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O/U Point Differential for 2014 Season -16 pts

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by boydbuff, Aug 20, 2014.

  1. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Lots of people (including all the Rivals guys) are saying CU will be more competitive this year. To me, the best single metric to assess this is point differential.

    2013 we averaged 22.4 pts per game and gave up 42.5 pts per game yielding a point differential of -20.1. Of course we do not play 2 FCS teams this year.

    I am setting the O/U at -16

    What do you guys think?
     
  2. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    I like this idea haven't looked at the overall SOS but a measurable improvement in this stat is key even with only playing 1 faux FCS school this year vs last. Lots of people site the terrible early seasons by Mac but this state was telling back then.
     
  3. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Again, I am completely on board that this staff is taking us in the right direction and believe we will continue to be more competitive every year and that a bowl game is close (if not this year, than next).

    I think this year we see many more quality teams stressing well into the 2nd half against CU, keeping their starters in longer than last year. I believe our D will play better, especially due to a strong DB group and our Offense will play better based on Sefo having another year in the system and it appears we will have improved OL and RB play too.

    So I am going to say the point differential will actually be -14. That would represent a 6 point reduction over last year. And HCMM's 1st year, had a reduction of 5.5 over the previous year with Water Bottle (16.9 for and 42.5 against).
     
  4. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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  5. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    According to Team Rankings, our 2012 season with Embree resulted in an average points for CU at 16.9 and average points for opponents at 42.5. 42.5-16.9=25.6.

    In 2013, our differential was -20.1 which is 5.5 points less than Embree's 2012 season.
     
  6. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    well you are the author of the linked post, it has different numbers than this so ergo 1 must be incorrect
     
  7. BuffClass90

    BuffClass90 Banned BANNED

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    mdelpizzo_1 My Dixie Wrecked Club Member

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