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StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Eight Seed: 02/28/2013

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet now projects Colorado to be an eight seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Buffaloes are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #31 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-8 overall record and a 9-6 record in the Pac-12.
During its last four games, Colorado picked up a quality win against AP #11 Arizona and wins against Stanford and Utah but also took on a loss against RPI #89 Arizona State.
Colorado is average against top competition, with a 9-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 4-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 2-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Buffaloes have four quality wins including AP #11 Arizona, AP #24 Oregon, RPI #43 California, and RPI #17 Colorado State. Their only bad loss came against RPI #170 Utah.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Alabama (19-9, 11-4 SEC, StatRank #62), Temple (19-8, 8-5 A-10, StatRank #41), La Salle (19-7, 9-4 A-10, StatRank #40), and Baylor (17-11, 8-7 Big 12, StatRank #59).
The first four teams out are Boise State (19-8, 7-6 Mountain West, StatRank #52), Saint Mary's (25-5, 13-2 West Coast, StatRank #48), UCLA (21-7, 11-4 Pac-12, StatRank #45), and Virginia (19-8, 9-5 ACC, StatRank #62).
The next four out are California (18-9, 10-5 Pac-12, StatRank #45), Maryland (19-9, 7-8 ACC, StatRank #74), Providence (15-12, 7-8 Big East, StatRank #75), and Wichita State (24-6, 12-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #43).
[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East91656.2%
Big Ten71258.3%
SEC61250.0%
Big 1261060.0%
A-1051435.7%
Mountain West4850.0%
ACC41233.3%
Pac-1231225.0%
Conference USA21216.7%
MAC1128.3%
Missouri Valley11010.0%
SoCon1128.3%
Patriot1812.5%
West Coast1911.1%
Ivy League1812.5%
Big South1119.1%
Big West1911.1%
WAC1812.5%
Ohio Valley1119.1%
Atlantic Sun11010.0%
Sun Belt1128.3%
Big Sky1911.1%
MAAC11010.0%
MEAC1137.7%
CAA1128.3%
NEC1128.3%
Summit League11010.0%
Southland1128.3%
America East1911.1%
SWAC11010.0%
Horizon11010.0%


Originally posted by Fight CU
Click here to view the article.
 
StatSheet's projections always seem ridiculous to me. No way is the SEC putting in SIX teams to the PAC-12's THREE.
 
WE need to win out and get above that 8 seed. Or lose enough to drop below the 9 seed. Do not want #1 in the second game.
 
WE need to win out and get above that 8 seed. Or lose enough to drop below the 9 seed. Do not want #1 in the second game.

^^This^^

8-9 game tends to be pretty tough to start with followed by a #1 coming of a scrimmage game against a no hope team.
#7 seeds tend to be good but flawed teams and #11 seeds are often either teams that have just gotten in on reputation or teams that have played way better than their talent, either way beatable teams.
 
^^This^^

8-9 game tends to be pretty tough to start with followed by a #1 coming of a scrimmage game against a no hope team.
#7 seeds tend to be good but flawed teams and #11 seeds are often either teams that have just gotten in on reputation or teams that have played way better than their talent, either way beatable teams.

we win out and win a game or two in the tourney, we should be a #7. Thats what I want to see.
 
Also interesting to see they have the MWC with 4. Think New Mexico is the only team in that league with a decent chance to win a game in the tourney.

The PAC teams project to be much more likely to advance.
 
Give me that 6 seed in SLC with UNM as the 3. We would have a shot at the sweet 16 with that set up. especially in the west bracket.
 
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