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Conference Auto-Bid & Bubble Watch

Buffnik

Buffnik

Real name isn't Nik
Club Member
Junta Member
Conference tourney winners get an auto-bid to the NCAA tournament.

Conference regular season winners that don't win their tourney get an auto-bid to the NIT tournament if they don't receive an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament.

For our Buffs, it looks like our only path to the Dance is winning the Pac-12 tourney. For an NIT bid, we want to see as few upsets of top seeds in the 1-bid conferences as possible so that the NIT field for at-large bids doesn't get shrunk.

ESPN's got detail on each conference tourney's brackets: http://www.espn.com/mens-college-ba...ched2019champweek/clinch-ncaa-tournament-spot

(regular season champs are not all final yet)
[TABLE="class: brtb_item_table"][TBODY][TR][TD]CONFERENCE[/TD][TD]REG SEASON CHAMP[/TD][TD]TOURNEY CHAMP[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]America East[/TD][TD]Vermont[/TD][TD]Vermont[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]AAC[/TD][TD]Houston[/TD][TD]Cincinnati[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]A-10[/TD][TD]VCU[/TD][TD]St. Louis[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]ACC[/TD][TD]Virginia[/TD][TD]Duke[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Atlantic Sun[/TD][TD]Lipscomb[/TD][TD]Liberty[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Big 12[/TD][TD]Kansas State[/TD][TD]Iowa State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Big East[/TD][TD]Villanova[/TD][TD]Villanova[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Big Sky[/TD][TD]Montana[/TD][TD]Montana[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Big South[/TD][TD]Campbell[/TD][TD]Gardner-Webb[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Big Ten[/TD][TD]Michigan State[/TD][TD]Michigan State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Big West[/TD][TD]UC Irvine[/TD][TD]UC Irvine[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Colonial[/TD][TD]Hofstra[/TD][TD]Northeastern[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]C-USA[/TD][TD]Old Dominion[/TD][TD]Old Dominion[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Horizon[/TD][TD]Wright State[/TD][TD]Northern Kentucky[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Ivy[/TD][TD]Harvard[/TD][TD]Yale[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Metro Atlantic[/TD][TD]Iona[/TD][TD]Iona[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Mid-American[/TD][TD]Buffalo[/TD][TD]Buffalo[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Mid-Eastern[/TD][TD]Norfolk State[/TD][TD]NC Central[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Missouri Valley[/TD][TD]Loyola-Chicago[/TD][TD]Bradley[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Mountain West[/TD][TD]Utah State[/TD][TD]Utah State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Northeast[/TD][TD]St. Francis (PA)[/TD][TD]Fairleigh Dickinson[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Ohio Valley[/TD][TD]Belmont[/TD][TD]Murray State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Pac-12[/TD][TD]Washington[/TD][TD]Oregon[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Patriot[/TD][TD]Colgate[/TD][TD]Colgate[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]SEC[/TD][TD]LSU[/TD][TD]Auburn[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Southern[/TD][TD]Wofford[/TD][TD]Wofford[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Southland[/TD][TD]Sam Houston State[/TD][TD]Abilene Christian[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Southwestern[/TD][TD]Prairie View A&M[/TD][TD]Prairie View A&M[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Summit[/TD][TD]South Dakota State[/TD][TD]North Dakota State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Sun Belt[/TD][TD]Georgia State[/TD][TD]Georgia State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]West Coast[/TD][TD]Gonzaga[/TD][TD]St. Mary's[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Western[/TD][TD]New Mexico State[/TD][TD]New Mexico State[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD][/TR][/TBODY][/TABLE]
 
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UNC-Greeley tied with Montana atop the Big Sky standings. Very cool! They play Northern Arizona @home on Saturday, with the Griz @Sac State. Not sure the of the tie breakers if they both win, but good to see the Bears making noise again.
 
Scotch said:
UNC-Greeley tied with Montana atop the Big Sky standings. Very cool! They play Northern Arizona @home on Saturday, with the Griz @Sac State. Not sure the of the tie breakers if they both win, but good to see the Bears making noise again.
Click to expand...

UNC Alum- so I track them and pull for them-they split the season series-Montana won in Greeley and UNC went to Missoula and beat them up there. Pretty sure they need to beat NAU and hope Sac State beats Montana. The second tiebreaker is highest common opponent (Weber and Montana State are T-3 right now) if I'm understanding it correctly-Montana swept them both and UNC split with both.
 
ahoelsken said:
UNC Alum- so I track them and pull for them-they split the season series-Montana won in Greeley and UNC went to Missoula and beat them up there. Pretty sure they need to beat NAU and hope Sac State beats Montana. The second tiebreaker is highest common opponent (Weber and Montana State are T-3 right now) if I'm understanding it correctly-Montana swept them both and UNC split with both.
Click to expand...

I follow them casually, same with the other D1 schools in the state. That run they had in '11 was a lot of fun. I made it up for a few games that year. Fingers crossed they can do it again.
 
Scotch said:
UNC-Greeley tied with Montana atop the Big Sky standings. Very cool! They play Northern Arizona @home on Saturday, with the Griz @Sac State. Not sure the of the tie breakers if they both win, but good to see the Bears making noise again.
Click to expand...
Looks like Montana actually got the 1-seed on the tiebreaker.
 
torerobuff said:
That was the worst idea ever last year. Glad they reversed course. Now they just have to get the NBA guys off the show. I love Chuck and Kenny, Inside the NBA is the best studio show hands down, but they don’t watch ten seconds of college basketball before the tournament.
Click to expand...

I know what they were trying to accomplish-They wanted to take the suspense out of it for a team like us in 2013 (that was the year we played Illinois) where we were one of the last teams revealed in the bracket. Best solution to that is to reveal the entire thing within the first half hour.

As far as the NBA guys-I like them, and I think they're better than the alternative's (ESPN's) college guys, with Jay Bilas being the lone exception.
 
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As of this morning, CU is #70 in NET, #77 in RPI and #64 in KenPom.

That's a very NIT resume, especially if we can win 2 in Vegas (Cal + Oregon State in neutral site games). Win 3 with a neutral win over Washington and we'd likely be in range to enter the NCAA bubble discussion by the talking heads while being a huge long shot to actually get selected -- but we'd be an NIT lock.
 
Buffnik said:
As of this morning, CU is #70 in NET, #77 in RPI and #64 in KenPom.

That's a very NIT resume, especially if we can win 2 in Vegas (Cal + Oregon State in neutral site games). Win 3 with a neutral win over Washington and we'd likely be in range to enter the NCAA bubble discussion by the talking heads while being a huge long shot to actually get selected -- but we'd be an NIT lock.
Click to expand...
I guess we will just have to win the whole damn thing, then.
 
Buffnik said:
As of this morning, CU is #70 in NET, #77 in RPI and #64 in KenPom.

That's a very NIT resume, especially if we can win 2 in Vegas (Cal + Oregon State in neutral site games). Win 3 with a neutral win over Washington and we'd likely be in range to enter the NCAA bubble discussion by the talking heads while being a huge long shot to actually get selected -- but we'd be an NIT lock.
Click to expand...
Not sure how right this site gets it, but they have us projected as NIT/NIT bubble depending on the number of regular season champs that end up in the NIT. They have 4 teams rated below us with 8 auto bids, 7 of them eating up #7/8 seeds.

DRatings Bracketology
 
Buffnik said:
As of this morning, CU is #70 in NET, #77 in RPI and #64 in KenPom.

That's a very NIT resume, especially if we can win 2 in Vegas (Cal + Oregon State in neutral site games). Win 3 with a neutral win over Washington and we'd likely be in range to enter the NCAA bubble discussion by the talking heads while being a huge long shot to actually get selected -- but we'd be an NIT lock.
Click to expand...

Let's win the auto bid.
 
Buffnik said:
As of this morning, CU is #70 in NET, #77 in RPI and #64 in KenPom.

That's a very NIT resume, especially if we can win 2 in Vegas (Cal + Oregon State in neutral site games). Win 3 with a neutral win over Washington and we'd likely be in range to enter the NCAA bubble discussion by the talking heads while being a huge long shot to actually get selected -- but we'd be an NIT lock.
Click to expand...
I'm curious as to how the selection committee is going to do things this year. The NET ratings have teams with losing or near losing records way above us. I mean, 17-14 Florida is rated #33.

I'm coming around to the idea of putting teams in as at larges based on perceived level of "goodness" based on recent play. You can't tell me a team like Nebraska or Penn State is better than CU, but NET puts both ahead of us. 20 spots in the case of Nebraska.
 
Medford M. said:
I'm curious as to how the selection committee is going to do things this year. The NET ratings have teams with losing or near losing records way above us. I mean, 17-14 Florida is rated #33.

I'm coming around to the idea of putting teams in as at larges based on perceived level of "goodness" based on recent play. You can't tell me a team like Nebraska or Penn State is better than CU, but NET puts both ahead of us. 20 spots in the case of Nebraska.
Click to expand...
That's one of my big annoyances. The way these things work, you move up for losing to Duke by 9 while certain wins may actually drop you. To a certain extent, I am ok with that. I like SOS being important. But I really don't care give any credit for losing a game.
 
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