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Schedule analysis: Colorado

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News Junkie
By Ted Miller

We'll be reviewing each Pac-12 team's schedule, and now we move on to the South Division.

Up next: Colorado

Breakdown: five home (four conference games), seven road (five conference games), one neutral field

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Nonconference opponents (with 2010 records)

Sept. 3 at Hawaii (10-4)
Sept. 10 California (5-7)*
Sept. 17 Colorado State (3-9)
Sept. 24 at Ohio State (12-1)

*A previously schedule nonconference game that doesn't count in the conference standings.

South Division games

Oct. 29 at Arizona State
Nov. 4 USC
Nov. 12 Arizona
Nov. 19 at UCLA
Nov. 25 at Utah

Crossover games

Oct. 1 Washington State
Oct. 8 at Stanford
Oct. 15 at Washington
Oct. 22 Oregon

Conference misses

*California
Oregon State

Key stretch: It's not how you start; it's how you finish. The Buffaloes don't play a South Division game until Oct. 29, and then they play all five divisional foes over the final five weeks of the season -- three of which are on the road. While it would be nice for the Jon Embree Era to get off to a fast start, it would be more meaningful for the Buffs to head into the offseason -- bowl season? -- feeling good about the way they finished.

Trap game: Colorado's Pac-12 opener is at home against Washington State. I'm sure Buffaloes players and fans are well-aware of the Cougars' struggles of late. On this brutal schedule, it would be easy to pencil in this one as a victory. That might be a mistake: The Cougs figure to be much improved.

Sure thing: There are no sure things here. You could volunteer Colorado State for that role -- the Rams were pretty darn terrible in 2010 -- but that's a rivalry game in which the Buffaloes have an uneven history.

Analysis: This is one of the toughest schedules in the nation. There are likely five foes that will be ranked in the preseason Top 25. Maybe more. Thirteen consecutive games without a bye (which means no off-week providing extra time for a sprained ankle or "stinger" to heal). Just five home games. A visit to Ohio State, which is still Ohio State despite the offseason turmoil. A Hawaii team that won 10 games in 2010 and features one of the best quarterbacks in the nation (Bryant Moniz). A "10th" Pac-12 game against California, which doesn't count in the conference standings. The lone conference miss is Oregon State, which probably wouldn't be the Buffs' first choice. Finally, with a 13-game schedule, the Buffs have to win seven to qualify for a bowl game. That, suffice it to say, won't be easy. Colorado could be much better in 2011 than it was in 2010 but not produce a record that reflects that.

Originally posted by ESPN.com - Pac-10 Blog
Click here to view the article.
 
I agree with his conclusion. We may see a much improved team on the field but that may not actually translate to more wins this year given how difficult our schedule is. Stanford, Oregon, USC, OSU, and ASU may all be ranked with the possibility of Hawaii. Thats about as tough as it gets.

Clarification: I still see 8 wins, Its just going to be tough to get there
 
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The SoS is totally worth it IMO.

While this schedule might not do much for Bowl Game qualification, it does play in four Bowl cities during the course of the regular season (Aloha, Rose, Fiesta, Emerald).

The trip to Seattle and to the Horseshoe in Columbus are both pretty attractive.

I'd much rather be looking down this gauntlet than have to face down another B12 schedule.
 
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