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CU has rejoined the Big 12 and broken college football - talking out asses continues

Disagree. I think the Big 12's going to invite Utah, Arizona, ASU, and CU regardless.
i so hope you are right.

there is, however, only one pretty girl left at the dance without a partner from the p12 and it is oregon. what you are suggesting would be about tv markets and timezones. please let it be so.
 
i would bet money mizzery won't land in the big in this round of realignment-- neither will duke or any other locked up team-- that is just silliness.

oregon will play for an invite-- if they get it, uw will ride in with them. then it is down to whether the big thinks they are better of with more pacific time zone (cal and stanford) or taking the mountain time zone (colorado and utah or maybe arizona and asu or some combo).

we are not in a position of any strength. i hate everything that has happened to this program since gb.

the big difference here is that mizzou would need to be uninvited unless there are drastic changes to the core of sec and b1g concept, mizzou is in the boat unless the captains of their boat decide to join forces with the captains of another boat to form a super boat and i think that is unlikely.

cu is not in the boat. we are somewhere in the ocean struggling to keep ourselves from drowning. mizzou would need to get kicked to the curb, wed need to get invited in the first place.
 
I think Stanford would be of bigger interest to the BIG than UW. Oregon and the Tree seems to make more sense to me.
 
i so hope you are right.

there is, however, only one pretty girl left at the dance without a partner from the p12 and it is oregon. what you are suggesting would be about tv markets and timezones. please let it be so.
I tend to think its the inverse of last year. There are some fairly attractive brands among the 8-10 Pac 12 leftovers....more so than Cincinnati, UCF, and BYU. If this is just USC/UCLA, the entire Pac merges with the Big 12.

This isn't last year where Kliavkoff had his pick of the best looking ugly chick(s) of the Big 12 leftovers.
 
ACC has to be doing all they can to convince ND to join ASAP, otherwise they could see their remaininig schools of value looking to jump ship.
 
I think Stanford would be of bigger interest to the BIG than UW. Oregon and the Tree seems to make more sense to me.
naw. they already have enough "here for the academics" members who aren't + on tv ratings. there are literally thousands of usc and ucla alums up an down the coast. stanford and cal are ****ed.
 
ACC has to be doing all they can to convince ND to join ASAP, otherwise they could see their remaininig schools of value looking to jump ship.
acc isn't getting poached right now- remember grant of rights issues.

this is all about the remnants of the p12 and other schools in conferences with expiring GoRs.
 
Lol the ACC is a non starter
And Duke is not remotely attractive. The UNC @ Duke basketball game this year - aka Ratface's last game at Cameron and one of the biggest regular season college basketball games ever - had 3.98M viewers. As a point of comparison, there were 42 regular season college football games in the 2022 season that had higher ratings.
 
ACC should be doing all they can to convince ND to join ASAP, otherwise they could see their remaininig schools of value looking to jump ship.

any conference but the sec and b1g are facing an existential threat, i dont see any reason why notre dame should commit to the acc unless the sec and b1g both tell them to bolt, which i think is extremely unlikely as notre dame is one of the premier programs in the country that adds to the pile when you look at things objectively.

i dont see how this doesnt end with the b1g and sec remaining as the only 2 conferences of any sort of relevance and think this will inevitably end with a ~20 team super conference sooner or later
 
I'm getting the feeling that the B1G is going to go to 20 teams and the SEC is on the phone with Disney on who to add next.
 
acc isn't getting poached right now- remember grant of rights issues.

this is all about the remnants of the p12 and other schools in conferences with expiring GoRs.

I'm sure lawyers could find a way around it. Then there's always this scenario, and if the ACC loses members it's likely not losing just 1 school

If Clemson and Florida State both elected to leave the ACC, complete turmoil would break out within the conference. Because of the loss of two schools, ESPN would have every right to renegotiate its contractual agreement with the ACC and could, in some respects, leave the conference for dead.

The one thing we have to remember in these hypothetical renegotiations is that ESPN would hold all the cards and the ACC would have almost nothing. The conference has nearly no negotiating power when its two biggest brands are gone.

In turn, the ACC may would fold on its own, leaving the other 12 conference members to find a new home. If there’s no ACC, there’s no Grant of Rights agreement.

 
Dear Big 12,


We sincerely regret our decision on…..
Most of the members of our Big 12 are no longer part of the conference or are on their way out:

Missouri - gone
Nebraska - gone
Texas A&M - gone
Oklahoma - leaving
Texas - leaving
Kansas - leaving

ISU, KSU, OSU, TTU and Baylor is all that's left.
 
The possibility of a USC +5 means there’s a chance CU is in that group. I honestly don’t know if I want that to happen. The landscape of college football has changed so dramatically and I really don’t like the direction it’s going.

The B10 TV gods will slice and dice the Pac12 (grant money to new member schools) roughly along these value line....

Ranking the most-watched college football programs in 2021​

The numbers next to each school indicate the average number of viewers per week for a 12-week season.

  1. Ohio State — 5.22M
  2. Michigan — 4.74M
  3. Alabama — 4.64M

#10 Oregon — 2.57M

#29 UCLA — 1.18M

#32 Southern Cal — 1.11M

#37 Utah — 994K
#38 Washington — 985K

#46 Stanford — 778K
#47 Arizona State — 739K

#59 Washington State — 483K

#64 Colorado — 366K

#67 Arizona — 337K

#69 Oregon State — 321K

#76 California — 222K


 
I'm sure lawyers could find a way around it. Then there's always this scenario, and if the ACC loses members it's likely not losing just 1 school



the GoRs are very solid after the poaching that occurred prior to the last round of tv contracts. nothing is happening to the acc other than it may pick up some dregs from conferences that are actually imploding.

the rest is just not happening. any speculation to that end is not worth the time.

watch oregon. that is the next bigger trigger. IF the big wants them.

IF the big goes a diff direction than oregon and uw, THEN watch for what happens with the other p12 dregs AND possibly the big 12.
 
College football about to implode in on itself. If a super league forms, there is no doubt in my mind that their viewership is going to plummet.
 
The B10 TV gods will slice and dice the Pac12 (grant money to new member schools) roughly along these value line....

Ranking the most-watched college football programs in 2021​

The numbers next to each school indicate the average number of viewers per week for a 12-week season.

  1. Ohio State — 5.22M
  2. Michigan — 4.74M
  3. Alabama — 4.64M

#10 Oregon — 2.57M

#29 UCLA — 1.18M

#32 Southern Cal — 1.11M

#37 Utah — 994K
#38 Washington — 985K

#46 Stanford — 778K
#47 Arizona State — 739K

#59 Washington State — 483K

#64 Colorado — 366K

#67 Arizona — 337K

#69 Oregon State — 321K

#76 California — 222K




here is a guess: usc and ucla got announced today, among other reasons, because they got "full member" deals from big. any other additions are going to get reduced tv revenue sharing for a period of time (last time it was 6 years). oregon may not think it deserves a partial payout deal. it may try to do something else (like nd or a rebuilt p12 or something). CU, utah, ua, and asu would jump at a partial deal and say thank you but the negotiations are very likely to take longer and be more complicated than offering fulll bank to usc and ucla was.
 
How I imagine the positions of the TV networks in their negations with the new Pac-12:

Nothing Offer GIF
 
College football about to implode in on itself. If a super league forms, there is no doubt in my mind that their viewership is going to plummet.

If this was happening before the NIL became a thing, I'd believe what you are saying.
 
the GoRs are very solid after the poaching that occurred prior to the last round of tv contracts.
Maybe. But the ACC media payout is so incredibly ****ty that a team still might listen and secure their spot for a few years down the road. If the ACC is making $30mil a year and the SEC and B1G teams are making $100mil a year, at some point you can afford to take the hit knowing you'll be secure in the long term.
 
Most of the members of our Big 12 are no longer part of the conference or are on their way out:

Missouri - gone
Nebraska - gone
Texas A&M - gone
Oklahoma - leaving
Texas - leaving
Kansas - leaving

ISU, KSU, OSU, TTU and Baylor is all that's left.
Did I miss something ? Where is Kansas leaving to?
 
Maybe. But the ACC media payout is so incredibly ****ty that a team still might listen and secure their spot for a few years down the road. If the ACC is making $30mil a year and the SEC and B1G teams are making $100mil a year, at some point you can afford to take the hit knowing you'll be secure in the long term.
this would be true if said teams were really driving the negotiations. they are not. 3 players: fox, nbc, and espn (unless something dramatic happens with a streaming Service or something.

said teams may want to chase the money but there is honor among thieves (the 3 aforementioned drivers of these negotiations) and GoRs are probably a line they won't cross.
 
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