Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Buffnik, Jun 2, 2012.
I know it may be wishful thinking and biased, but I think the Buffs get bowl eligible with the favorable schedule, and finally a few lucky breaks. Wins against CSU, Sac State, Fresno State, ASU, Zona, and UCLA.
13 at least that is the way my gold colored glasses see it
I think six, combination of a much weaker OOC schedule and Embree starting to get rid of the Hawkins "How are we going to lose" attitude gets us enough wins to go to a minor bowl game.
Yeah, I said two. i'm in a ****** mood and we suck. at least the buffs can only exceed my expectations now.
Went with 6, very optimistic I know. Think we pull a few out we shouldnt or not supposed to.
6 plus a bowl win
5 but I voted 6
5... maybe less
We pull seven by winning one we shouldn't.
Months ago I guessed 6 and a bowl. But 2 things changed my opinion since then. #1: PRich; #2: I was convinced Wood would emerge as a big-time QB out of Spring. So I went with 5
I'm saying five, but only because we have bye this year
I would love to hear from the 6 and more win folks what games they consider to be swing games and how many of them the Buffs win. I only see 3 games that I would be disappointed if we lost (non-Conf slate). Then we move into swing games and a few games where a Buff win would be a monumental upset.
Winning more than 5 means winning more than half of the swing games and that goes against the law of averages. Are folks setting themselves up for disappointment?
We've got a lot of games on our schedule against teams that are completely changing systems with new coaching staffs. I think that improves the odds of us pulling more upsets than you'd usually see.
4. Hey we're making progress!!
I want to say we win more, but I just don't have a good feeling about this season.
I went with 6 because I just can't predict a losing season. I don't care how bad we are, I can't actually predict such a thing.
7 wins. You heard it here first
5 if things go well.
6 if things go really well.
7 if CU just gets flat out lucky.
No, I didn't.
This is a completely unscientific out of my ass use of percentages to represent my expectations for CU's chances of victory.
CSU - 85% New Coach. Talent advantage.
Sac State - 98% Talent advantage
@ Fresno - 60% BCS v nonBCS talent advantage.
@ WSU - 49% New Coach/System
UCLA - 51% New Coach. Folsom magic. Embree revenge factor
ASU - 51% New Coach. Folsom magic.
@USC - 4% Would have to catch them sleeping
@Oregon - 5% Because USC > O
Stanford - 10% Folsom magic = half of optimism
@Arizona - 49% CU tired of losing. New Coach
UDub - 50% Folsom magic. Inexperienced players now experienced
Utes - 60% Folsom magic. Bowl eligibility on line.
43% = 5.2 wins.
head says 3, heart hopes for miracles.
How is this not scientific? There are percentages (and stuff).
62% of all science is actually math, dumbass.
there is a 90% chance that this thread is about to devolve.
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