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StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Eight Seed: 02/10/2013

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Colorado to make the NCAA Tournament as an eight seed. The Buffaloes are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #30 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 15-7 overall record and a 5-5 record in the Pac 12.
Over the last four games, Colorado picked up a quality win against AP #19 Oregon and wins against California and Stanford but also stumbled with a bad loss to RPI #176 Utah.
Colorado is lukewarm against top competition, with a 7-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 1-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Buffaloes have three quality wins including AP #19 Oregon, RPI #15 Colorado State, and RPI #49 Baylor. Their single bad loss came against RPI #176 Utah.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arizona State (18-6, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #66), Saint Mary's (21-4, 10-1 West Coast, StatRank #51), Wichita State (20-5, 9-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #46), and Virginia Commonwealth (19-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #38).
The first four teams out are Alabama (15-8, 7-3 SEC, StatRank #69), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #49), Southern Miss (18-6, 7-2 C-USA, StatRank #46), and Villanova (15-9, 6-5 Big East, StatRank #67).
The next four out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Rutgers (12-10, 3-8 Big East, StatRank #68), Saint Louis (18-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #56), and Temple (16-7, 5-4 A-10, StatRank #41).
Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Cincinnati
#5Butler
#6Marquette
#7Colorado State
#8Colorado
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Baylor
#12Maryland
#13Arizona State
#14Akron
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Georgetown
#5New Mexico
#6Missouri
#7Creighton
#8Illinois
#9Iowa State
#10Memphis
#11La Salle
#12Stanford
#13Bucknell
#14Harvard
#15Long Beach State
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Kansas State
#5Oklahoma State
#6Notre Dame
#7NC State
#8UCLA
#9UNLV
#10Ole Miss
#11MTSU
#12VCU
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Minnesota
#5Oregon
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oklahoma
#8Wisconsin
#9North Carolina
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12Wichita State
#13Saint Mary's
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams		Conf
Teams		Pct in
NCAA
Big East81650.0%
Big Ten71258.3%
Pac 1261250.0%
Big 1261060.0%
ACC51241.7%
SEC41233.3%
Mountain West4850.0%
A-1031421.4%
Missouri Valley21020.0%
West Coast2922.2%
MAC1128.3%
Patriot1812.5%
Atlantic Sun11010.0%
Ohio Valley1119.1%
Ivy League1812.5%
SoCon1128.3%
Big West1911.1%
WAC1812.5%
C-USA1128.3%
Sun Belt1128.3%
Big Sky1911.1%
MAAC11010.0%
Big South1119.1%
CAA1128.3%
SWAC11010.0%
Southland1128.3%
America East1911.1%
Horizon11010.0%
Summit League11010.0%
NEC1128.3%
MEAC1137.7%


Originally posted by Fight CU
Click here to view the article.
 
I'd much rather play Belmont in the 8/9 matchup than get the CSU 7-seed and have to play Kentucky as a 10-seed.

This is going to change so much, though. And I have to question the StatSheet logic if they've got 6 bids from the Pac-12. We'll likely get 4, with an outside chance at 5.
 
I would take that bracket alllllll day. Only if they switched Arizona and duke. :)
 
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