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Official Buffs vs. Northern Colorado Score Prediction Thread

27-17. I fear we come out overconfident again and **** the bed. D still looks good, but lets a little more through.
 
Defense stays solid (against lower competition) - Offense still struggles (and shouldn't) on the OL -

Buffs 45
klaws the bear - 0
 
No line yet, but according to Sagarin we should be favored by 39-41 points. He has Northern Colorado as 192nd best team in the country. Their an average to below average FCS team.

https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/
I think some folks were saying Texas St was supposed to be the worst of the two, but Sagarin has them at 173.

Texas State: 46.29 rating
UNC: 40.97 rating

CSU: 70.09 rating
CU: 78.36 rating
UW: 89.13 rating

IIRC, he says to take the two ratings, add 3 points for the home team them subject and that gives you the likely point spread per the computer.

Edit - on second thought, he has changed this over the years - I don't have time to figure what he would say the point spread is for future games, but CU vs UNC is a 39.61 computer predicted point spread.
 
I think some folks were saying Texas St was supposed to be the worst of the two, but Sagarin has them at 173.

Texas State: 46.29 rating
UNC: 40.97 rating

CSU: 70.09 rating
CU: 78.36 rating
UW: 89.13 rating

IIRC, he says to take the two ratings, add 3 points for the home team them subject and that gives you the likely point spread per the computer.

Edit - on second thought, he has changed this over the years - I don't have time to figure what he would say the point spread is for future games, but CU vs UNC is a 39.61 computer predicted point spread.
can I change my prediction now that this was brought to my attention?
 
I think some folks were saying Texas St was supposed to be the worst of the two, but Sagarin has them at 173.

Texas State: 46.29 rating
UNC: 40.97 rating

CSU: 70.09 rating
CU: 78.36 rating
UW: 89.13 rating

IIRC, he says to take the two ratings, add 3 points for the home team them subject and that gives you the likely point spread per the computer.

Edit - on second thought, he has changed this over the years - I don't have time to figure what he would say the point spread is for future games, but CU vs UNC is a 39.61 computer predicted point spread.

Texas State is better than people gave them credit for. They'll win a few games this season.
 
Texas State is better than people gave them credit for. They'll win a few games this season.
That running offense will work better against teams without CU's athletes (who thought we would be saying that just two years ago?!?). The defense was quite solid - particularly against the run. Even if we were out to lunch on O, we should have done better than we did - credit to them, and I totally agree.
 
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