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Week 1

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Always BUFF, Sep 8, 2016.

  1. Always BUFF

    Always BUFF Active Member

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    What I saw this past weekend of 3 P12 teams that I was most interested in.
    Stanford is not beyond beating
    USC is in a total transition with tons of talent but no leadership
    UCLA stunk up the joint for 3 quarters but actually showed up in the end
    I watched these 3 games for these reasons
    Stanford has a new QB and some new key skilled people
    USC has a new coach...talent wasn't the issue
    UCLA because they actually had a good first opponent.
     
  2. darth-horax

    darth-horax Well-Known Member

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    I think of those three, USC is overrated. They will get better in the second half of the season.
    UCLA is overrated, but will be present in most games this season (probably all of them).
    Stanford is still probably the best the PAC has to offer at this point.

    I also watched Oregon, and they look totally pedestrian to me. WSU losing to EWU speaks volumes....they're not rising like they thought.
     
  3. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Oregon needs to win at Nebraska next week. After that, their season can go right down the ****ter.
     
  4. Always BUFF

    Always BUFF Active Member

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    any knu loss is a good one regardless as to who
     
  5. Always BUFF

    Always BUFF Active Member

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    Nik I respect your opinions, after week 1 based on what you watched and read how many more w/ls are possible the Buffs? I would also put this question to: DBT, Juric, Shoulder to Shoulder, Sinkrazt & TSchekler please weigh in.
     
  6. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    Possible? 11 wins or 11 losses. :D

    They're about where I expected. I put the over/under at 5.5, would have taken the over, and think this is a team that could get on a bit of a roll to push it to 8 or 9 wins if it gets some good bounces early in the season. Most of us were hoping to get out of the 1st half of the year at 3-3. I don't think that has changed much. But if that could turn into 4-2 or 5-1, look out. I doubt anyone is picking CU to win at Oregon and/or at USC (and certainly not at Michigan) right now, but I do think most of us are feeling more like "it could happen".
     
  7. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    playing around with where the advanced stats have us so far, we are at 5% chance to win @ michigan and a 30% chance of winning @ Oregon (that one surprised me too).

    What that means there is a 66% chance we lose both games.

    That's kinda low.

    Weird things happen.

    (and yes, I know the advanced stats don't have a lot of data points yet, but these #s are 90% based off last year's performance).
     
  8. TSchekler

    TSchekler Darth's Hero Club Member

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    Before the season, I predicted 7-6 (6-6 with a bowl win). I think 2-1 in OOC is likely, which means 4 Pac 12 wins. After watching the CSU game, along with the other P12 teams play in week one, I believe we have a chance in all of them, but some are definitely more likely than others. IMO, the 3 make or break games come at the end of the season, where we play a mediocre Arizona team on the road and then get Wazzu and Utah at home. Going 3-0 in that stretch and being able to pick up another W somewhere in between will fulfill my prediction, but I do think this team has the capability for one or even two more wins.
     
  9. Always BUFF

    Always BUFF Active Member

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    Back in the day..we got a lot of calls in our favor, it's been a long time since we got those calls, we see a flag and automatically assume it's on us and keep our fingers crossed. To reach maybe 8 this season would require some of those calls & bounces. 11 wins, I've actually put some thought in to that & don't lie who hasn't? and yes until we lose 4 I will believe 11 is possible.
     
  10. leftybuff

    leftybuff Iconoclast Club Member

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    Still sticking with my 4-5 win prediction. I hope I am wrong, but CSU was bad. Really bad. But then again, CU did what they should with a bad G5 program...dominated them.

    I don't think you can read too much into week one performance as a predictor for the whole season. You do get some indications, though.

    OSU should be a W.
    SC is in a bad place, and despite the talent, vulnerable.
    AZ is a disaster on D, and vulnerable.
    UCLA is solid. Beating the Aggies at home would have been better, but they played relatively well in a tough road opener.
    As to the rest, I don't know that i saw enough other than to say I wonder if OU will have enough D to get it done.

    CU still has to show me the OL can perform well against P12 competition. Without that, I do not see more than 5 W's.
     
  11. BUFFSROCKS

    BUFFSROCKS Club Member Club Member

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    I would say at the beginning we would go 3-1 if we would have had Oregon before we played Michigan. I think we will lose at Michigan and still have the hangover going to Oregon and may lose that too. If you swapped those games, because i think we have a better shot at beating Oregon on the road than Michigan, than you go 3-1....I think the way the schedule is you go 2-2.
     
  12. Always BUFF

    Always BUFF Active Member

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    Agree
    Agree
    Agree
    Agree
    Utah winning by what they did.
    Teams change through the course of the year, I shudder at that the thought of 01
    Shaw will get the tree along, the old guy at the juco U almost got him.
     
  13. buffaholic

    buffaholic Club Member Club Member

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    AZ looks improved on D with the new DC from Boise State and all new defensive coaches. The team overall seems poorly coached. Don't get the RIchRod hype. He had at WVU when his offense was unique. Newsflash just in - It's not anymore.
     
  14. BlackNGold

    BlackNGold Club Member Club Member

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    It takes about 4 or 5 games before you can get a real sense of teams. WSU lost to Portland State last year to start the season and EWU is better than Portland State - Stanford lost to Northwestern last year to start the season.

    USC ran into a buzz saw with Lane Kiffin wanting to get pay back. On top of that USC was not well prepared...Helton made questionable decisions on building his staff and I suspect you are seeing the result of that. UCLA took A&M into overtime, they were playing in a tough environment and the Aggies were favored in the game.

    One take away from last weeks games was the reaction of the Texas players after they beat ND. They really rallied around their head coach, they knew he was embattled and were genuinely happy for him and played hard for him. This is in sharpe contrast to 2 years ago when the players were not buying into Strong as the HC. It will be interesting to see how it plays out. Lots of pundits were acting like Strong was a lame duck coach. Texas has the talent but did not have good team chemistry, Strong seems to have gotten many of the older guys to buy in. There are some Texas fans though who are just waiting for the next misstep on the part of the Longhorns so they can attack Strong.

    ANU struggled for Arizona - throwing 2 INTs early. Oregon State's offense looked better than last year.

    LSU - Will Les Miles ever figure out the offensive side of the game. Pretty sure this will be his last year unless things turn around.

    Oklahoma - Seems like Bob Stoops is just not a big game guy anymore....on the other hand is there any doubt that Houston will be in the Big 12 before long.

    TCU - the defense did not look very good but it is early in the season.
     
  15. InTheBuff

    InTheBuff Club Member Club Member

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    LSU fans have started a GoFundMe account to buyout Miles
     
    darth-horax likes this.

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