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StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Six Seed: 01/28/2013

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is now projecting Colorado as a six seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Buffaloes are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #30 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 14-6 overall record and a 4-4 record in the Pac 12.
During the last four games, Colorado looked solid with wins against California, Stanford, and Washington State but also dropped one against RPI #71 Washington.
Colorado is sub-par against strong competition, with a 5-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Buffaloes have two quality wins including RPI #22 Colorado State and RPI #34 Baylor with no bad losses.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Maryland (15-5, 3-4 ACC, StatRank #65), Memphis (16-3, 5-0 C-USA, StatRank #50), Rutgers (12-7, 3-5 Big East, StatRank #54), and Arizona State (16-4, 5-2 Pac 12, StatRank #58).
The first four teams out are Alabama (12-7, 4-2 SEC, StatRank #69), Brigham Young (16-6, 6-2 West Coast, StatRank #48), Bucknell (17-4, 4-1 Patriot, StatRank #43), and Kentucky (13-6, 4-2 SEC, StatRank #70).
The next four out are Florida State (11-8, 3-3 ACC, StatRank #69), Iowa (13-7, 2-5 Big Ten, StatRank #82), Charlotte (16-4, 4-2 A-10, StatRank #51), and Wyoming (15-4, 2-4 Mountain West, StatRank #55).
Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Butler
#4Gonzaga
#5Cincinnati
#6Colorado
#7Creighton
#8Georgetown
#9Baylor
#10Iowa State
#11Pittsburgh
#12Arizona State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Akron
#15Harvard
#16Davidson
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Kansas
#2Florida
#3Kansas State
#4NC State
#5Miami (FL)
#6Marquette
#7Oklahoma
#8Illinois
#9Belmont
#10La Salle
#11San Diego State
#12MTSU
#13Maryland
#14Lehigh
#15Long Beach State
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Michigan
#2Indiana
#3Michigan State
#4Ohio State
#5Ole Miss
#6Missouri
#7VCU
#8UNLV
#9Colorado State
#10Oklahoma State
#11Villanova
#12Rutgers
#13Memphis
#14Stony Brook
#15Montana
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2Louisville
#3Minnesota
#4Oregon
#5New Mexico
#6Notre Dame
#7Wichita State
#8UCLA
#9North Carolina
#10St. John's
#11Wisconsin
#12Southern Miss
#13Stephen F. Austin
#14Valparaiso
#15Northeastern
#16Western Illinois
#17NCCU

[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams		Conf
Teams		Pct in
NCAA
Big East101662.5%
Big Ten71258.3%
Big 1261060.0%
Pac 1251241.7%
ACC51241.7%
Mountain West4850.0%
A-1031421.4%
SEC31225.0%
Missouri Valley21020.0%
C-USA21216.7%
Patriot1812.5%
Big South1119.1%
West Coast1911.1%
Ivy League1812.5%
Ohio Valley1119.1%
SoCon1128.3%
Big West1911.1%
WAC1812.5%
MAC1128.3%
Atlantic Sun11010.0%
Sun Belt1128.3%
Big Sky1911.1%
MAAC11010.0%
CAA1128.3%
NEC1128.3%
SWAC11010.0%
Southland1128.3%
America East1911.1%
Horizon11010.0%
Summit League11010.0%
MEAC1137.7%


Originally posted by Fight CU
Click here to view the article.
 
what is more amazing is they are projecting 5 Pac:12 teams in the tourney. Anyone else think that Arizona state won't get in?
 
For me this year is a prelude to a real chance at a deep run next season. I frankly didn't expect to have this team make the tourney at all, so any experience the younger guys get is gravy. However, a case could be made that 3-4 games in the NIT > 1 & done in the Dance, purely from a game experience perspective. (I wouldn't be as pumped for the NIT, of course.)

Given the on-paper talent, it would be pretty incredible if Kentucky got left out.
 
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