ACC has a deal with Notre Dame that if the Irish drop independence for football between now and 2027 that they will go ACC. Any move for them would hinge on that possibility. If ND wants to join, the ACC quickly adds someone else (UConn?) to get to 16. Texas would look to join with ND if certain things shake out since the ACC is the one conference that is cool with independent media deals. SEC makes no secret that it would go to 16, but is in no hurry. What would drive them would be if Oklahoma, North Carolina or Texas wanted in. B1G might want to expand its footprint. Another raid of the ACC by taking Boston College to get that media market? No doubt that most ACC folks would welcome that. Also some chatter about Oklahoma/Kansas. Pac-12 would have to add 4 teams all at once. Chancellors rejected Oklahoma/Oklahoma State. They would have probably said yes if it had been Oklahoma/Kansas. No doubt the league would take Texas if it was on the table (academic standing, media market, recruiting grounds, athletic excellence), but there would seem to be too many obstacles. Big 12 is only at 10 teams and no one outside of AAC, MWC and C-USA level programs has any interest in joining that conference. That makes it damn difficult to add a program that increases prestige or revenue. More likely that this is the conference that gets poached and then survives as something almost unrecognizable as compared to the Big 12 of 2009.