Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Daaah, Nov 23, 2008.
CU will cover....I think this is Hawk's signature game of 2008.....
I would have to take CU and the points if I was to bet.
So is Ganz injury legit? I know they are saying he'll play, but I'm wondering how much of the scheme they had to change due to Joe's injury.
For it to be a signature game they'll have to do more than cover.
Agreed.....Hawk is pissed...as is his staff. Watch what happens!
It takes him until the last game of the season to get pissed and fire up his team? If so, you guys are really screwed for many years to come! :smile2:
I hope so. I just don't think we have the horses at this point in the season.
Still panhandling on the beach? What is Bo's IQ? We know what Watson is capable of...
As a matter of fact I took out the boat today. Thanks for asking! :lol:
I know what Watson is capable of as well, leading Nebraska's offense to a 10th overall ranking! That one kinda blew up in your face.............
Anyone throw some coins your way? I hope so...would not want you to go hungry....
CU a 16 point dog is about right at this point. I should tighten up in the next few days. I say within 7 or 8.
No way...I never seen a spread change as much you suggest.....are you a Husker?
Yes, DallasBuff you are probably right on this one. But there may be variables that may change things, such as the health of the NU QB Joe Ganz and the depth at LB.
Also CU is coming along towards the end of this season too.
Coming along? I hope you are right.....it may end up a 14.5 point spread...but not 7 or 8 points.
Enjoy this one...fusker fans. Times will be changing in 09 (or 10, heaven forbid...).
Too many, I'd take the 16.
Down to -15.5 at the Greek Sportsbook.
I'd take NU
Wow 16? I figured 10 tops! I'd take CU for 16!:smile:
he is pissed....now....? two losing seasons in a row and he was still coach yuk yuk....but a question about message board a holes and now he is pissed?
I'll watch what happens. I make it a habit to watch CU's televised road games. It will take a lot more than Hawk being pissed to win this game.
Umm.. I know anything can happen, but Colorado beat Kansas State by only 1 point, and that was in Boulder.
Didn't score at all against Mizzou.
Lost to Texas A&M.
Beat Iowa State by only 4 points, in Boulder.
Lost to OSU, in Boulder.
Meanwhile, during those same weeks, Nebraska beat
Iowa State 35 - 7 in Ames.
Beat Baylor 35 - 20 (big deal :huh.
Got beat good by Oklahoma in Norman.
Trampled Kansas State.
The 15 or 16 point spread seems right to me.. but I have
the feeling Nebraska is standing up straight and is on the upswing, and Colorado is not; injuries have pretty much wrecked the Buffs for this season, in my opinion.
We'd have to be playing our worst and Colorado would have to be playing past their potential for a Buffs win.
Colorado about 21 or less - Nebraska about 49.
You're correct, anything can happen; however, since your looking back on the season, you'd note that only Mizzou up more than 39 points against the Buffs this season.
Well, what I'm trying to do is get some sense of what the trend is for each team I look at.
Right now Colorado is either languishing or licking their wounds. While Nebraska is kind of moving along, solving problems along the way. That's the overall impression I get from the two football programs.
The Buffs appear to be damaged goods at this point in their season.
We've been there. But we're not there now.
Trend? In the last game CU played, they held a far more potent offense (top ten in nearly all offensive categories) to 30 points. You're predicting 19 points more for nebraska. Anything can happen, and you can predict as you'd like, but it doesn't appear to be based on any well-informed trend analysis.
What I posted in #24 up there seems stronger than any catagory analysis, to me. Pretty bad on the road and pretty bad at home, while Nebraska has been fine on the road with the notable exception of in Norman, and fine at home in the weeks I cited for the two teams.
Not scientific of course, but more weighty than what you're saying, in my opinion. My money is with Nebraska to beat that spread fairly well, by 3 or more points.
It's all with the disclaimer for any of our predictions, of course, that anything can happen. We've seen some wicked upsets around the NCAA in recent years, with teams a lot worse than Colorado beating teams a lot better than Nebraska, and often on the "better" team's home field.
You bring up interesting point in post 24, but more careful examination should lead you to the conclusion that CU's inability to move the ball on offense was the culprit in all cases that you cite. No where does that post specify a good reason that nebraska would score 49 points. If it's a hunch, then fine, but you'll have to spell out your logic a little more clearly if it's based on something more rational.
I think the line (CU + 15 to 16) is about right.
However, during the last few decades, whenever CU has been a huge underdog to Nebraska, it has usually been a close game (duh, they've almost all been close).
I specifically recall being double digit underdogs in 1986, 1997, 1999, 2001 and winning - I'm sure there are more such instances, but my point is that I'm not awed by the point spread in this game and I see the Buffs hanging tough and covering.
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