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Who is Exceeding Expectations? Who is Disappointing?

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Quattro, Oct 8, 2014.

  1. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    We are half way through the season, so what Pac 12 teams have overachieved and which ones have underachieved?

    TeamAdj OffenseAdj DefenseExpected W%Expected WActual WDiffExpected Tot W
    1OSU31.4236.210.4172.141.95.0
    2Arizona31.6920.630.7343.751.38.8
    3Cal53.6648.150.5642.841.26.8
    4ASU41.6733.540.6263.140.97.5
    5Washington34.2423.390.7123.640.48.5
    6Colorado24.0031.90.3382.020.04.1
    7Utah33.8618.610.8054.040.09.7
    8UCLA43.3622.760.8224.14-0.19.9
    9Oregon41.6721.820.8224.14-0.19.9
    10USC31.7419.340.7643.83-0.89.2
    11Wazzu29.1528.210.5193.12-1.16.2
    12Stanford24.478.980.9154.63-1.611.0

    So, Oregon State according to this is the "luckiest" team in the conference thus far winning nearly two games above their projection based on adjusted offensive and defensive stats. Stanford has had the worst "luck" this season, winning 1.6 games less than they were expected to. Despite Stanford's bad luck, they are still projected to have the best overall record in the Pac 12. I still maintain that UA and Utah are vastly overrated at this point and both will come crashing back to Earth soon. Obviously there are flaws in this like the schedule going forward, but still an interesting look.
     
    Darth Snow likes this.
  2. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    Been impressed with Buffnik's work of late despite burnout, Duff to. Boydbuff leading with quantity over follow up.

    I think Burrito and Skiddy have lost a step.

    Also I've lost a step, came into camp over weight, too much legal weed and Fatty Jay's. I'll play myself into shape during basketball season.
     
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  3. Clean Undies

    Clean Undies Flagship of the 12-Pac Club Member

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    The place just ain't the same ever since Junction kicked the bucket.
    It's 'Tini's world now and the rest of us just live in it.
     
  4. Burrito Palazzo

    Burrito Palazzo AnalExplosionDeathMatch Club Member

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    It's a topsy turvy world and I am adrift. But that shall not deter me! I vow to be more unhelpful than ever!
     
  5. Swish

    Swish Half a bubble off Club Member

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    So does this make FLounder his vice dictator?
     
  6. Burrito Palazzo

    Burrito Palazzo AnalExplosionDeathMatch Club Member

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    Fify.
     
  7. J.R. Ewing

    J.R. Ewing Club Member Club Member

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    That's a quality fify. He's still got it.
     
  8. SpacemanSpiff

    SpacemanSpiff Club Member Club Member

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    He definitely flashes.
     
  9. WizzersGhost

    WizzersGhost Banned BANNED

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    UN.POSSIBLE.
     
  10. mdelpizzo_1

    mdelpizzo_1 My Dixie Wrecked Club Member

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    This is how I've always pictured him.

    [​IMG]
     
  11. goalline

    goalline smh Club Member

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    One of the best thread jacks ever. It's amazing how narcissistic allbuffs can be at its best.

    As to the OP, I think Oregon is going to continue to disappoint. They're a team that was shooting for a national championship, and once the dream is gone they'll all head out for weed together.
     
  12. SpacemanSpiff

    SpacemanSpiff Club Member Club Member

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    That's him. But with less hair. Oh, and the free wifi is definitely him. He's a giver.
     
  13. Bufffan68

    Bufffan68 Club Member Club Member

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    I think Stanford is the best team...they dominated USC but didn't execute when it mattered. They also lost on a last second play to a very good ND team. I think the most overrated team is UCLA.

    I'm not sure AZ and UU are vastly overrated, I think they are good teams. Is AZ the 10th best team in the country? Probably not, but certainly top 25. Cal is a few plays away from being 2-3, we are a few plays away from being 4-2, UO is a favorable call away from being 3-2. I think the parity in the PAC12 is ridiculous...I can see any team beating another on any given Saturday...which hasn't been the case since it became the PAC12.
     
  14. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Interesting. We are who our record says we are.
     
  15. buffedup

    buffedup Cooler than a Popsicle Stand. Club Member

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    How is that disappointing?
     
  16. Burrito Palazzo

    Burrito Palazzo AnalExplosionDeathMatch Club Member

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    No Wi-Fi for you. I'm wearing an orange shirt today.
     
  17. FlatironsBuff

    FlatironsBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Oregon was always going to disappoint once Kelly left and they hired Hellitch. Everyone here knew it was only a matter of how slow they would implode, not if.
     

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