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Colorado Women's Basketball RPI Watch

Buffnik

Real name isn't Nik
Club Member
Junta Member
Pac-12 is respected at the top (#4 Stanford, #12 Cal), but doesn't look positioned to get 5 or 6 bids (much like the Men).

One way the Pac-12 Women may be different than it is for the Men from a CU perspective is our Men's team has already staked its flag at the top of the conference mountain. There's work to do to make sure it wasn't a blip in a down year, but there's confidence that the program is now good enough that a strong conference yielding a lot of bids only helps.

With the Women, this may be more a matter of looking for a down year and hoping that our program can take advantage of it by finishing in the top 3 or 4, parlaying that into an NCAA tournament berth. We can't afford a completely awful conference RPI because the odds of getting past Stanford to get the auto-bid are painfully thin, but we don't want the competition to be too good either. It's a balance for WBB. Lose OOC to top teams but beat the teams they should. Basically, be a solid conference that isn't so good that our team can't overcome it and distinguish itself.

So far, it's been a bad start to the year for the Pac-12 at the bottom.

Wazzu is 0-2, losing in overtime at Minnesota and then dropping another OT game to South Dakota State.
USC is 0-1 after getting handled at home against Gonzaga.
Oregon is 0-1 following a home loss to St. Mary's.
Arizona State is 0-1 after losing at home to Texas Tech.

Not really bad losses, but nothing good happening there either.

With the other teams, there's a long list at 1-0 (Arizona, Cal, Colorado, Oregon State, UCLA, Utah, Washington) and Stanford sits at 2-0... with none of the conference wins likely to impress a selection committee.

The big opportunities in the next week:

UCLA vs #11 Oklahoma on the 14th
Stanford vs #1 Baylor on the 16th

Tonight, Oregon State hosts Cal-Poly and needs to get a win. We can't have more losses to lower-tier teams, so the Beavs need to win this one.
 
I think your analysis is right on, Nik. There asre way more questions than answers on the WBB side this season.
 
.......
Tonight, Oregon State hosts Cal-Poly and needs to get a win. We can't have more losses to lower-tier teams, so the Beavs need to win this one.
Unfortunately Oregon State lost by 10 to Cal Poly
 
Unfortunately Oregon State lost by 10 to Cal Poly

Weak. On a positive note, what I'm seeing in the early season tells me a CU finish in the top half of the conference should be expected this season.
 
Weak. On a positive note, what I'm seeing in the early season tells me a CU finish in the top half of the conference should be expected this season.

I would agree--even if the Pac 12 coaches didn't in the coaches poll. No respect there.
 
I just watched the WBB preview on PAC-12 channel. The 2 commentators.... Mary Murphy (I think) and Ros Gold-Onwoude ... seem to think more highly of CU than the coaches did. Mary thinks CU is a team that could be going places and Ros has them as an NCAA bubble team.
 
First good OOC win by a PAC-12 team tonight . UCLA defeated #11 Oklahoma in Norman by a final score of 86 - 80. They had a 19 point lead at one point which got cut down to 2 in the final minute but managed to hold on for the win.
 
First good OOC win by a PAC-12 team tonight . UCLA defeated #11 Oklahoma in Norman by a final score of 86 - 80. They had a 19 point lead at one point which got cut down to 2 in the final minute but managed to hold on for the win.

UCLA looks strong.

Washington got a road win at Seattle in OT tonight. Not an impressive win by any stretch, but any road victory is a nice RPI bump.
 
I found out today that the UMKC game is played in a 1500 seat rec center gym! I'm driving 7 hours each way to see my team play in a practice gym!
 
I found out today that the UMKC game is played in a 1500 seat rec center gym! I'm driving 7 hours each way to see my team play in a practice gym!

If theres a few CU fans there sometimes its cooler and sounds a lot louder in a smaller setting.
 
Cal destroyed St. Mary's as expected. Maybe they challenge Stanford this year.

Oregon is a mess right now. Down by 2 at home to Portland State with 25 seconds left.
 
Oregon wastes a 38 pt, 27 reb performance by frosh Jillian Alleyne. Lost to Portland State in double OT.
 
Stanford just beat Baylor! That should help the league RPI. Shame that wasn't televised.
 
Baylor All American point guard Odyssey Sims went out just a few minutes into the game with what appeared to be a leg injury. Obviously she is key to Baylor's success, maybe even more important than Griner since she is the one to get the ball to Griner where she wants it.
 
Pac-12 continues to struggle.

Wazzu fell to 1-3, losing at home to Wisconsin.
ASU fell to 0-2, losing at UTEP.

On the positive side, USC may have righted itself a bit by beating Pepperdine today.

Tonight, we can expect Stanford to take care of business when they host Tenn-Martin.

And, of course: CU Buffs move to 2-0 with a 78-55 road win at previously 2-1 UMKC.
 
Pepperdine is very week this year. They lost their exhibition game to a school called Westmont. It's an NAIA school where our walk-on from last year, Esther Lee, is playing. Pepperdine has only won one game this year.
 
Utah beat Utah St 92-64
UW is beating Pepperdine 66-51 under 2 mins left
USC beat UCSB 62-51
 
#17 UCLA with a huge conference win against #12 Texas today.

Looks pretty clear right now that Stanford, Cal and UCLA all have excellent teams this year. The Buffs need to try to grab that #4 spot in the Pac-12 standings. That's the finish that's going to definitely put a team in the Dance.
 
Buffs are currently #30 in RPI. SOS is killing us at #142.

Pac-12 doesn't help much either (#5 conference).

UCLA, Stanford and Cal are all Top 6. Washington is #23. Below CU at #30, the Pac-12 just looks bad:

#67 Arizona State
#103 Arizona
#113 Utah
#153 USC
#163 Oregon State
#218 Washington State
#290 Oregon

This game against Louisville is absolutely huge. It's going to be hard for the Pac-12 to get more than 4 teams in this year. Might be only 3.
 
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