Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by BuffsNYC, Aug 19, 2013.
Dead ass last.
I think this line says it all:
basically his formula is talent + coaching + a bunch of other factors = team quality.
I guess I don't see factors like kids leaving a program or injuries that would cause the average talent to drop. Plus that bunch of other factors is huge, like how easy is the team's schedule? Are all their tough games played at home?
One thing he did not elaborate on was the definition of team quality - here it is. One observation is the Team quality number is greatly impacted by the quality of QB play - Auburn was highly efficient with Cam Newton and highly inefficient without him.
F-Plus (F/+) Football Outsiders official college football ratings, combining play-by-play and drive-based efficiency systems developed independently by Bill Connelly and Brian Fremeau. F/+ ratings represent the best measure of overall college team performance we've measured in terms of predictive quality and retrodictive analysis. ( From Football Outsiders).
Sounds like a similar debate we had the past few months about the relative importance of aggregate team recruiting rankings and coaching quality in predicting winning %.
Some of you who are familiar with regression analysis will recognize that despite his model not having every possible variable, coaching quality and average recruiting quality are strong predictors of success.
Like the comments for the teams at the bottom...intramurals? Haha...
And what is the r-squared on this analysis, bitch?
Makes sense. Great QB play impacts a team like no other position or position group.
Embree between Wulff and Willingham. Sounds about right.
Predictors perhaps. Certainly follows success. Hard to differentiate that one.
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