There's also Oregon at #54. If they get a win this weekend we should be looking at a Top 50 opponent on the road next week.
We definitely don't have an easy road, but there's a road. Gotta win.
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RPI Watch (Updated for 2/23 games)
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
There's also Oregon at #54. If they get a win this weekend we should be looking at a Top 50 opponent on the road next week.
We definitely don't have an easy road, but there's a road. Gotta win.
Wednesday, 2/22
Entering the night, CU was at #74 in the RPI according to Real Time RPI.
Wednesday finals:
Bubble Games
#11 Southern Miss lost on the road against #149 UTEP. (How the **** were they #11?)
#41 Long Beach State won at home against #126 UC Santa Barbara.
#42 Iowa State won at home against #228 Texas Tech.
#43 West Virginia lost on the road against #40 Notre Dame.
#47 St. Joseph's lost at home against #142 Richmond.
#50 South Florida lost on the road against #1 Syracuse.
#51 Purdue won at home against #131 Nebraska.
#53 Marshall won at home against #220 Houston.
#54 UCF lost on the road at #176 Rice.
#61 Northern Iowa won at home against #255 Bradley.
#62 Akron won at home against #158 Bowling Green.
#63 Mississippi lost on the road against #109 Tennessee.
#67 LSU won at home against #115 Georgia.
#71 VCU won on the road against #210 UNC Wilmington.
#73 La Salle lost at home against #16 Temple.
#75 Dayton won on the road against #78 Duquesne.
#76 Minnesota lost at home against #4 Michigan State.
#83 George Mason lost on the road at #193 Northeastern.
CU RPI Games
Wichita State (#13) won on the road against Illinois State (#125).
Wyoming (#87) lost on the road against San Diego State (#35).
Georgia (#115) lost on the road against LSU (#67).
Air Force (#155) lost at home against TCU (#107).
Western Michigan (#188) won at home against Ball State (#241).
Cal State Bakersfield (#221) won on the road against NJIT (#305).
CU's RPI after tonight's games: #74 (no change)
Entering the night, CU was at #74 in the RPI according to Real Time RPI.
Wednesday finals:
Bubble Games
#11 Southern Miss lost on the road against #149 UTEP. (How the **** were they #11?)
#41 Long Beach State won at home against #126 UC Santa Barbara.
#42 Iowa State won at home against #228 Texas Tech.
#43 West Virginia lost on the road against #40 Notre Dame.
#47 St. Joseph's lost at home against #142 Richmond.
#50 South Florida lost on the road against #1 Syracuse.
#51 Purdue won at home against #131 Nebraska.
#53 Marshall won at home against #220 Houston.
#54 UCF lost on the road at #176 Rice.
#61 Northern Iowa won at home against #255 Bradley.
#62 Akron won at home against #158 Bowling Green.
#63 Mississippi lost on the road against #109 Tennessee.
#67 LSU won at home against #115 Georgia.
#71 VCU won on the road against #210 UNC Wilmington.
#73 La Salle lost at home against #16 Temple.
#75 Dayton won on the road against #78 Duquesne.
#76 Minnesota lost at home against #4 Michigan State.
#83 George Mason lost on the road at #193 Northeastern.
CU RPI Games
Wichita State (#13) won on the road against Illinois State (#125).
Wyoming (#87) lost on the road against San Diego State (#35).
Georgia (#115) lost on the road against LSU (#67).
Air Force (#155) lost at home against TCU (#107).
Western Michigan (#188) won at home against Ball State (#241).
Cal State Bakersfield (#221) won on the road against NJIT (#305).
CU's RPI after tonight's games: #74 (no change)
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Stanford is sitting exactly at 100 in the RPI, Cal is 31st.
It's go-time.
It's go-time.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Minnesota is all but eliminated from the bubble at this point. Can't fault them for playing the Spartans tough, but this is their 4th loss in a row, dropping them to 17-11 (5-10). Don't care how good a conference is, being 5 games under .500 is bad news.
They were two spots ahead of us in rpi which is why i posted
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Oh I'm fully aware they've been considered to be on the bubble. Just pointing out that it's good news for us that they're headed the wrong way in a hurry
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Iowa State and Purdue are almost there, but now they have really difficult schedules to close.
LSU has come out of left field and on to the bubble having won 4 straight. Perfect example of how much time there is left for the bubble picture to shift dramatically.
Southern Miss is starting to get into trouble after losing to Houston and UTEP. They're nowhere near as safe as that ridiculously overinflated RPI would suggest.
WVU is definitely in some trouble as well. They face Marquette in Morgantown next, so they've got a chance to take care of business, but assuming they lose that they're looking like an NIT team baring a big run in Madison Square.
South Florida has a weird resume. They're not getting in unless they get some big wins, and quickly. Does that sound familiar? Their resume is not dissimilar to ours, only with some ugly, ugly (much uglier than CSU or WYO) losses early in the season. That 10-5 mark in the Big East is misleading.
St. Joe's eliminated themselves by losing to Richmond.
Minnesota is done as well. 5-10 in the B1G.
UCF. Done. Lost to Rice.
I still think WV is in decent shape because they have such a good resume played a great OOC schedule but losing 6 of their last 8 has really put them on shaky ground all of a sudden. They can go a long way to putting themselves back in good shape by beating Marquette tomorrow.
As for USF, yea the committee really needs too look deep into their conference record because all their wins have come against the bottom 6 teams in the Big East with the exception of a home win over a decent Seton Hall team. There's quite a drop-off between the top 10 and the bottom 6 in that conference.
Another repercussion of Minnesota losing is that Tubby Smith might be in trouble. If he's fired, Yung pointed out on twitter yesterday that he thinks Minny would go after Tim Miles of CSU.
Honestly, I'd be stunned if Miles didn't jump ship this off-season. I know next year's team should be even better (I don't think they lose ANYONE), but you have to strike while the iron's hot. And, honestly, UNLV and SDSU will probably be even better next year, so I'm not sure he can really do any better than he has this season.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Good point about Miles and Minny. I've actually been thinking that there's a good chance Nebraska might make a move for Miles. Sadler is toast, and Nebraska has that brand new 16,500 seat arena on the way for 2013. Considering Miles is a native of South Dakota, and has spent his coaching career in South Dakota, Minnesota, North Dakota and obviously Colorado, you'd figure both Minnesota and Nebraska would be attracted due to the regional aspect.
Tonight's got a bunch of games to keep any eye on. I ****ing love the last couple weeks of February!
COLORADO (18-8 / 10-4, #74) hosts Stanford (18-9 / 8-7, #103) - MUST WIN GAME
Bubble Watch, 2/23
#3 RPI Duke at #18 Florida state (means nothing to us, but a great game to watch at 5pm Mtn ahead of the CU game)
#34 St. Mary's at #234 Portland (should be an easy win for SMU, but a loss would be a killer)
#38 Alabama at #85 Arkansas (we want Bama - common opponents helps RPI & we don't want Arkansas on the bubble)
#39 Murray State at #125 Tennessee State (rematch of MSU's only conference loss - another eliminates MSU from bubble buster status)
#40 Middle Tennessee at #328 LA-Monroe (let's just hope that MTU wins the Sun Belt tourney)
#46 BYU at #20 Gonzaga (Zags need to take care of business for us)
#59 South Dakota State hosts #204 Western Illinois (WIU can help keep the Summit at 1 bid to conference champ)
#61 Belmont at #329 Kennesaw State (even this win should hurt Belmont's RPI)
#65 New Mexico State hosts #197 Hawaii (hard to see a loss for NMSU here, but Hawaii can be dangerous)
#68 Wagner at #339 Bryant (see Belmont & Davidson notes)
#70 Davidson hosts #253 Elon (Davidson should be the auto-bid and these kind of wins won't allow a bracket bust)
#75 Weber State at #264 Northern Colorado (WSU is 1 spot behind us - Tad's old boys can create some distance)
#79 Bucknell at #142 American U (USA! USA! USA!)
#80 Cleveland State hosts #162 Detroit (Detroit could end them tonight)
#82 Cincinnati hosts #21 Louisville (Cincy's resume isn't as solid as people seem to think)
#202 Fresno State hosts #277 Seattle (victory gives us another Top 200 win on our RPI resume)
Pac-12 Games
UCLA (15-12 / 8-6, #135) at Arizona State (8-19 / 4-11, #238) - we need UCLA to win this
USC (6-12 / 1-13, #242) at Arizona (19-9 / 10-5, #67) - don't see how Zona could lose
Cal (22-6 / 12-3, #32) at Utah (5-21 / 2-12, #279) - Utah needs to keep it close enough to tire Cal out
COLORADO (18-8 / 10-4, #74) hosts Stanford (18-9 / 8-7, #103) - MUST WIN GAME
Bubble Watch, 2/23
#3 RPI Duke at #18 Florida state (means nothing to us, but a great game to watch at 5pm Mtn ahead of the CU game)
#34 St. Mary's at #234 Portland (should be an easy win for SMU, but a loss would be a killer)
#38 Alabama at #85 Arkansas (we want Bama - common opponents helps RPI & we don't want Arkansas on the bubble)
#39 Murray State at #125 Tennessee State (rematch of MSU's only conference loss - another eliminates MSU from bubble buster status)
#40 Middle Tennessee at #328 LA-Monroe (let's just hope that MTU wins the Sun Belt tourney)
#46 BYU at #20 Gonzaga (Zags need to take care of business for us)
#59 South Dakota State hosts #204 Western Illinois (WIU can help keep the Summit at 1 bid to conference champ)
#61 Belmont at #329 Kennesaw State (even this win should hurt Belmont's RPI)
#65 New Mexico State hosts #197 Hawaii (hard to see a loss for NMSU here, but Hawaii can be dangerous)
#68 Wagner at #339 Bryant (see Belmont & Davidson notes)
#70 Davidson hosts #253 Elon (Davidson should be the auto-bid and these kind of wins won't allow a bracket bust)
#75 Weber State at #264 Northern Colorado (WSU is 1 spot behind us - Tad's old boys can create some distance)
#79 Bucknell at #142 American U (USA! USA! USA!)
#80 Cleveland State hosts #162 Detroit (Detroit could end them tonight)
#82 Cincinnati hosts #21 Louisville (Cincy's resume isn't as solid as people seem to think)
#202 Fresno State hosts #277 Seattle (victory gives us another Top 200 win on our RPI resume)
Pac-12 Games
UCLA (15-12 / 8-6, #135) at Arizona State (8-19 / 4-11, #238) - we need UCLA to win this
USC (6-12 / 1-13, #242) at Arizona (19-9 / 10-5, #67) - don't see how Zona could lose
Cal (22-6 / 12-3, #32) at Utah (5-21 / 2-12, #279) - Utah needs to keep it close enough to tire Cal out
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Agree on all except Alabama/Arkansas. Razorbacks are definitely NIT bound at this point and 'Bama is pretty bubbly right now, so a Crimson Tide loss would be good news IMO.
I worry that Arkansas could go on a run over its last 4, get over 20 wins with a winning conference record, and pair that with its Michigan win to get a bid.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Anything is possible, but they haven't won a road game all season and are headed the wrong way losing 4/5
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Well, might be worth reviving this as we're (somehow) still in the hunt. We might be hanging by a thread, but at least we're still getting mentioned by multiple sources, including the most recent ESPN Bubble Watch http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch
RPI:
Cal 36
Washington 52
Oregon 53
Arizona 74
Colorado 76
RPI:
Cal 36
Washington 52
Oregon 53
Arizona 74
Colorado 76
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If Washington is gonna lose they need to lose both of their final two, so that we can tie for first. If not they need to win out and give us another top 50 win. Beating oregon gets us another top 100 win which is good, unfortunately they wont be able to break the top 50 when we beat them.
they are not going to lose to USC so you better root for them versus UCLA.
Ill root for USC until they lose haha and then Ill make my decision for the puppies vs the bRUINS
From ESPN Bubble Watch
This part made me laugh and cry...
Sounds like what we thought about a year ago... :huh: :lol:
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
CU stayed steady at 76th tonight, but Arizona dropped to 75th. The segment that has Arizona as a near-lock should cool down on that. Arizona has some serious work to do in the Pac-12 tournament, where they likely have a highly unfavorable matchup against UCLA to start things off.
Washington inched up to 51st, and Oregon inched up to 52nd. We're awfully close to having ourselves 3 RPI top 50 wins (and hopefully 4 is upcoming on Thursday)
Really, really need Maryland (102), Stanford (105) and Georgia (108) to get into the damn top 100.
Washington inched up to 51st, and Oregon inched up to 52nd. We're awfully close to having ourselves 3 RPI top 50 wins (and hopefully 4 is upcoming on Thursday)
Really, really need Maryland (102), Stanford (105) and Georgia (108) to get into the damn top 100.
What's funny about that is Arizona has almost an identical resume to ours. Their RPI is a little higher but their SOS is weaker. They're a half game up in the conference standings. They beat Cal (albeit at Cal), but they're also 0-3 against Washington and Oregon. We'll end up 2-1 against those 2, at worst.