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Lunardi: Colorado 20% chance of making the Dance

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by GoBuffs!!, Jan 11, 2012.

  1. GoBuffs!!

    GoBuffs!! Active Member

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  2. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    After last year, the bubble can go **** itself. It's AQ or bust for me.
     
  3. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    splitting this road trip would go a long way to reaching the dance.
     
  4. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    More than fair at this point.
     
  5. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    pretty high imho.
     
  6. TZISKIN

    TZISKIN Well-Known Member

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    Yep, if we can split this weekend the discussions will start to heat up for sure.
     
  7. Nor Cal Buff

    Nor Cal Buff Well-Known Member

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    Is that 20% as an at-large or does it include our chance of winning the P12 tournament? If just at large, it's too high IMO.
     
  8. JimmyBuff

    JimmyBuff Well-Known Member

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    Haven't won a road game yet against a good team. You need to make the tourney.


    Need a win at Stanford, Cal or Arizona.
     
  9. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    StatSheet has us as a 12 seed being one of the last 4 teams in. They have the PAC-12 with 3 bids (Cal, CU, Oregon).
     
  10. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Nice. Always fun to see things like this, regardless of last year's bull****. Let's avoid Mississippi State at all costs though, if you think Stanford gave us trouble in the post...:lol:
     
  11. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    I don't think a split is enough, I think to honestly be in the tourney discussion you have to beat UCLA, they have an RPI of 139 (which is 10 lower than Air Force at 129).
     
  12. pachoops

    pachoops PacHoops Blogger

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    This. UCLA has played itself out of relevance. Think about it, an RPI of 139 doesn't even get them into the proposed uber-March Madness with 124 teams. Sweeping in LA would be huge for the Buffs from a "let's take them seriously" standpoint. Splits are for hopefuls. Sweeps are for contenders.
     
    Darth Snow, Goose and jgisland like this.
  13. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    If we sweep, do we get coffee? Is coffee for sweepers?

    BTW, about damn time you started posting here.
     
  14. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Sweep puts us in a good position to put ourselves all alone in 1st when we beat Oregon next Thursday. Cal/Stanford and Zona are going to beat each other up this weekend.
     
  15. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Not gonna sweep, but agree with analysis that for a shot at a prayer, we need it.
     
  16. BehindEnemyLines

    BehindEnemyLines beware the habu Club Member

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    After last year, I don't even want to hear the word "bubble". I'm still having nightmares because of that word.
     
  17. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    15% chance of sweeping this week using kenpom's win probabilities. I bet we are a 5/6 pt dog @ UCLA.
     
  18. Daaah

    Daaah Club Member Club Member

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    Hey. Another San Francisco buff. Hurray.
     
  19. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    San Francisco Wildcat. For those that don't know, Adam runs the allsome blog PacHoops. Because of his blog, we'll overlook his Wildcat blood.
     
  20. Daaah

    Daaah Club Member Club Member

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    We will?
     
  21. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    It's easier to overlook when you have scoreboard on your side.
     
  22. Junction

    Junction Moderator Club Member

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    That would be a lot easier to do with an Arizona cheerleader pics thread...
     
  23. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    does Kenpom or anyone do a theoretical final RPI based on what your record should be? I think our RPI is pretty good right now, but will continue to drop as we play more in conference games since the conference itself is so weak.
     
  24. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    RPI forecast does this, CU's RPI is 62 right now, expected RPI is 87. They have CU going 5-7 the rest of the way.
     
    tante likes this.
  25. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    they have our current record at 11-6, but it is updated through 1/23/2012. something is not right.
     
  26. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    Only counts DI games, Fort Lewis and NO don't count.
     
  27. TZISKIN

    TZISKIN Well-Known Member

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    if we are talking NCAAT hopes... we definitely need to sweep this weekend. If we get swept, obviously we are done, period. I'd start to get nervous about an NIT bid at that point, but I'm sure we'd get there. Bottom line is this, these games remind me of last year's losses to Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech on the road, which hurt us big time last year and put us on the bubble. You want respect, you beat bad road teams. We need these wins.
     
  28. Ruckus

    Ruckus Peep my words. Club Member

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    If we lose thursday we are done. Losing saturday would not be good, but it would make it much much more difficult. I'm expecting NIT.
     
  29. RK

    RK UBL Club Member

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    I was watching "The Experts" today and they talked about the Pac 12 for a good ten minutes and I swear to you the word Colorado was not said once. I almost ****ing smashed my tv. I was so mad that I turned my tv off and went to class 15 minutes early.
     
  30. pachoops

    pachoops PacHoops Blogger

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    First of all, be easy on my Wildcat roots for the following reasons:

    1) I'm still a basketball fan and grossly appreciate things like Carlon Brown's block at Cal (chime in if you saw it) and most of the things Andre Roberson does and can/will be.
    2) One time I went to Boulder and it was awesome.
    3) As a new member of the Pac-12 and not being named Arizona State, I'm pulling for ya!
    4) Come on, can't deny that's a pretty legit little program Lute pieced together down there
    5) I know you don't have a problem with this.
     

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