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Official RPI Watch 2014-15

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Buffnik, Nov 13, 2014.

  1. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    A team's RPI is a sum of three values: 25% of the team's winning percentage, 50% of its opponents' average winning percentage (strength of schedule), and 25% of its opponents' opponents' average winning percentage (opponents' strength of schedule). Only results against teams which are in NCAA Division I are counted in all of these winning percentages.

    Since December 2004, the 25-50-25 ratio was adjusted so that all road wins are treated as 1.4 wins, all road losses are treated as 0.6 losses, all home wins are worth 0.6 wins and all home losses are valued at 1.4 losses. Games at neutral sites still count as 1.

    ***************************

    We won't do much to start tracking standings and position until there's at least a month of data, but I wanted to get this posted. This year, I'll use http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/rpi/ for the RPI ranks. There is usually a bit of variance between that, realtimerpi, ESPN and other sources but they're usually pretty close.

    To make the Dance, CU basically needs to be in the Top 40 for us to feel pretty good about an at-large berth.

    CU OpponentRPIResult(s)
    Drexel (H)258W
    Auburn (H)107W
    Wyoming (A)76L
    Air Force (H)273W
    Lipscomb (H)251W
    San Francisco (H)169W
    Georgia (A)40L
    Colorado State (H)20L
    Northern Colorado (H)240W
    DePaul (N)176W
    George Washington (N)39L
    Hawaii (A)206L
    UCLA (H, A)75W
    USC (H, A)126W
    Utah (A, H)7L
    Arizona (A, H)11
    Arizona State (A, H)150
    Washington (H, A)78
    Washington State (H, A)125
    Cal (H)113
    Stanford (H)38
    Oregon (A)88
    Oregon State (A)105



    CU Recordvs Top 50vs 51- 100vs 101-200vs 201+
    9-60-41-14-04-1

    CU non-conference SOS60
    CU overall RPI71
     
  2. L Buff

    L Buff Commissar of the Albuffs Collective Left Club Member

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    Never too early, eh? :thumbsup:
     
  3. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    It makes it easier if I keep track of this stuff as we go along.
     
  4. BehindEnemyLines

    BehindEnemyLines beware the habu Club Member

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    Until you go on vacation. The bball tracking will go to pot but on the bright side, we're likely to pick up a commit or two.
     
  5. hokiehead

    hokiehead Gobbler on the Mountain Club Member

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    I'm know I'm pedantic, but in the RPI definition you might include the scaling factors for home and away.

    edit: n/m had to keep reading
     
  6. Tractor

    Tractor Club Member Club Member

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    This has become my favorite thread of the year, even above the barzil <allbuffs>vision [redacted pics] threads.
     
  7. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Aside from Diamondhead, which we all know is crucial….

    Drexel, Auburn, Wyo, San Fran and CSU is the silent key to our RPI being sneaky good if these squads can avert disaster and be competitive.
     
  8. PuebloBuff

    PuebloBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Thanks in advance to 'nik and cville and whoever else I'm leaving out for all the work that gets done in this thread every year. Here's to Wyo not losing their best players to knee injuries and bar fights, to little brother helping out after we've played them, to the zoomies returning to sneaky respectability and to all the teams on our sked being competitive but not competitive enough to beat us.
     
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  9. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Wyoming, CSU & Drexel I'm not worried about. And I think Auburn could be sneaky good this year. Not good enough to dance, but good enough to finish middle of the SEC.
     
  10. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    I'm 100% with you on Auburn. They'll have their nights where the shots fall (again, I love KT Harrell). They'll be mid-tier SEC. On the flip side, Georgia needs to live up to expectations and not descend into being like 6th in SEC instead of 3rd.
     
  11. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    It's gonna be interesting to see how Georgia handles expectations.
     
  12. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    E Washington blew out TX Southern this morning. Slight bump for Pac-12 RPIs since both Cal and Washington will play EWU this year. Every little bit helps.

    For CU, the conferences we want to see doing very well in the non-conference (other than the Pac-12) are the SEC and MWC. We've got 2 SEC teams on our schedule and 3 MWC teams.
     
  13. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Friday, 11/14, games we care about (all times Mountain):

    5:00 pm -- Georgia at Georgia Tech, FULLCT/ESPN3
    5:00 pm -- Grambling State at George Washington, NO TV (GWU is a likely Diamondhead opponent)
    6:00 pm -- Mt. St. Mary's at Arizona, PACN
    6:00 pm - Air Force at Army, NO TV
    7:00 pm - New Mexico St at Wichita State, ESPN3 (WSU is possible Diamondhead opponent)
    7:00 pm - Black Hills St at Northern Colorado, NO TV (non-D1 opponent for UNC, so won't affect RPI)
    7:00 pm - Berry at Lipscomb, NO TV (non-D1 opponent for Lipscomb, so won't affect RPI)
    8:00 pm - Ball State at Utah, PACN
    8:00 pm - Chicago St at Arizona State, PACN
    8:00 pm - Alcorn St at Cal, PACN
    8:00 pm - Rice at Oregon State, NO TV
    8:00 pm - Washington State at UTEP, NO TV
    8:00 pm - S Carolina St at Washington, PACN
    8:00 pm - Milwaukee at Auburn, ESPNU
    8:00 pm - UIC at DePaul, NO TV
    10:00 pm - Montana State at UCLA, PACN
    10:00 pm - Wofford at Stanford, PACN
    10:00 pm - Coppin St at Oregon, PACN

    The Auburn game at 8pm on ESPNU is the DVR game to make sure you get to watch it ahead of our game with them in the Tip Off Marathon next week.

    PACN is supposedly doing a live look-in format tonight with all these games, similar to the way CBS used to broadcast the NCAA Tournament back when we had 4 channels + UHF. Should be fun.
     
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  14. wyobuff

    wyobuff Well-Known Member

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    If Wyo & lil brother are good, SDSU & UNM are going to be strong this year as well. those teams beating on each other and stealing wins will be a solid boost to our rpi
     
  15. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    We definitely need a strong showing in the OOC by the MWC to boost the resumes of AFA, WYO and CSU. That's 25% of CU's non-conference RPI.
     
  16. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Losses: Georgia, AFA, Wazzu

    Wins: GW, Arizona, Wichita St, NoCo, Lipscomb, Washington, Oregon State, Cal, ASU, Utah, Auburn, DePaul, Oregon, UCLA, Stanford
     
  17. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    ****ing Georgia.

    Auburn not helping either right now.
     
  18. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Auburn 8-0 run. 4 point game.
     
  19. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Washington may be better on the interior that I thought (and I was high on them). Not a very representative opponent, but Kemp went 17/6 and Upshaw added 14/6 with 7 blocked shots.

    Watch out for them this year if their front court keeps playing well.
     
  20. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Jarreau (the guy we couldn't remember at the Horse) was good too.

    You may be right about them.
     
  21. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Mason and Harrell could give us fits.

    I'm never going to overlook a Pearl team, year 1 or not.
     
  22. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Auburn tops Milwaukee 83-73

    DePaul tops UIC 72-71

    Wazzu falls at UTEP 65-52

    Cal, Washington, ASU beat cannon fodder easily.

    Oregon St 67-54 over Rice
     
  23. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Auburn and DePaul got wins that didn't look like they were gonna go our way.

    Surprise of the night so far: UCLA looks really good. Like, potentially elite good.
     
  24. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Harrell (20), Mason (19), Bowers (18) are Auburn's 3 headed monster.

    Ross-Miller dropped 13 off the bench.

    Auburn was 50 percent from 3 tonight.

    However, they relentlessly attacked the basket late and that isn't going to fly against us. We can kill these guys in the post, but we're going to have our hands full in the backcourt.
     
  25. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    UCLA slaughtering Montana St, same for Oregon over Coppin St.

    Stanford grinding out a win over Wofford.

    Saturday:

    Air Force (0-1) vs The Citadel (0-1) (at West Point, NY): Air Force simply has to win this one.

    Colorado St vs Montana: Montana is down, CSU should win with relative ease.

    USC vs Portland St: Portland St is an upper half Big Sky team, but a USC loss would be a major setback for Enfield's rebuild.
     
  26. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Ohio got its win earlier. Be great to see them win a bunch so that we don't have to care whether we get Ohio or GW in the 2nd round of the Diamondhead.
     
  27. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    CSU game is on Root for those in the area. 8 tonight.
     
  28. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Air Force up 8 on Citadel late. Need this one.
     
  29. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    AFA wins by 13.
     
  30. cmgoods

    cmgoods Olympic Sports Mod Club Member

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    Anyone think that my school, Georgia State, can beat Iowa State on Monday?
     

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