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Perspective on Year on Year Improvement

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by boydbuff, Mar 3, 2014.

  1. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    As we are starting to talk about the 2014 season and Offense and Defense, etc. I thought it might be interesting to compare some key stats from 2012 under JE and 2013 under HCMM. If HCMM&Co are good at coaching up players, have good systems and schemes in place and are good game-day coaches (all assumptions I am prepared to go with until proven otherwise) there should be some kind of acceleration along a curve, i.e. positive trends, across the board. Even with the loss of key players like PRich, I would expect improvement across the board in 2014.

    So here are some key stats from 2012 and 2013 and (difference):
    2012 2013 Difference
    Points Per Game 17.8 25.4 (+7.6)
    Opponents PPG 46.0 38.3 (-7.7)
    1st Downs 206 233 (+27)
    Rush Yds/Attempt 3.09 3.44 (+.35)
    Rushing Yds Total 1318 1450 (+132)
    Rushing Yds Opponents 2712 2502 (-210)
    Passing Rating 103.55 127.83 (+24.28)
    Opp Passing Rating 173.58 135.84 (-37.74)
    Total Offense 3627 4439 (+812)
    Total Offense-Opponent 5862 5616 (-246)

    This is a sampling of key stats. We improved over a miserable year in 2012 across the board. I expect to see improvement across the board again this year. Areas where I would really hope to see improvement include rush yds/attempt, our passing rating should be up with Sefo off a good true fresh year at QB. Hopefully our total yards given up and of course points allowed go down significantly this year. Would be great to get close to parity this year with respect to points for and against. We still might get blown out a few times but games should be competitive and hopefully like the hoops team has done, in the coming years including 2014 we can start to make playing at Boulder a pain in the arse of our opponents.

    Also I didn't include all stats worth looking at like 3rd down conversions and redone performance but I would hope to see improvement in those areas as we need it.
     
    Last edited: Mar 3, 2014
  2. MtnBuff

    MtnBuff Not allowed in Barzil 2 Club Member

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    I like what M2 and the new staff are doing and think we made the right hire. I see lots of things on the field that tell me we are on the right track. The biggest ones are that we actually look like a college football team, not a clown circus, and that even the teams that blew us out had to work harder to do it than the prior year.

    That said a year to year statistical comparison doesn't tell the full story. We have to keep in mind that last year we played two FCS schools instead of one and had some other scheduling items that should be considered when making the comparison.
     
  3. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    please edit table into readable format. thanks in advance.
     
  4. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    fify
     
  5. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Darth i wish i could. I tried 3 times but it defaults to that after i save changes.
     
  6. Follow-Rado

    Follow-Rado Member

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    These are great stats, but the biggest thing for me was that the team looked prepared and organized in 2013. Players clearly had better mechanics. There were dramatically less 'stupid' penalties and obscenely bad 'missed' plays on both sides of the ball. In short, the team had discipline. We still need to get to the point where Seniors and Juniors are filling out the starting lineup. And we need even more improvement with schemes. And we need much better talent. But this staff did a good job last year.
     
  7. MtnBuff

    MtnBuff Not allowed in Barzil 2 Club Member

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    True, along with CSU and Cal. The only win the prior year was Leach and Co. giving a prime demonstration of Cougin' it.

    As I said I see significant improvement, just don't think the statistics are the best argument for that (other the the win total.)
     
  8. gobuffs58

    gobuffs58 Well-Known Member

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    agree 100%!
     
  9. goalline

    goalline Club Member Club Member

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    This stat makes me weep:
    Opp Passing Rating 173.58 135.84 (-37.74)

    It is vital to continue to improve this.I don't have it handy, but I saw recently that all Pac 12 teams had very high passer ratings for the entire season. I think Liufau was rated 9th in the conference, even with a rating near 130.As has been said before, it comes down to line play on both sides of the ball.
     
  10. BuffClass90

    BuffClass90 Banned BANNED

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    Here's something I put together recently...

    Buff Stats Pic.jpg
     
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  11. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Nice Work BuffClass. On that line, MTN's complaint, I decided to create a table that compares common opponents from both years. Hard to argue that is not a reasonable way of comparing the 2 teams with different coaches.

    20122013
    OpponentCUOponentCU YardsOpp YardsOpponentCUOponentCU YardsOpp Yards
    CSU1722245298CSU4127513295
    UCLA1442309492UCLA2345381412
    ASU1751255593ASU1354268532
    USC650351458USC2947312449
    Oregon1470245617Oregon1657374755
    Arizona3156437574Arizona2240349670
    Wash338141476Wash759299628
    Utah3542336418Utah1724321388
    TOTALS13737123193926TOTALS16835328174129
    Point Differ-234-185
    Yard Differ-1607-1312
     
    Last edited: Mar 3, 2014
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  12. stretch

    stretch Club Member Club Member

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    Great stuff boyd. Other stats, most of which I think are very closely linked to coaching:
    20122013Difference
    Fumbles(lost)29(15)14(9)-15(-6)
    Penalties735221
    TOs (us/them)34/1524/21 -10/+6
    Our QB sacked5220-32
    3 & outs (us/them)*56/29 52/51-4/+22
    1st Drives (1st half)276444+168
    1st Drives (2nd half)334384+50
    Oppnt TD drives >=80yrds188-10
    *Sefo-29, Woods-23
     
    Last edited: Mar 3, 2014
  13. Duff Man

    Duff Man Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Penalties are an overrated stat in terms of importance IMO.
     
  14. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    As an aggregate I agree in the sense that total penalties is hard to glean much from. However getting into the details you, looking at stupid penalties, especially dead ball ones like offsides and late hits I think are important to show if a team is disciplined or not.

    But things like pass interference are not necessarily bad penalties. Depends of course.
     
  15. MtnBuff

    MtnBuff Not allowed in Barzil 2 Club Member

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    Agree with this. It isn't the number or yardage, in some cases penalties show agression.

    The ones that are ugly are things like delay of game (and JE had some of those coming out of time-outs) illegal formations, substitution penalties, etc. \

    Don't have any numbers on those but they sure seemed to be much lower last season than the season before.
     
  16. boydbuff

    boydbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Totally agree-it seemed like eliminated stupid penalties in at least half last year. Too bad nobody tracks that :)
     

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