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How Do We Finish?

How do the Buffs finish these last five games?

  • 5-0

    Votes: 5 6.8%

  • 4-1

    Votes: 27 36.5%

  • 3-2

    Votes: 37 50.0%

  • 2-3

    Votes: 4 5.4%

  • 1-4

    Votes: 1 1.4%

  • 0-5

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Total voters
    74
sackman said:
KenPom has been pretty wrong about the Buffs for most of the year. I seem to recall he predicted losses at home to Arizona, Washington and Oregon and I think he even predicted a CU loss at USC. He may be pretty good when it comes to other schools, but he's been off the mark with regards to CU.
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FWIW, it was Vegas who had us losing to SC, I'm pretty sure Kenpom had us winning that one, if barely. Made an easy $100 on that game... if sports betting was legal outside of Vegas, of course.

We're a weird team to predict. Not statistically dominant in any area other than getting to the line, and statistically deficient in key areas (grabbing offensive boards and generating turnovers). I also think his metrics can't attribute our home court advantage effectively.
 
sackman said:
KenPom has been pretty wrong about the Buffs for most of the year. I seem to recall he predicted losses at home to Arizona, Washington and Oregon and I think he even predicted a CU loss at USC. He may be pretty good when it comes to other schools, but he's been off the mark with regards to CU.
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And while KenPom may have CU a 34% chance against Cal and a 38% chance against OSU, reality gives us a higher chance.
 
After last night, the KenPom odds changed on 3 games. Stanford is now 59% CU to win (was 58%), Cal is now 36% (was 34%) and Oregon is now 37% (was 39%). Utah and Oregon State games did not change.
 
Goose said:
After last night, the KenPom odds changed on 3 games. Stanford is now 59% CU to win (was 58%), Cal is now 36% (was 34%) and Oregon is now 37% (was 39%). Utah and Oregon State games did not change.
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I know many of you will disagree, but Cal and OSU still seem low. I think Cal is about 50% and OSU more like 45-50%. It doesn't make much sense to have basically the same % of winning in Corvallis as we do in Eugene
 
CVilleBuff said:
I know many of you will disagree, but Cal and OSU still seem low. I think Cal is about 50% and OSU more like 45-50%. It doesn't make much sense to have basically the same % of winning in Corvallis as we do in Eugene
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agreed it is not like OSU is undefeated at home. they just got swept by the washington schools at home.
 
tante said:
agreed it is not like OSU is undefeated at home. they just got swept by the washington schools at home.
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Beavs are 3-3 in Pac12 home games this year. Plus, given the way we completely outclassed them in Boulder 82-60, I think we stand a pretty good shot
 
CVilleBuff said:
I know many of you will disagree, but Cal and OSU still seem low. I think Cal is about 50% and OSU more like 45-50%. It doesn't make much sense to have basically the same % of winning in Corvallis as we do in Eugene
Click to expand...

Definitely agree on OSU. I honestly think we should be favored there. As for Cal... I just don't know. That game scares me.
 
Bears dont do well at altitude.
[video=youtube;AavX0lgrWNk]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AavX0lgrWNk[/video]
 
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

Nothing new to report, although at least we're being mentioned. Keep winning down the stretch and we'll have a chance for things to break our way. CSU and Wyoming aren't even being mentioned from the Mountain West, and Arkansas and Ole Miss got the boot from the SEC. Minnesota @ Northwestern is basically an elimination game tomorrow.
 
4-1. Boulder is going to be a snakepit for Furd and Cal, and I think Boyle is gonna show just how good he is.
 
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