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Reasonable expectations for the rest of this year

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by SBG, Oct 15, 2013.

  1. SBG

    SBG Formerly known as EFNMB Club Member Junta Member

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    In this thread people will only post reasonable expectations for the rest of this year.

    I keep seeing people saying that of course we aren't going to get 4* and 5* players recruiting. Obviously. Or that it was obvious we weren't going to be able to hang with UO or ASU.

    Oct. 19
    CSU
    BOULDER
    OCT. 26
    ARIZONA (HC)
    BOULDER
    Nov. 2 at UCLA Los Angeles, Calif.
    Nov. 9 at Washington Seattle, Wash.
    NOV. 16 CALIFORNIA BOULDER
    NOV. 23 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BOULDER
    Nov. 30 at Utah
    Salt Lake City, Utah


    Against CSU I expect a W quite handily, but I am worried. Much like the first CSU, the second CSU sees this as an opportunity to upset a bad BCS team. Sefo to Prich for 200+ yards.

    Outside of this week I'm expecting blowout losses to UCLA and UDub. The games will get out of hand very early and we will be playing scrubs in the 3rd.

    I expect a 20 point loss against Arizona. I think the game gets out of hand in the mid-3rd quarter, but I'm hoping we can contain Carey. That dude ran for like 1000 yards against us last year. Stack the box and if we get beat in the air so be it. I'd love for us to be within 10 going into the half. Defeatist attitude? Unfortunately, yes.

    Cal can't put up points, but neither can we. As of now I'd say we have about a 40% chance of winning at home. We will only win this game if PRich has a good game. There's no way around it. He's our only true playmaker and if he doesn't have a good game we'll lose.

    SC may be deflated by the time they get here, but they are stacked with a nasty OL and a 3 headed RB monster. That defense is still pretty damn good. They put up 41 against ASU in Lane's final game. There's no reason to expect a W, but if we get inclement weather and can stop the run I don't expect a thrashing. Hopefully this is entertaining and they are decimated by the time they get here. Can't predict a W or an L, but expecting a L.

    Utah. They are good. Took OSU to OT, lost by 7 to UCLA, beat Furd all at home. They go on the road, but unless they get hit by the injury bug this is going to not be pretty. We lose by 24 points.

    On the field of play:
    1. We are giving up 530ypg on defense. We aren't always playing the 1s either. If we can lower this by 70ypg that'll still put us around 100/125, but we are at 122/125. Dreadful.
    2. We need to have fewer penalties. CU ranks #62 in penalties at 6 per game. This is only slightly better than last year's 6.2 penalties per game. When we do play teams that we can beat we have to minimize penalties to have a chance at beating them.
    3. We are averaging 1.5 sacks per game. I want to average 2 sacks per game, but if we can even get 1.75 sacks per game that'd be an big improvement.
    4. We are #117 in 3rd down efficiency on offense at 29.94%. I want to finish 37% or so in our remaining games (about #80ish)
    5. We are 5/12 in RZ offense. That % isn't bad, but the number of RZ attempts is very low. I think expecting 3.5 RZ attempts per game should be expected if we want to show progress. Hopefully Sefo can get us into the RZ more, even if we aren't converting and have to settle for fgs.

    It's late, but I'm sure we could analyze this more in depth.


    Recruiting:
    We aren't doing well and there's no expectation of getting better. Unfortunately, we will rank 12th in recruiting to finish. Hopefully they have an eye for talent, but as WR said in another thread other coaches depend on recruiting so it's hard to find 18 diamonds in the rough. This is one area we have to improve and soon. I don't know if MM's 3rd recruiting class can get any better if we suffer from yet another year of beatdowns.

    We land 2 more high 3* players.

    For next year:
    Our guys pack on more muscle. We are tweeners. Let's put some bigger bodies on the field.
     
  2. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Oct. 19: CU 27 CSU 17
    Oct. 26: AZ 35 CU 20
    Nov. 2: UCLA 52 CU 17
    Nov. 9: Washing 48 CU 14
    Nov 16: CU 20 Cal 17
    Nov 23: USC 42 CU 21
    Nov 30: Utah 38 CU 24
     
  3. buffedup

    buffedup Cooler than a Popsicle Stand. Club Member

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    Doooommmm!!

    I guess I just don't see the point of the "in depth" analysis, while I'm sure others will appreciate it. I say let the coaches coach and the players play. MM inherited a dumpster fire, and if you didn't see this coming, then you are willfully ignorant or just plain ignorant. This year was going to be rough and we knew it, and there isn't a whole lot that MM can really do about it yet. He just hasn't had enough time. We aren't even halfway through year 1 of the MM era and people are ready to jump off of a cliff.

    I hope we get to 4 wins this year, and definitely think we should have 3 which is exactly what I was calling for before the year started. I hope we can get to a bowl next year.
     
  4. Yellow Shirt

    Yellow Shirt Club Member Club Member

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    A win this weekend, and then one game echoing last year's WSU'S game. We won the two we needed to win. They added a third for this weekend. The rest of the year was not supposed to be about winning, but figuring out how to not to get rolled. Still working on that last bit. Losing Bak to the draft was tough.
     
  5. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    5-7

    Win this weekend and then win against either Arizona or California


    Sent from a red light
     
  6. Alfred91

    Alfred91 Club Member Club Member

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    I'm not giving up hope entirely, but other than the game this weekend, I don't see a game I could reasonably chalk up a win for.

    Likeliest candidates are (in order): Cal, UA, $C, Utah. No chance against UCLA or UW. Probably not against $C or Utah, either.
     
  7. jwhite17

    jwhite17 Member

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    I think we can compete with every team at home minus USC because of their talent level is so higher than us and no Kiffin underachieving coaching.

    As for the games on the road, I would be happy if we were competitive for a half against any of those teams including Utah. It seems that once we give up a touchdown or two in the first five minutes that our guys give up, adn the game gets out of hand with offense going three and out putting more stress on our defense (see ASU winning 47-6 at half). We aren't that bad as that. I hope the coaches do something to change it. I know we don't have much talent, but we shouldn't be getting absolutely destroyed.

    I think we can beat CSU and Cal and possibly Zona if we contain Carey, but that's it. I don't expect us to keep it within three touchdowns against either Wash/UCLA/Utah, but at least be somewhat competitive and not look like a D1AA school out there. If we can win 3-5 games this year, that would be a great improvement and a lot to look forward to next year. I'm hoping Sefo can be more dependable than Wood, but i expect some growing pains, but it will serve him well for next year's team.
     
  8. letsgoavs192

    letsgoavs192 Well-Known Member

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    I live in AZ and will be there for the u of a game (I'm a Buff fan). I'm going to say the same thing about u of a that I said about Oklahoma before their game against Texas this weekend. Anyone who plays them and refuses to let them run the ball will have a good chance to win. If we just say "we aren't letting Carey beat us" there is no reason we can't hold them to 24 points. Which means we have a chance.
     
  9. lawdogg

    lawdogg Club Member Club Member

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    Do you consider mathematics one of your stronger subjects?
     
  10. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    CSU- W
    Arizona-L
    UCLA- L
    Washington- L
    Cal- W
    USC- L
    Utah- L
     
  11. buffedup

    buffedup Cooler than a Popsicle Stand. Club Member

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    :rofl:

    Tini is too focused on driving to really put his formidable math skills to use.
     
  12. J.R. Ewing

    J.R. Ewing Club Member Club Member

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    That's what I'm hoping for. Giving my expectations at the start of the year, that would actually we quite satisfying. If we could be competitive in some of those losses, that's gravy.
     
  13. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    :lol:

    4-8
     
  14. BuffUp

    BuffUp W.T.T.F. Club Member

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    No major injuries. Recruit. Try to win a game, at least 1 more. Hear from our AD, he sure is stealth like.
     
  15. leftybuff

    leftybuff Iconoclast Club Member

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    Charleston should be a win. Cal probably, but beyond that, I do not see any other wins unless CU gets a bunch of breaks (i.e. turnovers, pick 6) in a game against AZ, or maybe Utah or SC. Looks like a 3-9 or 4-8 finish. That said, it is actually an improvement and something to build on. That sentence alone tells you how badly CU FB has been damaged by the "leadership" of BB, Dr. Phil and MB.
     

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