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Can we beat Cal or USC?

rolandftw said:
What do you use to calculate point spreads?
Click to expand...

A ranking system that I update weekly based on how far from the expected point difference the results are.

If a score's very close to the expected results, the point value for those teams don't change. If, for example, the result is about 6 points from the expected, I'd add a point to one team and subtract one point from the other.

The math is simple, but it involves tracking every game for the 125+ fbs schools, so it's time consuming.

It's shocking how often my spreads are right on the Vegas lines. I use this to predict line movement during the week.
 
ebevu9eb.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Cal might be disorganized, poorly coached, and failing in the fight to avoid having their players quit on them altogether but they still have more athletes than CU.

It is a winnable game but so were Arizona and ucla.

At home, we've got a good chance.
 
Liver said:
Cal might be disorganized, poorly coached, and failing in the fight to avoid having their players quit on them altogether but they still have more athletes than CU.

It is a winnable game but so were Arizona and ucla.

At home, we've got a good chance.
Click to expand...

We are gonna beat the Buffs by at least 10 points. Book it!
 
NYCGOBEARS! said:
We are gonna beat the Buffs by at least 10 points. Book it!
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Oh, I think you are operating under the misapprehension that (a) I care what you think and (b) I expect much, if anything, positive to happen with our Buffs this season.
 
Tedford at least left some p12 athletes. I think Goff puts it in the air 60x and torches our DBs. Buffs dline does nothing to disrupt the pass. Please be wrong.
 
Our best hope against USC is to catch them napping between Stanford and UCLA. It'll be chilly, and their heads won't be in the game. They've already gotten bowl eligible, so they won't be too amped up to play us.

Still, I would put our chances at somewhere between slim and none, with slim searching for the exit.
 
We can beat Cal, especially if their players keep beating each other up.

http://espn.go.com/college-football...-hale-cal-golden-bears-injured-fight-teammate

Cal freshman running back Fabiano Hale was injured and taken to a hospital after a locker-room fight with a teammate last week, UC Berkeley police said Monday.

University police told the San Francisco Chronicle that Hale, 18, suffered unspecified injuries and was taken to the Alta Bates Medical Center on Friday after a "one-on-one" altercation with a teammate. Police wouldn't identify the second player involved, what led to the fight or if charges might be filed.
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Duff Man said:
Last night's loss dropped us to 0-8 against CA teams since joining the PAC-12 in 2011. As bad as everything else has been, going winless against CA teams might be hurting us the most on the recruiting trail. Can we snap the streak this season or does it loom going into next season?
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Maybe against Cal. Their defense is awful from a statistical point of view but their offense scores more than we do. Maybe we win in a case of he who scores last winneth. The others seem a lot less likely.

Total offense
#14 Washington 501.9ypg
#34 California 462.9ypg
#61 Utah 418.3ypg
#77 Southern California 391.9ypg

#88 Colorado 377.8ypg


Total Defense
#12 Southern California 323.6ypg
#62 Washington 391.6ypg
#66 Utah 393.4ypg
#122 California 529.8ypg

#108 Colorado 467.5ypg


http://stats.ncaa.org/rankings?sport_code=MFB&division=11
 
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Cal doesn't seem to be pulling together as a team in the midst of the losing and youth movement.

http://espn.go.com/college-football...-hale-cal-golden-bears-injured-fight-teammate

Cal freshman running back Fabiano Hale was injured and taken to a hospital after a locker-room fight with a teammate last week, UC Berkeley police said Monday.

University police told the San Francisco Chronicle that Hale, 18, suffered unspecified injuries and was taken to the Alta Bates Medical Center on Friday after a "one-on-one" altercation with a teammate. Police wouldn't identify the second player involved, what led to the fight or if charges might be filed.

"We know who the suspect is," Lt. Marc DeCoulode told the Chronicle.

Cal coach Sonny Dykes declined comment. The Golden Bears (1-8, 0-6 Pac-12) have lost 11 conference games in a row.
 
Buffnik said:
Cal doesn't seem to be pulling together as a team in the midst of the losing and youth movement.

http://espn.go.com/college-football...-hale-cal-golden-bears-injured-fight-teammate

Cal freshman running back Fabiano Hale was injured and taken to a hospital after a locker-room fight with a teammate last week, UC Berkeley police said Monday.

University police told the San Francisco Chronicle that Hale, 18, suffered unspecified injuries and was taken to the Alta Bates Medical Center on Friday after a "one-on-one" altercation with a teammate. Police wouldn't identify the second player involved, what led to the fight or if charges might be filed.

"We know who the suspect is," Lt. Marc DeCoulode told the Chronicle.

Cal coach Sonny Dykes declined comment. The Golden Bears (1-8, 0-6 Pac-12) have lost 11 conference games in a row.
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You've completely tuned me out, haven't you :sad1:
 
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