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Odds on Dancing

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Tempe_Buff, Mar 7, 2011.

  1. Tempe_Buff

    Tempe_Buff Well-Known Member

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    Just curious of what you all think our odds of getting to the tournament are depending on how many games we win this week.

    Lose to Iowa State.... 5%
    Beat Iowa State/ Lose to K State .... 70%
    Beat Iowa State / Beat K State ..... 100%
     
  2. BuffNut99

    BuffNut99 Club Member Club Member

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    I asked Joe Linardi exactly this in his chat this afternoon (2pm MDT)
     
  3. Gramburglar

    Gramburglar Literally has hundreds of dollars Club Member

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    Win two and in. very iffy if we only beat ISU. Also it will depend to how far Nebraska and Baylor go in the B12. Plus however the ACC and SEC tournaments shake out.
     
  4. Crash Davis

    Crash Davis MA....THE MEATLOAF!!! Club Member

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    Lose to ISU.....0%
    Beat ISU / Lose to KSU.....50% this could fluctuate depending on how bad we lose and the results of other bubble teams
    Beat KSU.....80-90% we'd be looking good but the committee has pulled worse **** in the past....you just never know
    Win semifinal game......99.5% I don't see how they could deny us at that point
     
  5. Tractor

    Tractor Club Member Club Member

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    Agree with just about all of this. I think this could be one of the things that playing KState a third time gives us the benefit of the doubt. We've already beat them twice, if we lose a close game, I don't think that'll look as bad as losing to aTm again.

    With that said, I think losing to KSU our chances are between 30-60% based on what the other teams do.
    90% a win against KSU
    100% a win against whoever the next team is, even if it's OKState or Nebraska. No freaking way they wouldn't let us in after all that.
     
  6. JRK1212

    JRK1212 Troll

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    Its tough to put on odds on our chances because so much of it depends on how the other bubble teams play. They could really help us out or really screw us. And their could be one or two "stolen" bids in the conf tourneys.
     
  7. Tempe_Buff

    Tempe_Buff Well-Known Member

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    Well, Joe Lunardi was no help in his chat. He didn't really address the Big 12 at all.
     
  8. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Gonna take a hit if VCU beats ODU tonight, for sure.

    Lose to ISU: 1%
    Beat ISU/Lose to Purple Pussies: 50%
    Beat ISU and KSU: 95%
     
  9. CarolinaBuff

    CarolinaBuff Weekend Poster Club Member

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    That sounds about right except I'd maybe put it at about 5-10% if lose to ISU, but regardless I don't think we get in if lose that first game in the Big 12 tourney. But if we go 1-1 in KC then it'll gonna be a total crapshoot whether or not we get in.
     
  10. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    Lose to ISU: 0.1%....the losses to OU and Baylor will comeback and bite us in the ass.
    Beat ISU/Lose to KSjU: 85%
    Beat ISU/Beat KSjU: 100%
     
  11. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    We're the last team in right now, and just beating ISU isn't going to do much for us other than hitting the 20 win mark. Historically, teams like CU with a weak SOS get screwed. It'll be a total toss-up to get in if we go 1-1 in KC.
     
  12. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    I think that a win against ISU would be enough, and if we keep it close against KSjU, we're in. Already beat KSjU twice this year and you would think that the committee would look at that.
     
  13. Darian3Hagan

    Darian3Hagan '89 Player of the Year Club Member

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    Im sure most of you have watched more college games than I have this year but are we that much of a lock to beat ISU away from Boulder?
     
  14. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    I hope so, but it could get messy if Baylor advanced deep into the tournament. Not to mention if some tournament spots disappear due to upset winners
     
  15. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    If Alec Burks plays good, yes. Burks looked terrible in Ames last week.
     
  16. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Not particularly, nothing would surprise me with this team although the loss in Ames was definitely "one of those nights". Yeah, our defense sucked, but they shot like 70% in the second half. They're not going to do that on a neutral court. I do think it's better to get ISU as you'd hope the players would have some major motivation to get revenge, given the implications.
     
  17. Darian3Hagan

    Darian3Hagan '89 Player of the Year Club Member

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    Buffs need some goods news, a NCAA berth would hold us over until FB season nicely.
     
  18. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    It's been such a long last few years, I am determined the Buffs make the big dance. We haven't exactly been a basketball powerhouse historically and this would be really special to make it. You get the feeling the tide is turning - Tad is the right guy and I think the Buffs can establish themselves as one of the top programs in the Pac. Football, well that's self-explanitory
     
  19. Darian3Hagan

    Darian3Hagan '89 Player of the Year Club Member

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    Hopefully there will be a time where making bowls games or the NCAA's isnt such a big deal.

    Winning is awesome Charlie Sheen told me so.
     
  20. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    http://www.livethesheendream.com/

    Should be easier to make the big dance in the Pac12. Actually, given the current state of basketball in the Pac, the Buffs could even win the league one of these years if Boyle establishes the Buffs as a program that can typically win 20+ games. Hoping for 7-6 in football, but I'm still not really sure what to expect from the team. Definitely have my questions of whether Hansen is the best option moving forward
     
  21. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    Gonna be tough to get past Zona with the talent they have coming in but otherwise I agree with you. At the very least, we should put up a fight and be in the top 3.
     
  22. Darian3Hagan

    Darian3Hagan '89 Player of the Year Club Member

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    Funny thing when Barnett was fired he was 7-5. How the expectations have fallen.
     
  23. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Fired for winning the North ;)
     

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