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StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 03/05/2012

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Colorado as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament, but on the outside looking in. The Buffaloes are ranked #82 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-11 overall record and an 11-7 record in the Pac 12.
During the last four games, Colorado registered a quality win against RPI #37 California but also hit a setback with losses to RPI #52 Oregon and RPI #98 Stanford and a bad loss to RPI #153 Oregon State.
Colorado struggles against strong competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Buffaloes have a single quality win against RPI #37 California, they're also weighed down by three bad losses including RPI #153 Oregon State, RPI #103 UCLA, and RPI #109 Maryland.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (19-11, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #55).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #68), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #76), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #89).
The next four out are Colorado (19-11, 11-7 Pac 12, StatRank #80), Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #76), St. Joseph's (PA) (19-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #50), and Xavier (19-11, 10-6 A-10, StatRank #54).
[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East91656.2%
Big Ten71258.3%
ACC61250.0%
Big 1261060.0%
SEC51241.7%
Mountain West4850.0%
Pac 1231225.0%
Missouri Valley21020.0%
A-1021414.3%
C-USA21216.7%
West Coast2922.2%
Southland1128.3%
Big South1119.1%
Sun Belt1128.3%
Horizon11010.0%
MEAC1137.7%
Patriot1812.5%
WAC1812.5%
America East1911.1%
SWAC11010.0%
Ivy League1812.5%
Atlantic Sun11010.0%
Big Sky1911.1%
Summit League11010.0%
CAA1128.3%
Ohio Valley1119.1%
MAC1128.3%
MAAC11010.0%
SoCon1128.3%
NEC1128.3%
Big West1911.1%


Originally posted by Fight CU
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