Quick, someone tell Montez!
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Nebraska Game Week - Prime: “This is personal. That’s the message of the week.”
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
9 should be all conference preseason tho. But no one else. Wright is promising but he's not ready yet.
Put down the Pizza and watch more film
Could go in multiple threads. But, this line action is indicative of what I’m hearing from sharps: they think the cornholio game will be close. 3.5+ they are eating up.
The other thing is that Colorado is the public’s favorite team. Prime is inspiring action from a lot of non traditional sources.
The other thing is that Colorado is the public’s favorite team. Prime is inspiring action from a lot of non traditional sources.
9 is the nephew of my wife's best friend. He's a good kid but with really poor judgement (because he chose the nubs). He's a mountain of a human being and I'm super glad he's out for the first half.
Watching the Minny game, they looked out of shape in the front 7
With Urban in town I hope the co-eds have their heads on a swivel. Be safe out there ladies.
35 year olds better have their sisters and wives nearby with Urb lurking.
If this game is as close as 3 points, we have nobody in LB and there is no way we beat OSU or Utah.
Betting on a close game is the smart play. As was CU +20.5.
GOOD ****ING THING SMART PLAYS DON'T MEAN **** WITH THIS TEAM THEY'LL FIND OUT SOON ENOUGH mother****ers LET'S RIDE
CU +7-9 was the play.
CU -3 or worse is no bet.
SerenityBuff
Well-Known Member
Coaches talk about Nebraska rivalry. "It's personal."
I foresee this being a conflicting season for you, whereby your model continuously tells you to not lay money on CU, and CU consistently outperforms your model.
Justification (I’ll hit all the hot buttons here): CP and this staff will get more out of these talented players (not named Sanders, Hunter, Edwards etc…) then their value currently suggests. Coaching players up is a real thing if they have raw ability and are in a culture that is hungry to win and continuously improve.
My model has Colorado’s players correctly rated.
SerenityBuff
Well-Known Member
honest question and intended to clarify; How do you weigh future growth and improvement?
What do you mean?
247 on prior to 2023 season:
That was in over 500 snaps.
Could it be that MN was that bad or is #9 finding his way in year 5?
My first post above was simply referencing that the “everyday” workhorse players on the team would see substantial improvement through the season based seeing more PT, and based on the coaching quality and methods they would be getting on the daily from this staff. Inferring we would see a higher quality and more potent team as the season progresses as a result (absent critical injuries). Think 2016 CU with MUCH more talent and a drastically more difficult schedule. My belief is that this dynamic is something that is hard to measure by rating players based on historical performance.
You responded by simply saying you’re not wrong about your player ratings, which led me to ask how you take the above dynamics into account in your model….or do you just not believe this to be relevant.
According to
@betonline_ag
more money has been wagered on this game than all of this weeks NFL games combined.
We are currently witnessing a true phenomena.
@betonline_ag
more money has been wagered on this game than all of this weeks NFL games combined.
We are currently witnessing a true phenomena.
FWIW. Bet a couple of weeks ago and got CU +8.5, -110. After TCU game, got CU moneyline with -128.
@manhattanbuff I’ll also add; I have already stated this elsewhere, but my thesis (if I’m correct) should show up this week.
I think we comfortably beat NU.
I believe we will be very pleasantly surprised by the improvements that we see in CU’s Defense and ST this week. We gave TCU easy scoring opportunities far too often, and they looked like fixable errors rather than talent deficiencies. Combined with the opinion that NU’s front 7 shows like they will get very tired, very quick, against our high paced offense, and I think this game is a comfortable CU win.
I think we comfortably beat NU.
I believe we will be very pleasantly surprised by the improvements that we see in CU’s Defense and ST this week. We gave TCU easy scoring opportunities far too often, and they looked like fixable errors rather than talent deficiencies. Combined with the opinion that NU’s front 7 shows like they will get very tired, very quick, against our high paced offense, and I think this game is a comfortable CU win.
I haven't seen or even heard of this billboard. Anybody have a pic?
My model’s player ratings update after every game, as it incorporates the relevant statistical outputs from that player’s previous games. There’s a quantitative (raw numerical production) factor and a qualitative (opponent strength) factor. The system rates every player, so the number of plays and where they play matters most.
He had a lot of hype as a breakthrough in the preseason and backed it up for game 1. I tend to value how you do in spring, summer workouts and fall camp a lot.