook: On a positive note: Only blown out twice.

    Washington
    Record: 4-6/2-5
    Wins needed: Two
    Remaining schedule: at Oregon State, vs. Washington State
    Outlook: Better not look past the Beavers to the Apple Cup. Actually, go ahead and look past ’em …

    Oregon State
    Record: 2-8/0-7
    Wins needed: Ineligible
    Remaining schedule: vs. Washington, at Oregon
    Outlook: No team has gone 0-9 in Pac-12 play since way back in 2014 (CU). Also, 2013 (Cal).

    *** PROJECTED ELIGIBLE TEAMS

    Stanford
    Utah
    UCLA
    USC
    Oregon
    Washington State
    Cal
    Arizona
    Arizona State

    Out: Washington, Colorado, Oregon State

    *** PROJECTED BOWLS

    Rose: Stanford
    Alamo: Utah
    Holiday: Oregon
    Foster Farms: USC
    Sun: Washington State
    Las Vegas: UCLA
    Cactus: Cal
    Wild cards: Arizona State and Arizona.

    xxxxxxx

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    by Jon Wilner
     

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