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Open as 7 point favorites vs. Wyoming

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Nor Cal Buff, Sep 13, 2009.

  1. Nor Cal Buff

    Nor Cal Buff Well-Known Member

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    ...at home. How far we've fallen. :(
     
  2. Sexton Hardcastle

    Sexton Hardcastle Club Member Club Member

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    I'm surprised we're the favorites
     
  3. 2HellNback

    2HellNback Well-Known Member

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    I honestly would bet Wyoming and take the points... Last week I said it, but didn't really mean it... Today, I think I really mean it.
     
  4. Nor Cal Buff

    Nor Cal Buff Well-Known Member

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    Perhaps we should all bet Wyoming moneyline and if they win, contribute it to the Hawk buyout fund.
     
  5. rynobuff

    rynobuff Club Member Club Member

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    This proves how great a job Hawk is really doing. Favorites in our first 3 games of the year :smile2:
     
  6. Timbuff10

    Timbuff10 Member

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    So when we get blown out, does that prove how bad he is doing?
     
  7. CarolinaBuff

    CarolinaBuff Weekend Poster Club Member

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    It furthermore shows how much this team is underachieving. :huh:
     
  8. BuffNut99

    BuffNut99 Club Member Club Member

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    Vegas isn't stupid. In fact, they're really, really smart.

    This shows that they're just as confused about the team performance so far as anyone.
     
  9. Mick Ronson

    Mick Ronson Well-Known Member

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    objectively speaking, it's a good bet.
     
  10. Nor Cal Buff

    Nor Cal Buff Well-Known Member

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    "Vegas" likely doesn't have info as good as many here with inside info. Here is how sports betting works:

    Online book bookmaker.com throws out an opening number with extremely low max bets. They don't have to be very good because they won't get hurt by people who can only bet $100 at a time.

    Sharp bettors who have computer models come in and move the line. Limits get raised. Line moves again due to sharp bettors who were waiting for limits to get raised. Rinse and repeat on a weekly basis.

    This is the market's best interpretation of CU's performance so far but I don't think that they fully realize the scope of the problems here. As well, the sports betting market is generally too slow to adjust to teams being really awful. So while we may cover, I think this line is far too high, something that is rare as the sports betting market is generally fairly efficient.
     
  11. Nor Cal Buff

    Nor Cal Buff Well-Known Member

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    Should add that online is more efficient than the Vegas casinos for a variety of reasons. The Vegas casinos are close to obsolete when it comes to setting a line and the amounts wagered on games.
     

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