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2022 Pac-12 Season (Men's & Women's)

Buffnik

Real name isn't Nik
Club Member
Junta Member
Saturday, March 5

Men's Standings
1. Arizona (18-2). 28-3 overall. #2 NET
2. UCLA (15-5). 23-6 overall. #11 NET
3. USC (14-6). 25-6 overall. #33 NET
4. COLORADO (12-8). 20-10 overall. #75 NET
5. Oregon (11-9). 18-13 overall. #74 NET
6. Washington (11-9). 16-14 overall. #118 NET
7. Washington State (11-9). 18-13 overall. #58 NET
8. Arizona State (10-10). 14-16 overall. #96 NET
9. Stanford (8-12). 15-15 overall. #109 NET
10. California (5-15). 12-19 overall. #142 NET
11. Utah (4-16). 11-19 overall. #127 NET
12. Oregon State (1-19). 3-27 overall. #253 NET

Women's Standings
1. Stanford (16-0). 25-3 overall. #3 NET
2. Oregon (11-6). 19-10 overall. #12 NET
3. Washington State (11-6). 19-9 overall. #58 NET
4. Arizona (10-6). 20-6 overall. #17 NET
5. COLORADO (9-7). 20-7 overall. #29 NET
6. Utah (8-7). 17-10 overall. #27 NET
7. UCLA (8-8). 13-11 overall. #41 NET
8. Oregon State (6-9). 13-12 overall. #56 NET
9. Arizona State (4-9). 12-13 overall. #45 NET
10. USC (5-12). 12-15 overall. #73 NET
11. California (2-10). 11-12 overall. #89 NET
12. Washington (2-12). 7-15 overall. #96 NET

As a reminder:
Top 4 get Byes in the Pac-12 tournament.

Rule of thumb:
Top 50 in NET is usually a good sign that a Power Conference team will make the Dance (as long as it has a winning record).

Pac-12 Men's Tourney: March 9-12 (T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas). Televised on PACN, FOX and FS1, with the Final on FOX.
Pac-12 Women's Tourney: March 2-6 (Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas). All games on PACN, except the Final on ESPN2.
 
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Saturday, February 19th

Men's Standings
1. Arizona (13-1). 23-2 overall. #2 NET
2. USC (11-4). 22-4 overall. #26 NET
3. UCLA (10-4). 18-5 overall. #13 NET
4. Oregon (10-5). 17-9 overall. #72 NET
5. Washington (8-6). 13-11 overall. #129 NET
6. COLORADO (9-7). 17-9 overall. #85 NET
7. Stanford (8-8). 15-11 overall. #99 NET
8. Washington State (7-7). 14-11 overall. #48 NET
9. Arizona State (5-9). 9-15 overall. #119 NET
10. California (4-12). 11-16 overall. #139 NET
11. Utah (3-13). 10-16 overall. #125 NET
12. Oregon State (1-13). 3-21 overall. #249 NET

Women's Standings
1. Stanford (13-0). 22-3 overall. #3 NET
2. Oregon (10-4). 18-8 overall. #10 NET
3. Arizona (9-4). 19-4 overall. #11 NET
4. Washington State (9-5). 17-8 overall. #65 NET
5. Utah (6-6). 15-9 overall. #26 NET
6. COLORADO (6-7). 17-7 overall. #32 NET
7. UCLA (6-7). 11-10 overall. #58 NET
8. Oregon State (5-7). 12-10 overall. #50 NET
9. Arizona State (4-6). 12-10 overall. #39 NET
10. USC (4-10). 11-13 overall. #76 NET
11. California (2-7). 11-9 overall. #88 NET
12. Washington (0-11). 5-14 overall. #114 NET

As a reminder:
Top 4 get Byes in the Pac-12 tournament.

Rule of thumb:
Top 50 in NET is usually a good sign that a Power Conference team will make the Dance (as long as it has a winning record).

Pac-12 Men's Tourney: March 9-12 (T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas). Televised on PACN, FOX and FS1, with the Final on FOX.
Pac-12 Women's Tourney: March 2-6 (Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas). All games on PACN, except the Final on ESPN2.
A 3-1 finish (doable but will be tough) could get the men into 4th place.
 
How the hell does WSU hold a #48 NET???
They've got some sneaky good wins (Seattle, Weber, Winthrop). But there's really not much there. Our Montana State win is as good as any of theirs in the non-con - and we actually beat Eastern Washington. Still, there's a major risk that they'd get an at-large over the Buffs if we're both on the Bubble for the Pac-12 getting a 4th bid.
 
We will almost certainly have to win the conference tournament in order to get in
As it stands today.

A lot can happen still.

I'll be curious to see what things look like after tonight. If we beat Stanford, things start looking better.

A couple things that would help our resume beyond the obvious are that we're 4-4 in road games and 2-1 neutral. If we can get wins at Stanford and Utah to finish, that 6-4 will look nice. And in the P12T, we'd probably need to reach the final - which would push us to 4-2 even with a loss. That 2-1 in the P12T likely gets us another 2 Q2/Q1 wins, too.

But we need tonight or it's hard to see a path that doesn't require the P12T title (even if we beat Arizona next week).
 
They've got some sneaky good wins (Seattle, Weber, Winthrop). But there's really not much there. Our Montana State win is as good as any of theirs in the non-con - and we actually beat Eastern Washington. Still, there's a major risk that they'd get an at-large over the Buffs if we're both on the Bubble for the Pac-12 getting a 4th bid.
See, this is the problem with the formula. Seattle has run out a nice record because they play in what is basically a D2 conference. Winthrop slightly better conference, but the same thing. Weber is always decent, so I’ll give you that. I guarantee 95% of the NET teams #49-70 beat WSU head to head.
 
They've got some sneaky good wins (Seattle, Weber, Winthrop). But there's really not much there. Our Montana State win is as good as any of theirs in the non-con - and we actually beat Eastern Washington. Still, there's a major risk that they'd get an at-large over the Buffs if we're both on the Bubble for the Pac-12 getting a 4th bid.
NM
 
As usual, BPI hates us. That ESPN metric factors in an "altitude advantage" which downgrades our home wins. BPI gives Stanford a 71% chance to win tonight.
 
As usual, BPI hates us. That ESPN metric factors in an "altitude advantage" which downgrades our home wins. BPI gives Stanford a 71% chance to win tonight.
Star Wars GIF
 
I'll update the OP again after today's games.

Men's schedule:
Washington State @ USC, 5:30 FS1

For the P12T seeding, if you don't get the BYE you want the 6-seed instead of the 5 because a win vs OSU is worthless for the resume. Much better to play Utah or Cal since OSU is the only Quad 4 neutral opponent on the Men's side.

Women's schedule:
Arizona @ Washington State, 1:00 PACN
Utah @ UCLA, 1:00 PACN
Cal @ Oregon State, 1:00 PACN
Arizona State @ Washington, 1:00 PACN
Stanford @ Oregon, 2:00 PACN
COLORADO @ USC, 2:00 PACN

Buffs still alive for the 4-seed. Need to win out with Utah losing 1 of 3 and for WSU to go 0/3 against Arizona, Stanford and then the finale @ Cal. We own the tiebreaker with UCLA, so it's fine if the Bruins beat the Utes today. Like with the Men, if we don't get the 4-seed, it's better to finish with the 5 than the 6 since Washington doesn't do much for the resume (it's the only Quad 3 neutral game on the Women's side).
 
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Women's standings are updated for today since all the games are final.

Buffs have a tough finish at home next week, hosting the Oregon schools. But opportunity to make a bit of a statement heading into the P12T.
 
Men's schedule this week:

Mon: ASU (52) at UCLA (66)
Tue: NONE
Wed: Washington at Wazzu (9pm, ESPNU)
Thu: ASU at COLORADO (7pm, PACN); UCLA at Oregon (7:30pm, ESPN); Zona at Utah (9pm, FS1); USC at OSU (9pm, ESPN2)
Fri: NONE
Sat: UCLA at OSU (2pm, CBS); Wazzu at Washington (4pm, PACN); Zona at COLORADO (6pm); Stanford at Cal (6:30pm, PACN); USC at Oregon (8pm); ASU at Utah (8pm, ESPNU)
Sun: NONE

Women's schedule this week (final week of regular season):

Wed: Oregon at COLORADO (7pm, PACN)
Thu: USC at ASU (5pm); OSU at Utah (5:30pm); UCLA at Zona (7pm); Washington at Cal (8pm); WSU at Stanford (9pm, PACN)
Fri: NONE
Sat: USC at Zona (12pm); UCLA at ASU (12pm); OSU at COLORADO (12pm); UW at Stanford (1pm); Oregon at Utah (1pm, PACN); WSU at Cal (1pm)

-----------------------------------------------
Buffs looking for both programs to get to 20 regular season wins and secure winning records in Pac-12 play this week. I don't think we've done that before.
 
Charlie Creme's Bracketology now shows CU as one of the last 4 byes and a 10 seed in the Spokane Region. He has the 10 seed playing Ohio State in Ames, Iowa. If, and that's a big if given our offense, they could beat Ohio State, they would most likely face Iowa State to move on. I hope this happens because I would get to see the team play.

He has Oregon as a 5 seed and Oregon State in the first four out. This will be a tough week of games for the women.
 
Updated OP.

Women's standings are final and match the tournament bracket (starts tomorrow). Buffs aren't hurt on NET from a 5-12 game considering that UW is NET 96.

Men's standings slightly adjust tonight after the Arizona vs USC game. Hoping to stay awake for that 9pm tip.
 
Oregon dick-stepping to end the season. Looks like whatever happens, we will get them on the second day of the tournament.

www.google.com_search_q=pac+12+basketball&rlz=1C1CHFX_enUS685US685&oq=pa&aqs=chrome.0.69i59j69...png
 
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