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This Week In BasketBuffs - 1/16/12

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Goose, Jan 16, 2012.


?

Will the men beat Arizona on Saturday?

  1. Yes

    23 vote(s)
    82.1%
  2. No

    5 vote(s)
    17.9%
  1. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    LAST WEEK

    MEN

    Thursday, January 12th, 2012
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]57
    [/TD]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]50
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    Saturday, January 14th, 2012
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD] [​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]84
    [/TD]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]64
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    WOMEN

    Thursday, January 12th, 2012
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]68
    [/TD]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]55
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    Saturday, January 14th, 2012
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD] [​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]80
    [/TD]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]54
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    That sucked.

    I honestly thought both teams would be able to get a split this week. When the men played a tight game against Cal (a game I couldn't see thanks to Comcast), I figured we would take Stanford out. I figured with the laid back crowd (the 9ers game was at the same time) and the team pissed off after letting the Cal game slip away, they'd take control and find a way to finish the week 4-1 in conference. When the Buffs tied the game at 42, despite playing some pretty sub-par ball, I thought this is where we make our move, flip a few things and go on a big run to put the Cardinal away.

    Only to watch Stanford do that exact thing. Next thing I knew, it was 74-47 for the Trees, and we were going to be heading back to Boulder 3-2. Much smarter people than I have written about this game, so I'm just going to say that I'm taking the good from the week, ignoring the bad, and hoping we move on here.

    On the numbers side, the men's RPI actually stayed the same this week, but our SOS went from 65 to 20. So that was a nice bump. Our offensive efficiency took a huge hit, dropping from 105.0 to 103.5 and our eFG% slippd from 52.2% to 50.9%.

    As for the ladies, the Stanford game went as some expected, but the Cal game is the one that will haunt the team. The Buffs were up 11 at the half, but went ice cold for the last 7 minutes of the game as Cal finished on a 29-4 run to finish the Buffs off. Brutal week for the women's team in RPI as they fall from 90th to 111th. At least the SOS went up from 324th to 264th.

    Time to put this week behind us and move on to the Arizona schools.

    THIS WEEK
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Men:
    [/U]Thursday, January 19th
    6:30 PM
    ROOT Sports RM
    Coors Event Center
    Boulder, CO[/B][/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Women:
    Thursday, January 19th
    11:00 AM
    No TV
    Wells Fargo Arena
    Tempe, AZ[/B][/B]
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD][​IMG]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Men:
    [/U]Saturday, January 21st
    4:00 PM
    ROOT Sports RM
    Coors Event Center
    Boulder, CO[/B][/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Women:
    Sunday, January 22nd
    2:30 PM[/B]
    Fox Sports
    McKale Center
    Tucson, AZ[/B][/B]
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    Time to see how the teams can rebound. The men have an easier task this week, if for no other reason that they get to try to rebound from the confines of the Keg. First up, they get the Sun Devils of Arizona State. All season people have been discussing ASU belonging in the bottom third of the conference and they've done nothing to make anyone think any differently so far this season with a 6-11 record overall. That said, they are 2-3 in the PAC-12 with wins at USC and at home against Oregon State so they're not completely incompetent (side question -- does someone win the PAC-12 with a 10-8 record this season?). That said, Arizona State turns the ball over a LOT -- on 26.2% of their possessions. Hopefully, the Buffs can take advantage of this. In a discussion with jgisland last week, I noticed that the Buffs are becoming more and more efficient on defense -- they're 95th in the nation today. However, they're only 293rd in forcing opponents turnovers. If you look through the "top" defensive teams, you'll notice that they force a lot of turnovers to keep their numbers down.

    The other team I noticed in my quick scan of the "top" defensive teams in the nation that struggles at forcing turnovers? Saturday's opponent. Arizona's 36th in the nation in defensive efficiency, but 294th in forcing turnovers. This is a strong, fundamentally sound defensive team. However, like everyone else in the PAC-12, they're wildly inconsistent and already have "disappointing" losses to UCLA and Oregon this season. The team is talented, but it's insane and is ripe for CU to pick them off.

    The women technically should have a decent chance to pick up two wins this week, but it depends on which Buffs team shows up. The Buffs are higher in RPI (65) than Arizona (66) and Arizona State (186) and we know that when the team is clicking they can look pretty damn good. If nothing else, the wins would probably help our recruiting efforts. We already have landed a commit from Tucson forward Jamee Swan and are currently going after Chandler forward/post Je Zhe Newton.

    Also, the women's team finally has a presence on twitter. If it's anything like our men's team's feed, it's worth your time to follow them. Make sure you check them out at @CUBuffsWBB.
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]Colorado
    Offense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Colorado
    Defense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Arizona St
    Offense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Arizona St
    Defense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]D1
    Average[/B]
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]eFG%
    [/TD]
    [TD]50.9%
    [/TD]
    [TD]46.6%
    [/TD]
    [TD]53.9%
    [/TD]
    [TD]47.6%
    [/TD]
    [TD]48.9%
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Turnover %
    [/TD]
    [TD]21.5%
    [/TD]
    [TD]18.0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]26.2%
    [/TD]
    [TD]17.1%
    [/TD]
    [TD]20.8%
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Off. Reb %
    [/TD]
    [TD]32.6%
    [/TD]
    [TD]30.5%
    [/TD]
    [TD]31.3%
    [/TD]
    [TD]30.5%
    [/TD]
    [TD]32.5%
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]FTA/FGA
    [/TD]
    [TD]45.9
    [/TD]
    [TD]32.9
    [/TD]
    [TD]42.6
    [/TD]
    [TD]37.7
    [/TD]
    [TD]36.6
    [/TD]
    [/TR]


    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]Colorado
    Offense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Colorado
    Defense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Arizona
    Offense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Arizona
    Defense[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]D1
    Average[/B]
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]eFG%
    [/TD]
    [TD]50.9%
    [/TD]
    [TD]46.6%
    [/TD]
    [TD]51.6%
    [/TD]
    [TD]44.8%
    [/TD]
    [TD]48.9%
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Turnover %
    [/TD]
    [TD]21.5%
    [/TD]
    [TD]18.0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]20.1%
    [/TD]
    [TD]18.0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]20.8%
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Off. Reb %
    [/TD]
    [TD]32.6%
    [/TD]
    [TD]30.5%
    [/TD]
    [TD]30.7%
    [/TD]
    [TD]30.0%
    [/TD]
    [TD]32.5%
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]FTA/FGA
    [/TD]
    [TD]45.9
    [/TD]
    [TD]32.9
    [/TD]
    [TD]40.9
    [/TD]
    [TD]33.1
    [/TD]
    [TD]36.6
    [/TD]
    [/TR]



    SEASON NUMBERS TO FOLLOW
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]Offensive
    Efficiency[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Defensive
    Efficiency[/B]
    [/TD]
    [TD]Pace
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Colorado
    [/TD]
    [TD]103.5
    [/TD]
    [TD]96.1
    [/TD]
    [TD]66.5
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]D1 Average
    [/TD]
    [TD]100.4
    [/TD]
    [TD]100.4
    [/TD]
    [TD]67.0
    [/TD]
    [/TR]



    RPI Rankings
    Column 1
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD]RPI
    [/TD]
    [TD]SOS
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Men
    [/TD]
    [TD]65
    [/TD]
    [TD]20
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]Women
    [/TD]
    [TD]111
    [/TD]
    [TD]264
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
     
  2. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Would it really be an upset? I think that game's a coin flip at home.
     
  3. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    If you are referring ot the Arizona game, I think every home game for us the rest of the year based on kenpom or whatever was at worst a 40% chance of victory, so not far off.
     
  4. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Thanks for the info backing up my opinion. I was referencing the poll question.
     
  5. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Probably a poor choice of words on my part. Let me change that.
     
  6. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Ah. Your intent was murky.
     
  7. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    It's at home, with students; we win.
     
  8. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    who hath joined me in saying NO! to the victory?
     
  9. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    ASU should obviously be a win, but in their last game the Sun Devils did produce arguably their best performance of the year with a 76-66 win over Oregon State in Tucson.

    We should beat Arizona at home, as well. Seen the 'Cats a few times this year, and I'm just not impressed. That loss to Oregon in Tucson wasn't a fluke, the 'Cats just aren't very good...
     
  10. MrFrumpylane

    MrFrumpylane Well-Known Member

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    :wave:
     
  11. ShockerHoops

    ShockerHoops Well-Known Member

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    I'm a good luck charm for you gentlemen. I turned the Stanford game on when you all had your biggest deficit of 27. With the help of my good luck, I willed your team to come back just a bit. With me watching, you guys are +7 in the point category when I watch conference play.

    I will take donations for a flight and tickets to all remaining games. Shelter/booze/food is always enjoyed, but not demanded upon.
     
  12. buffgal

    buffgal Club Member Club Member

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    I am optomitically hopeful that the women can at least get a split. Playing at 11 AM on a Thursday is going to be so weird and different for them. On paper, CU is good enough to beat both of the Arizona schools. Time will tell if they can pull this off on the road.
     
  13. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Getting both of these would go a long way toward a tourney bid. Huge week for WBB.
     
  14. Quattro

    Quattro Club Member Club Member

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    2-0 this week.
     
  15. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Why are they playing at 11 AM anyway?
     
  16. BeBe

    BeBe Club Member Club Member

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  17. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Nice community outreach program. Not a bad idea for CU.
     
  18. GoBuffs!!

    GoBuffs!! Active Member

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    That is what I thought too, they did not have a very full stadium at all, but I have to say I was impressed, they were rather loud for as few people were there. I couldnt figure out if it was because of the acustics in the gym, or people were really that loud. Either way, it was debatably more of a hostile enviroment than Cal...
     
  19. buffgal

    buffgal Club Member Club Member

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    Coach Barry said on the television game that CU will return to Boulder this trip as their next game is not until Sunday. So they have class today, fly to Phoenix tomorrow, back after game on Thursday, class Friday, fly to Tucson on Saturday.

    Coach Barry also said that these games are usually LOUD for the home team. Yes, CU should do something like this to get lot of school kids to a game.
     
  20. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    ASU's best player, Trent Lockett, is out with an ankle injury. We absolutely have to win this game.
     
  21. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    GO FIR THE THROAT!! Kill!
     
  22. Burrito Palazzo

    Burrito Palazzo Thoroughly Unhelpful Club Member

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    Neck beard?
     

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