At least, according to the rough draft. http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2014/12/16/7398531/college-football-ratings-second-order-wins Notable "Lucky" teams: FSU at #128 = luckiest team in the nation. Followed by Arizona. weird. Utah is # 4 at 125. Colorado State comes in at 116, or just outside the top 10 luckiest. Sparkles did good and got out. Notable "Unlucky" teams: STanford at #7, UMass (haha) at #6. Florida!! at #8. Pitt was #1. And of course, CU at # 5. (should have won 1.5 more times) I look at these rankings, and I wonder if these really show "luck" or are more likely to show coaching errors late in games. Because I don't think our close losses were all that unlucky. It felt like we earned them. One thing: positive "expected wins" v actual wins means the team probably improved. Progression via regression!