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We're actually favorites vs Cal

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by GoonieBuff, Nov 10, 2013.

  1. GoonieBuff

    GoonieBuff Not really Club Member

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    Believe it or not, we actually opened as 3 point favorites vs. Cal on Bookmaker this morning (usually the first offshore sports book to post odds). I figured we'd be 2 point favorites, so it's not some crazy line. Basically, Cal projects as the better team, but we're favorites due to playing at home.
     
  2. o_robbie

    o_robbie I don't think before I post

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    I sure hope we play up to our capable level. Not sure what happened with Washington but that score just doesn't make sense.
     
  3. GoonieBuff

    GoonieBuff Not really Club Member

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    Do you think we should've lost by more? :lol:
     
  4. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    I don't see it
     
  5. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    Maybe because Cal is god awful on the road and averages ~11 points on it? Vegas is rational, we as fans are not.
     
  6. seattlebuff

    seattlebuff Well-Known Member

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    Goff/Kline will throw for 400+ and 5 TDs, and only that low because we'll have just enough run game to limit their possessions. Only question is whether we can score enough to keep up. I doubt it.
     
  7. gobuffs58

    gobuffs58 Well-Known Member

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    cal wins this game by 20+...they will score...we will score but not nearly enough...and attempt fg's
     
  8. Shldr2Shldr

    Shldr2Shldr Club Member Club Member

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    You all have apparently not seen Cal play this year. They are bad. Goff has a big arm, and a bright future, but his team is not good. There is no Defense.
     
  9. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    Cal had 483 yards offense and nearly 300 yards passing vs USC yesterday. They have also scored 28 points vs Pac-12 opponents in their last two games (our highest is 23, one time). Sure it was in garbage time, but we have had garbage time all season and still can't do anything
     
  10. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    CU in Pac-12 play:

    Avg for @home: 18pts (2 games)
    Avg for away: 15pts (4 games)
    Avg against @ home: 50.5pts
    Avg against away: 50.5pts

    Cal:
    Avg for @home: 23.75pts (4 games)
    Avg for away: 14.33pts (3 games, also not sure where the 11 point average is from)
    Avg against @home: 47pts
    Avg against away: 44.333pts

    So............... Cal still sucks more amirite?
     
  11. PAHIBuff

    PAHIBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Sems like a VERY bad game to bet on, either way.
     
  12. Duff Man

    Duff Man Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    I'm not sure we win, but we better make it competitive. If not, something went very wrong.
     
  13. rolandftw

    rolandftw Club Member Club Member

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    Cal's not great, but they have played closer to common opponents overall and in the case of games @Washington and Arizona, they were significantly closer.

    I see this as a winnable game for CU, but if I were to bet and had no attachment to CU, would certainly take the 3 points and Cal.
     
  14. buff4bcs1985

    buff4bcs1985 Hail to the King

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    buffs will win...book it
     
  15. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    Apparently you are not aware of Cal's road stats this year
     
  16. TimmyDUBs

    TimmyDUBs Dirty haole Club Member

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    The UW game really affected people. We'll win
     
  17. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    The difference between the predictions after the UCLA game and after last night is pretty hilarious
     
  18. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    Getting blown out by 52 is going to have an effect on this week believe it or not
     
  19. lawdogg

    lawdogg Club Member Club Member

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    Then again, the difference between our performance in the UCLA game and last night is pretty stark; it's with good reason that people's perception has changed so drastically.
     
    Last edited: Nov 10, 2013
  20. Duff Man

    Duff Man Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    You have to score more than 20 to have a chance in this league. We know the defense can't stop anyone. Given that PRich is likely to be hobbled, I would say confidence is justifiably shot right now.

    I think the game is going to be close, but do I have confidence the defense can make key stops or that the offense can convert in the red zone? Not really.
     
  21. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    No ****?

    I know, and it's completely understandable (although I think people are making Cal something they are not)
     
  22. PAHIBuff

    PAHIBuff Club Member Club Member

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    If Cal's defense is as crappy as the numbers indicate, rather than getting into a 4 hour aerial dual with them and lose 48-45, I'd run the hell out the ball and make the game clock go faster. I don't like our chances in an air war with our DBs, Sefo banged up, and Prich nursing an ankle. At last come out alternating Adkins and Powell (Maybe both in the same backfield!) and stick with it as long as it works.
     
  23. SBG

    SBG Formerly known as EFNMB Club Member Junta Member

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    Cal has better athletes, but suspect coaching. The game will be close until the 4th where we will be gassed and lose.

    We need to be able to run it to have a legit shot in the 4th.
     
  24. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    I'd put it at better odds to have the team who isn't used to altitude being the ones gassed...
     
  25. SBG

    SBG Formerly known as EFNMB Club Member Junta Member

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    People overrate the altitude factor too much. How many teams have we gassed coming from sea level since we joined the PAC?
     
  26. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    How many of those teams have been as bad as 2013 Cal? There is a statistical backing that it does add a positive benefit to teams at altitude in basketball, I would assume there is a similar stat that backs that up for football.
     
    OrangeBowl likes this.
  27. SBG

    SBG Formerly known as EFNMB Club Member Junta Member

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    Yeah those Air Force and Wyoming teams are dominant in the mwc.

    Football plays are so short that it doesn't matter. You need more snaps to wear the other team down. Cal could make us look gassed if they put up the type of effort they did against a MUCH better USC D.

    With that said, I think cu has a definite chance to win. But it's a coin toss.
     
  28. BuffClass90

    BuffClass90 Banned BANNED

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    I'm going and expect to lose by 14. Hope they surprise me though.
     
  29. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    you all need to take a trip to bearinsider and remember that Vegas ALWAYS knows more than you do.

    Cough* nutjob basketball newbies *cough
     
  30. krom

    krom Club Member Club Member

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    My guess is that Goff torches CU for 500+ yards and 4+ TDs. Cal may be **** but at least Tedford left athletes that actually belong in the conference. Cal scores points vs their p12 opponents instead of settling for low percentage FGs.
     

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