Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Daaah, Aug 16, 2010.
Nebraska is giving 34 to Western Kentucky.
way too much IMO.
Wanna bet? :smile2:
lol, they are just trying to get some csu action. it will lower.
gameday i'll guess it's around 8, maybe 7.5 or 8.5.
Agreed. WKU is a force and won't be defeated by 34.
CU should beat CSU by no less than 20 points. I have no idea if that will happen or not, but it should.
Is should happen, but rarely does. This game is always too close for comfort.
Betting lines are driven by the amount of $$$$$ on each side of the ledger, not by any true prognositcation....
They're always driven that way, and that's fine. I'm just sayin' that CU should never lose to CSU. Ever. In fact, CSU should never get within 20 points of beating CU. Ever.
True. The prognostication by the guys who set the lines is "what number can I put to this that's likely going to get 50% of the action on each side". Vegas makes its money on the 5% margin, not by trying to outfox gamblers. Basically, this means that the better odds on every bet is the one that goes against conventional wisdom.
I guess I hang around too many people who actually believe in some smoke filled room in Vegas, is a guy who can tell how every game will turn out....
I hope so, seems high though. IMO this will be the barometer, if the lammies come out and push us around the season is over.
:lol::lol: Go Hilltoppers!!
This is blatantly false. Please go and find a better indicator of future performance than the point spread. If you do let me know and we can roll in the millions we'll be making. Seriously, if you could win 60% of your bets against the spread against widely available lines (betting more than just a couple games per week) you can start shopping for yachts.
Lines are not set with the intention that they fluctuate - sports books set them and want alot of money bet evenly on both sides.
Indeed. But they aren't very good at doing this. Instead they just set the initial limits really low and let others set the line for them. Watch Bookmaker.com on Sundays when they put up the opening lines for the next week's college football games. Lines move around like crazy in the first few minutes of being up.
CU -13 seems like a lot of points, to me.
Ft. Fun is about to have a bunch more people with extra spending cash.
This game looks just like last seasons to me. CSU will need to be able to run the football and take shots deep off play-action. If they can connect on a few of them - the game will likely be close. The Buffs should win this game easily if you look at the experience factor right now on both sides of the ball. However if the Buffs do what they did last season and try and play that dink and dunk swing passing game...well then anything is possible.
That's a huge line. I thought it would be somewhere in the +10 range.
I ain't touching that bet. No way. The Hawkins record speaks for itself. CU should kill these guys but I will believe it when I see it. No more talk. Just wins.
Regardless of whether you think Buffs will win, smart money is on CSU. Sucks to write, but a fact.
:iagree:No way do I trust Dan Hawkins. The reason the line is so high is because they are trying to get more $ from CU supporter.
Sad thing is that with CSU starting a true freshman at qb and a largely untested OL, Colorado should destroy CSU with this group of veterans. Just waiting to see if Hawk can figure out a way to screw it up.
best "bet" is CSU on the money line. cover is one thing, but if you want to "gamble" and maybe make some money....CSU on the moneyline.
in a very minor way, this is like the RRS in the 90's, the underdog won outright like 8 of 10 years and covered every year. when they both sucked.
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