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CFN/Scout 5 year program analysis

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by TheRoyale90, Sep 27, 2009.

  1. TheRoyale90

    TheRoyale90 Member

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    Alright this information is kind of esoteric but it seems pretty interesting. The standard they use to evaluate football programs is as follows:

    Quick Explanation of Scores
    - Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.38
    - APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.85
    - Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.77
    - Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 28.75
    - Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.70
    - Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.99
    - Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.39
    - Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.25
    - Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.15
    - Bad Wins: Wins teams that finished


    CU's score (notice the number of "elite" losses, ouch):


    60. Colorado

    Total Five-Year Program Score: 52.14
    Attendance Score: 4.89
    APR Score: 4
    Draft: 9
    FBS Wins: 27
    Quality Wins: 10
    Elite Win Score: 0
    Bad Loss Score: 2.5
    Elite Losses: 7
    Bad Wins: 5
    Conf. Score: 3.75

    Program Analysis ... It's not working. Colorado was hovering just outside of the top 20 in the 2003 and 2004 rankings, and then came runs to the 2004 and 2005 Big 12 Championship games and the program was riding high ... for about ten minutes. The ugly end to the 2005 season, with the lowlight coming in a 70-3 loss to Texas in the Big 12 title game and with a slew of off-the-field problems, Gary Barnett was canned and Dan Hawkins, seemingly the perfect fit, came in and promptly took the team into the tank with a 2-10 season starting out with a 19-10 loss to Montana State. It's not that Colorado has been bad under Hawkins, but it hasn't done anything of note outside of 27-24 win over Oklahoma in 2007. The Draft score, a big number back in the team's heyday, has dipped, and the APR is lousy. But considering the Buffs have won just 38% of their Big 12 games this isn't an awful ranking.

    http://cfn.scout.com/2/892377.html
     
  2. DesertDawg526

    DesertDawg526 Resident Dawg Club Member

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    Interesting site.

    Not to hijack this, but I don't see how the UW isn't in the Bottom 5. #99 is way too generous for them, regardless of what the current coaches and players can potentially do.

    I think #60 is about right for what 'Hawkins has done so far... and that's not good enough for CU.
     
  3. west coast

    west coast Guest

    duh, they just beat USC @##$$$%%%!!
     
  4. zbuff

    zbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Barnett left the cupboard bare - Cody may not be the answer, but he's a heckuva lot better than Bernard Jackson. Not really defending Coach Hawkins, but those 5 years include GB's recruits.
     
  5. Dunken

    Dunken Member

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    yeah and coach Barnett was winning with those recruits....and coach Hawkins is well......not winning, but we are working on the little things, becoming better people
     
  6. TheRoyale90

    TheRoyale90 Member

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    Cody was here in 2006 so why didn't hawk start him if he's so much better than Bjax. I think you're also forgetting that hawk ran Brian White off for whatever reason and the guy had played quite well in the bowl game against Clemson.
     
  7. JimmyBuff

    JimmyBuff Well-Known Member

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    It all sounded good until that quote.. Exactly what do you call it then? Average would be a .500 record.. Even throwing out the 1st year, we are still below .500.
     
  8. zbuff

    zbuff Club Member Club Member

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    GB mostly beat the teams he was supposed to, but the north was so weak at the end we won it at 4-4 when Iowa St couldn't win their last game, and then the next year there was 70-3. Yeah, I long for those years.

    Ummm, because he doesn't play his best players? Is this a test?
     

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