Both the Buff teams try to punch their tickets this Friday to the NCAA Championships with races at the Mountain Regions in Logan UT (hosted by Utah State Univ.). The women start their 6K race at 10:15 AM, while the men go up to 10K for the 1st time this season in their's, scheduled to start at 11:15.
My random notes-
There's no cubuffs preview yet (assume it will be released tomorrow), but some other media and info for the races -
Interview with Coach Wetmore-
Host Utah State Regionals homepage - http://www.utahstateaggies.com/sports/c-xc/spec-rel/ncaa-17.html
Utah State preview article (with course maps, starting box draws, etc.) - http://www.utahstateaggies.com/sports/c-xc/spec-rel/110817aab.html
Entries List - http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools...7-18/misc_non_event/Participating-Entries.pdf (Note that only 7 of each gender will actually race tomorrow; this is the list (for the Buffs, containing 14 women and 11 men) from which the racing 7 will be chosen. Be interesting to see how many of the top (esp. the younger) Buffs, esp. on the women's side, might not race at all tomorrow.)
Coaches' Association Regionals' "Championships Central"/ homepage - http://www.ustfccca.org/infozone/regional-championship-central.php
Some twitter accounts for possibly keeping up with the news, results, etc.-
Buff track and field - https://NOPE/CUBuffsTrack
(For the Buffs, instagram can also have good photos - https://www.instagram.com/cubuffstrack/ )
Coaches' Association - https://NOPE/USTFCCCA
Host Utah State - https://NOPE/usutf_xc?lang=en
Letsrun - https://NOPE/letsrundotcom
Flotrack - https://NOPE/FloTrack
Live Results - http://www.runnercard.com/results3/meet?meetId=efcd20dc-6158-4195-9b8d-69c90ad96ee4 (linked from https://www.runnercard.com/e/runner.Main?meet=1001504. At least from how Utah State worded their preview article, it sounds like there may only be final results provided, NOT (???) any live interval/ checkpoint times or scoring while the runners are on the course.)
My random notes-
- 9 regional races will determine which 31 teams for each gender get selected for the Championships.
- The top 2 finishing teams in each of the regions are the 18 auto-qualifiers.
- The remaining 13 teams are "At-large" selections. Unlike the team sport selection process most of us are familiar with (with their selection committees), the at-large teams in cross country are selected almost totally on a mathematical calculation based on how many wins the next highest regional finishers have accumulated over the 18 auto-qualifiers, and any other teams that have earned at-large berths earlier in the process (with a few exceptions). (The wins over other all ready selected teams are called "Kolas points".)
- The at-large calculation has quite a few rules. For those interested, here's what looks to me like a decent description of the process and rules - http://www.flotrack.org/article/469...-cross-country-qualifying-system#.WgPzg8bXbIU .
- The Buff women seem to have the easier path at this year's regional:
- Searching for one of the auto-qualifier berths, the #1 Buff women are in the same region as one of the main fellow-contenders for this year's championship, #2 nationally ranked New Mexico. However, the 3rd ranked team in the region is "only" ranked #15 in the country (host Utah State), so hopefully the Buffs can just do a strong tempo run, AND use their great depth, to accomplish the dual objective of regionals, which is always a "dance" of the top teams to (1) of course, qualify for nationals while (2) expending as little energy as possible, with the championships scheduled to be raced only 8 days after regionals.
- Even if the unlikely happens and the women don't get a top 2 auto-qualifying finish, having only one 2nd place finish all year (to Oregon early), the women will have so many kolas points they would easily earn an at-large berth as long as they finish in 3rd or 4th. (Depending on what other teams finish ahead of them, they could even be in decent qualifying shape with a 5th or 6th place finish, but predicting that low of finish for them is pretty much inconceivable anyways.)
- The Buff men are also considered to be in pretty safe shape as long as they don't have a disastrous race in what is a VERY tough and deep mountain region.:
- They will have to pull a MAJOR upset to earn one of the auto-qualifying berths, as the Mountain Region contains the 2 nationally dominant teams so far this season in #1 ranked (and defending champ) Northern Arizona and #2 BYU.
- I should note that that "dance" I mentioned above for the women about wanting to qualify while STAYING AS FRESH AS POSSIBLE is even more important on the men's side, as they go a significantly longer distance (10K vs. 6K) than the women in both their regional and championship races. Therefore, regionals can have upsets that often don't mean much as far as who is a favorite for a national championship and podium finish.
- The Buff men, like the women, are thought to have many wins over the favorites to auto-qualify in other regions so, as long as they finish in the top 4, it would be pretty much guaranteed they'd easily earn one of the at-large berths.
- Even if they don't finish in the top 4, the Mountain is a very deep region, so as long as the teams who finish in the Buffs have quality wins from earlier in the season, they could still possibly make it if they finished as low as 7th in the regional race, although I'm sure sure they will NOT want to finish that low. (As indicated above, the Buffs, #5 in the country, are only #3 in the region. In addition to NAU, BYU and the Buffs, other nationally ranked teams in the region include #8 CSU, #12 Utah State (who beat the Buffs in an early season race), #16 Air Force and #23 (and host) Utah State. Flotrack, who does a kolas projection show after each major race weekend, in its last show (http://www.flotrack.org/video/1263737-kolas-live-week-six-release#.WgP9ccbXbIU) has 5 of the 13 at-large berths potentially coming from the mountain region, which makes sense given the # of ranked teams. Interestingly, Flotrack also projected 5 other at-large teams potentially come from the West Regional, leaving only 3 at-large teams in total to come from the other 7 regions.)
- Although the Buffs have a very good chance of qualifying, one thing I just saw on the entries list that might show the Buffs' podium chances are a little less at Nationals than they might have been perceived going into the season- junior and 2 time All-American John Dressel, who seems to be dealing with some injury issues for awhile now, is NOT on the entries list. Although with the way things are heavily slanted towards Nationals, not starting regionals doesn't guarantee he won't run at nationals (they might just be saving him while he gets back to 100% fitness), it at least increases the odds he might be redshirting so he can have another full season. (I believe he is the only Buff male harrier who had a regular redshirt year left to take, but assume this year might need to be a medical redshirt request anyways since I believe he did race (just once or twice?) in Colorado uniform early this season.) Hopefully someone from one of the running website or press "world" will ask Coach Wetmore or Burroughs at some point whether there's been a final decision on his redshirting.
There's no cubuffs preview yet (assume it will be released tomorrow), but some other media and info for the races -
Interview with Coach Wetmore-
Host Utah State Regionals homepage - http://www.utahstateaggies.com/sports/c-xc/spec-rel/ncaa-17.html
Utah State preview article (with course maps, starting box draws, etc.) - http://www.utahstateaggies.com/sports/c-xc/spec-rel/110817aab.html
Entries List - http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools...7-18/misc_non_event/Participating-Entries.pdf (Note that only 7 of each gender will actually race tomorrow; this is the list (for the Buffs, containing 14 women and 11 men) from which the racing 7 will be chosen. Be interesting to see how many of the top (esp. the younger) Buffs, esp. on the women's side, might not race at all tomorrow.)
Coaches' Association Regionals' "Championships Central"/ homepage - http://www.ustfccca.org/infozone/regional-championship-central.php
Some twitter accounts for possibly keeping up with the news, results, etc.-
Buff track and field - https://NOPE/CUBuffsTrack
(For the Buffs, instagram can also have good photos - https://www.instagram.com/cubuffstrack/ )
Coaches' Association - https://NOPE/USTFCCCA
Host Utah State - https://NOPE/usutf_xc?lang=en
Letsrun - https://NOPE/letsrundotcom
Flotrack - https://NOPE/FloTrack
Live Results - http://www.runnercard.com/results3/meet?meetId=efcd20dc-6158-4195-9b8d-69c90ad96ee4 (linked from https://www.runnercard.com/e/runner.Main?meet=1001504. At least from how Utah State worded their preview article, it sounds like there may only be final results provided, NOT (???) any live interval/ checkpoint times or scoring while the runners are on the course.)
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