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This Week In BasketBuffs - 3/5/12

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Goose, Mar 5, 2012.

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How will the men fare in the PAC-12 tourney?

  1. Lose in the first round

    1 vote(s)
    3.8%
  2. Lose in the second round

    10 vote(s)
    38.5%
  3. Lose in the semi-finals

    7 vote(s)
    26.9%
  4. Lose in the finals

    1 vote(s)
    3.8%
  5. PAC-12 Champs

    7 vote(s)
    26.9%
  1. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    LAST WEEK

    Men

    Women

    FINAL REGULAR SEASON NUMBERS
    Colorado
    Offense
    Colorado
    Defense
    D1
    Average
    eFG%49.7%47.5%49.0%
    Turnover %19.7%18.4%20.4%
    Off. Reb %30.1%28.1%32.1%
    FTA/FGA43.632.836.4


    Offensive
    Efficiency
    Defensive
    Efficiency
    Pace
    Colorado103.595.466.6
    D1 Average101.0101.066.2
    RPISOS
    Men7681
    Women129110

    And with that, the regular season comes to an end with not a bang, but a whimper. As bad as the last two games were, I can't be depressed. Maybe it's because I read Rumblin's post from today. Mostly though, I think it's because I looked back at what my expectations were prior to the season. I thought we'd be 15-15 heading into the PAC-12 tournament, so it's really hard to be upset with 19-11. If you look the most optimistic projection there was 'Nik saying we'd go 17-13. Face it, this season was a success.

    I think the thing that bothers me the most is that we had a chance at a top 4 seed. Mostly though, I wanted the prestige of finishing with a first round bye when we were picked to finish 10th. That said, the more I look at it, the more the bracket is really set up for CU to make a run if we go back to playing like we did in January. Beating any team three times in one season isn't easy, but I like our odds against Utah. Come out strong, knock them down, and get it over with quickly. If we do that, we're looking at Oregon and a chance at revenge. The Ducks are hot, but I like that matchup for the team. If they win, odds are they'll end up with Cal who we have played very well both times this season. Arizona or Washington would await in the championship game.

    The bracket laid out great for the Buffs. We avoid UCLA and Stanford until the championship game. Oregon makes me nervous, but if the team can find it's mojo, can anyone rule a Buffs win out? I'm not saying our chances of sweeping the tournament are good (I'd put them at less than 5%), but with the way this season has gone down, and the way the "top" teams other than Oregon are faltering down the stretch, I don't think you can rule it out either.

    As for the ladies, they got a favorable draw as well -- mainly by avoiding Stanford until the final. If they play like they did against Oregon State, I could see them winning a few games and solidifying that NIT bid. The question with them, as with the men, is "which team is going to show up?"

    Men's Schedule:

    • Wednesday, March 7th - vs Utah (9:40 tipoff, FSN/ROOT)
    • Thursday, March 8th - vs Oregon (9:40 tipoff, FSN/ROOT)*
    • Friday, March 9th - TBA (9:40 tipoff, FSN/ROOT)*
    • Saturday, March 10th - TBA (4:10 tipoff, CBS)*

    Women's Schedule:
    • Wednesday, March 7th - vs Utah (6:00 tipoff, Youtube)
    • Thursday, March 8th - vs California (6:00 tipoff, Youtube)*
    • Friday, March 9th - TBA (3:30 tipoff, FSN)*
    • Saturday, March 10th - TBA (12:30 tipoff, FSN)*

    * - only if CU wins
     
  2. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    My lack of faith is disturbing me. We lose to Utah.
     
    Goose likes this.
  3. MrFrumpylane

    MrFrumpylane Well-Known Member

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    I think Utah wants this season to be over already. 6 wins is downright pitiful and anyone would be glad to try forget that number. We cruise to Oregon.
     
  4. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    Yeah, we'll sputter a bit against Utah, but the sea legs will be found in time for a solid 8-10 point win. Against Oregon? Oh boy, we're in trouble (Spoiler alert: I'm picking the Ducks to win the tournament tomorrow).
     
  5. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    KenPom just released his P12 Log5 conf tournament projections. CU with a 3.9% chance to win and a 10.5% chance to make it to the finals. I think his giving UCLA/USC any HCA may be a little much, that being said I think UCLA at 14.9% to win wouldn't be a bad bet.

    Pac-12 Conference
    “UCLA: The Cinderella Story”
    March 7-10
    All games at Los Angeles, CA (UCLA/USC get half home court advantage)

    [FONT=&amp] [/FONT][FONT=&amp][/FONT]
    QtrsSemisFinalChamp
    2California10069.348.632.3
    5UCLA90.148.330.214.9
    4Arizona10050.628.812.7
    1Washington1006329.212.2
    3Oregon10063.324.312.2
    7Stanford87.829.916.48
    6Colorado92.836.310.53.9
    9Oregon St.59.724.28.32.8
    8Wash. St.40.312.73.30.9
    12USC9.91.10.20.02
    10Arizona St.12.20.80.10.01
    11Utah7.20.30.010.0006
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2012
  6. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    UCLA saves Howland's job with a Pac-12 tourney win and a first round win in the tourney.
     
  7. RK

    RK UBL Club Member

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    We win the whole ****ing thing in blowout fashion.
     
  8. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    If we lose to Utah are we still in the NIT?
     
  9. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    I am the one, the only, the most cynical buff fan. In Nate we trust!
     

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