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How Do We Finish?

How do the Buffs finish these last five games?

  • 5-0

    Votes: 5 6.8%
  • 4-1

    Votes: 27 36.5%
  • 3-2

    Votes: 37 50.0%
  • 2-3

    Votes: 4 5.4%
  • 1-4

    Votes: 1 1.4%
  • 0-5

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    74

Goose

Hoops Moderator
Club Member
Junta Member
The Buffs have five games left. They're one game back in the standings. So how will they finish the season?

February 18th, 2011 @ Utah
KenPom:
CU 90% chance of winning
Record: 5-20 (2-11)
KenPom Ranking: 304
RPI: 275

February 23rd, 2011 vs Stanford
KenPom:
CU 58% chance of winning
Record: 17-8 (7-6)
KenPom Ranking: 57
RPI: 104

February 26th, 2011 vs California
KenPom:
CU 34% chance of winning
Record: 20-6 (10-3)
KenPom Ranking: 16
RPI: 36

March 1st, 2011 @ Oregon
KenPom:
CU 39% chance of winning
Record: 18-7 (9-4)
KenPom Ranking: 89
RPI: 68

March 3rd, 2011 @ Oregon State
KenPom:
CU 39% chance of winning
Record: 15-10 (5-8)
KenPom Ranking: 91
RPI: 146
 
I'm being optimistic and going with 4-1. I think we only lose one on the road (seems to be the pattern these days). I think that we can beat CAL and Stanford at home. We were in both games until the last 10 minutes. I was at the CAL game and the team really fed off the energy we gave them but unfortunately it just wasn't enough. We were overtaken by the CAL fans near the end of the game.
 
I went with 4-1 but could easily see the 3-2 split. I think we clean the glass with wins at home and take Utah and OSU on the road.
 
I voted 3-2 but 4-1 is not out of the realm of possibilities. Neither is 2-3 but let's talk 4-1. Holding court at home has become a staple of Boyle Ball, as is toughness which I dig. I like one final homestand, gutting it out for the seniors followed by the best possible timing of the Buffs' first big road win.
 
I say 4-1, with the loss coming at Oregon. 3-2 is definitely a possibility if we drop one to Cal at home. I don't see how we can lose @ Oregon St, we are just a superior team as has been proven with blowing them out the last two times we've played them.
 
I think it's too early to say that we need to go 5-0. If we go 4-1 and win 2 games in the conference tourney then I love our chances of getting in.

Honestly, I think even with 5-0 we're on the outside looking in. Our resume isn't strong enough.
 
Honestly, I think even with 5-0 we're on the outside looking in. Our resume isn't strong enough.

5-0 likely means the Buffs win the regular season title and I just don't think - with all the politics amongst the major conferences - the committee will keep the Regular Season champ of one of those conferences out of the dance. It'd be a disaster and I have to imagine Larry Scott has some pull around the country.
 
5-0 likely means the Buffs win the regular season title and I just don't think - with all the politics amongst the major conferences - the committee will keep the Regular Season champ of one of those conferences out of the dance. It'd be a disaster and I have to imagine Larry Scott has some pull around the country.

Yup. 5-0 isn't going to happen, but since we're talking about it, there's no way CU could be kept out if they finished 5-0, and thus 22-8 (14-4). The Buffs would be conference champs, would have added a top 40 win over Cal and a top 75 road win over Oregon to their resume. Perhaps most importantly, they would have finished extremely strong, when most bubble teams falter (see: current situation already taking place in B1G).
 
Snow just trys hard to be honest with himself to avoid letdown, but is always bordering being a negative Nancy.
 
Snow just trys hard to be honest with himself to avoid letdown, but is always bordering being a negative Nancy.
Hey man, we only have the odds in favor of us winning 2 out of five games. And one of them is closer than any of the odds saying we are gonna lose. Soooo ya, 2-3 and 1-4 are more likely than the positive results. Plus, this team still doesn't believe it can win a tough road game.
 
Snow just trys hard to be honest with himself to avoid letdown, but is always bordering being a negative Nancy.

I try to be honest with myself too, but you don't see my flirting with 1-4. He's just in a foul mood 'cause I whupped him on NCAA last night.
 
I try to be honest with myself too, but you don't see my flirting with 1-4. He's just in a foul mood 'cause I whupped him on NCAA last night.
Whupped? Only if you take the aggregate score :lol:. Want a non-league rematch sometime?
 
Hey man, we only have the odds in favor of us winning 2 out of five games. And one of them is closer than any of the odds saying we are gonna lose. Soooo ya, 2-3 and 1-4 are more likely than the positive results. Plus, this team still doesn't believe it can win a tough road game.

The correct answer is 3-2. You pick 2-3 with your borderline negative attitude and the borderline sunshine pumpers are going with 4-1. The answer lies in the middle. 3-2!
 
The correct answer is 3-2. You pick 2-3 with your borderline negative attitude and the borderline sunshine pumpers are going with 4-1. The answer lies in the middle. 3-2!
3-2 IS the mild sunshine pumping answer. 4-1 is the ridiculous sunshine pumping answer. 2-3 is the Kenpom answer, and what my gut says we do. 1-4 is the negative nancy answer that happens to be more likely than either sunshiney answer.
 
Wtf is wrong with you people. Were going 5-0 and I expect to be repped generously for being the only one to vote that in the poll when we do it.
 
Wtf is wrong with you people. Were going 5-0 and I expect to be repped generously for being the only one to vote that in the poll when we do it.
Neg rep planned. Will buy beer in recompense. If we go 5-0, I will buy the dark horse crew a round of shots.
 
KenPom has been pretty wrong about the Buffs for most of the year. I seem to recall he predicted losses at home to Arizona, Washington and Oregon and I think he even predicted a CU loss at USC. He may be pretty good when it comes to other schools, but he's been off the mark with regards to CU.
 
4 - 1, with the only loss a being a head-scratcher at oregano state.


The duckies are less than stellar on their bizarre home court, and the Yoots just aren't very good -- 2 road wins. The Buffs want revenge against da Bars and 'furd, and are playing in the Keg -- 2 home wins. That leaves it to beaver; they like to press a lot and cause turnovers/easy buckets. This plays to 2 weaknesses -- 1. Nate's ballhandling and decisions under pressure, and 2. Other ball handlers are young and prone to mistakes. I think the beav's sneak away with a close win.

(About the player references above -- not knocking or attacking anyone. It's just what I've seen so far this year.)
 
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