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Unsung Hero - Sean Kearney

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Goose, Feb 3, 2014.

  1. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    I'm really starting to think that the best thing that Tad did this past off-season was bring in Kearney to be an assistant coach when Coach Abatamarco left. It didn't get a lot of attention when it happened, so if you missed out the first time, here are the CliffNotes on Kearney:

    * Former head coach at Holy Cross. Fired after one season due to both bad luck and the fact that he took a slow plodding team and tried to mold them into an up-tempo squad.
    * Former assistant at Notre Dame, Providence and Delaware - coaching under Mike Brey and Rick Pitino.
    * Head of recruiting at Notre Dame and was their big man coach as well.

    This gives Tad's staff some checks and balances. I love Rohn & Pri (especially Pri, I'm absolutely flabbergasted he hasn't gotten a head coaching job somewhere yet), but they don't necessarily have the gravitas to call Tad out for a decision during a game. Kearney does. And we've already seen the benefits. In the Kansas game, Tad switched to the 2-3 zone for a bit - something he absolutely detests - and that was a large factor in us winning that game. Not only that, but if you watch the bench during games, you can catch Kearney leading the charges at times. I re-watched the Utah game last night (because seriously, **** that Super Bowl) and at one point late in the game, Jelly was shooting two free throws. He made the first and they cut to the bench. You could see Kearney tell Tad to call time out - something he did immediately. And Tad let Kearney address the team.

    Not only that, but I do know that Kearney is an analytics guy who is trying to use the numbers to his advantage (and that has to be music to JG's ears). Remember, Tad isn't exactly a guy who trusts advanced stats:

    Add it all together, and I'm thrilled we got Kearney this year. When Rohn or Pri (or both) leave for HC jobs this year, he'll slide over to their spot on the bench. Add in Rodney, and we have a solid core of assistants to help Tad out for the long term.
     
    jgisland, Darth Snow and tante like this.
  2. BuffHerd

    BuffHerd Club Member Club Member

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    Great insight.... clearly you watch these games on a whole different level
     
  3. BuffG

    BuffG Well-Known Member

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    Wonderful post. Thank you.

    You'd think a former stock trader like Tad would be more into advanced metrics. Guess that's why he left that gig.
     
  4. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    No, I just sit near JG at times and he points things out at a much different level.
     
  5. wyobuff

    wyobuff Well-Known Member

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    Interesting stuff.
     
  6. rolandftw

    rolandftw Club Member Club Member

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    Lot of basketball media guys thought Kearney was a home run hire for CU, and would pay dividends down the road
     
  7. MtnBuff

    MtnBuff Not allowed in Barzil 2 Club Member

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    Also shows a lot about Tad that he is willing to hire a guy to call him out instead of being a yes man. Says a lot about them both.

    If we get into the touney again this year, and especially if we can advance instead of going one and out we are likely to see increased interest in our staff for other jobs.
     
  8. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    ^^^This^^^

    Now if we could get him to teach Tad about the 2 for 1 and fouling when up 3....
     
  9. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    MATH IS HARD
     
  10. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    To Foul or Not To Foul When Up 3? - Ken Pomeroy


    The fact is, chances of losing are close to remote in either case, but execution errors, an inflated offensive rebounding percentage, poor three-point shooting, and the chance of an extra possession are enough to counteract what might otherwise be the advantage of forcing a team to shoot free throws. In cases where the opponent has multiple good three-point shooters and you have confidence in rebounding a missed free throw, fouling may be the better option. But it appears the default decision should be to not foul.

    One final note here. Some people might say there’s a definitive conclusion in this. After all, there are over 800 cases. But because there are so few cases of failure, that’s a misrepresentation of the sample size. The fact is, we could use an additional 5-10 years of data before making a definitive statement. Even then, tweaks in the methodology can get you closer to one answer or the other.

    However, I think that says something about how difficult it is to determine the proper strategy. To me, the only conclusion one can make is that the criticism of coaches that choose to defend appears to be misplaced. A small percentage of the time you’ll get burned no matter what you choose to do. We will continue to see teams make game-tying threes near the end of games more often than they get fouled simply because more coaches choose this strategy. In the long run, it’s difficult to prove it's a bad idea.
     
  11. wyobuff

    wyobuff Well-Known Member

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    From tads comments post game, I dont think fouling when up 3 is going to happen often (My guess is it could be green lighted when a very poor <50% FT shooter has the rock).
    That being said, he's done that 2 times, and we've gotten burned both times this year (@wazzu, Vs Utah)

    Does he do this because he thinks burning down the clock is a better option than giving them 2 points?
    I understand that if we gave them 2 FTs when they were down 3 and made both, they could get a steal or a TO right away and end up winning. By forcing them to shoot a 3, they'll take a lower % shot and burn more time off the clock, and best case scenario they tie up the game.
     
  12. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    Did you hear Tad on the post game presser? He said it is just not his style.
     
  13. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Either way, you're going to win 92+% of the time.

    The other way fouling can lose is if the team makes the first FT and then O-Rebs the 2nd to follow with a put-back for 2 or 3 (or another foul line trip).

    Worst case if you play defense is that it goes to OT. It takes an outright regulation loss out of the equation. And CU did go on to win both the games you mentioned.

    In the end, it's a coin flip decision. What makes Tad come down on the "defend" side is the mentality it engenders in the team. The onus is on his team getting a stop instead of it playing ticky tack "not to lose" basketball.
     
  14. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    I don't think we'll see Tad foul either, he said it on the radio post game and said it before, "it's not his style" - but there have been a few more studies done since KenPom's that suggest that your odds are better fouling.

    If you're bored and want to read and look at decision tree probabilities read this.

    In a nut shell - this study says you go to OT 1 out 5 times not fouling and 1 out 20 times fouling.
     
  15. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    It's so close on what to do (OT doesn't mean losing), that the team mentality is what drives his decision.

    Bottom line is that when it's time to get a stop, Tad wants his team to get a stop. Whether that means CU is up 3, 2 or 1, tied, or down 3, 2 or 1 in the end-of-game scenario. He's not going to differ for that one "up 3" scenario.
     
  16. YngC

    YngC Club Member Club Member

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    That's also part of the reason he wanted to hire Nate Tomlinson for the same position. Him and Nate clashed so much that Tad respected him and his approach.
     
  17. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    GTFO
     
  18. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Oh God, I'll donate an extra $100 to the program to help this happen just to make Snow's head explode.
     
  19. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    My head exploding is only worth $100? Pretty sure we could raise a solid sum from the political board if you want to funnel money into the program :lol:
     
    Goose likes this.
  20. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    I don't hate you as much as they do, hence only $100 from me.

    Political board might raise enough to get the $150 mil necessary for the Dal Ward upgrades raised.
     
  21. wyobuff

    wyobuff Well-Known Member

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    Is this true?
     
  22. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Yes. The hate for Snow is very strong.
     
  23. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Fools!
     
  24. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    I feel like there is a good sex joke in this thread but I can't get a good grip on it. Can anyone lend a hand?
     
  25. Yung Buffalo

    Yung Buffalo Club Member Club Member

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    Somebody throw him a bone


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  26. GoonieBuff

    GoonieBuff Not really Club Member

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    Anyone who watched the Syracuse v Duke game saw Syracuse foul in almost the EXACT situation that we were in. Hmmm. If it's good enough for Boeheim...
     
  27. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Should Tad also switch exclusively to zone defense? :wink2:
     
  28. GoonieBuff

    GoonieBuff Not really Club Member

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    Ha. That has to be a huge focus for your team if you're going to do it anywhere near as well as cuse. I do think it's cool that even though Tad's a man to man or bust guy, he still sees the value in an occasional zone.
     

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