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Nebraska Game Week - Prime: “This is personal. That’s the message of the week.”

My model’s player ratings update after every game, as it incorporates the relevant statistical outputs from that player’s previous games. There’s a quantitative (raw numerical production) factor and a qualitative (opponent strength) factor. The system rates every player, so the number of plays and where they play matters most.
Right. I think there’s a decent chance your model might end up “chasing” improvement and results. Not a knock on your model in the least, but more a comment on the strength of this staff, their ability to get the most out of guys, and the roster as constructed.
 
@manhattanbuff I’ll also add; I have already stated this elsewhere, but my thesis (if I’m correct) should show up this week.

I think we comfortably beat NU.

I believe we will be very pleasantly surprised by the improvements that we see in CU’s Defense and ST this week. We gave TCU easy scoring opportunities far too often, and they looked like fixable errors rather than talent deficiencies. Combined with the opinion that NU’s front 7 shows like they will get very tired, very quick, against our high paced offense, and I think this game is a comfortable CU win.
Colorado trucking Nebraska is a possibility (but infrequent). What you’re not factoring into account is that Colorado’s run defense is suspect. The game is close if Nebraska equals TCU’s ypc output (7.7).
 
I haven't seen or even heard of this billboard. Anybody have a pic?
i-cant-tell-whether-youre-being-serious-or-not-dan-levy.gif
 
My model’s player ratings update after every game, as it incorporates the relevant statistical outputs from that player’s previous games. There’s a quantitative (raw numerical production) factor and a qualitative (opponent strength) factor. The system rates every player, so the number of plays and where they play matters most.
How do models handle players with no prior cfb snaps? Dylan Edwards, for example.
 
Colorado trucking Nebraska is a possibility (but infrequent). What you’re not factoring into account is that Colorado’s run defense is suspect. The game is close if Nebraska equals TCU’s ypc output (7.7).
I am taking this in to account. I believe they won’t come anywhere close to giving up that many ypc against NU.
I think this take is 1000% homer.
I am a homer, but no. This is based on very specific things I know about this team, this staff, and the sport. I guess we’ll see. 👍
 
How do models handle players with no prior cfb snaps? Dylan Edwards, for example.
Good question. Mine takes into account composite star rating and depth chart placement. Players with zero college statistics are tougher to rate because HS competition is often very poor. The depth chart piece was something we added a few seasons back because composite star ratings didn’t give the full picture of the player’s prospects for playing time. The predictions are now more stable because professional evaluators give us an indicator of that player’s preparedness for college football.

Luckily for us, bookies have no clue how to rate these players. They’re moreso just rating the teams.
 
The billboard or sign was painted in the late 1980s...
So you're referring to the "Sal is dead" sign some asshole hung from an overpass or somewhere? First of all, IIRC it was a sign, not a billboard. And second, it was in over 30 yrs ago, so it's old news. I thought perhaps some deluded Fusker fan had paid for a billboard recently ... so forgive my confusion, @Tatanka. And stuff it.
 
I am taking this in to account. I believe they won’t come anywhere close to giving up that many ypc against NU.

I am a homer, but no. This is based on very specific things I know about this team, this staff, and the sport. I guess we’ll see. 👍
Let’s bet on Nebraska’s YPC. What do you mean by “won’t come anywhere close?”
 
So you're referring to the "Sal is dead" sign some asshole hung from an overpass or somewhere? First of all, IIRC it was a sign, not a billboard. And second, it was in over 30 yrs ago, so it's old news. I thought perhaps some deluded Fusker fan had paid for a billboard recently ... so forgive my confusion, @Tatanka. And stuff it.
You have seriously thin skin. Chill out, man.
 
He had a lot of hype as a breakthrough in the preseason and backed it up for game 1. I tend to value how you do in spring, summer workouts and fall camp a lot.
You're new around here. We have a long history of getting excited about players in the spring!
Most of us have learned to ignore spring, summer and fall camp.... a lot! :giggle:

He hasn't come anywhere near being all conference in 3 years of playing.
 
Colorado trucking Nebraska is a possibility (but infrequent). What you’re not factoring into account is that Colorado’s run defense is suspect. The game is close if Nebraska equals TCU’s ypc output (7.7).
I'm banking on a style difference. Against TCU, the defense had to play "pass first" and couldn't take risks with blitz packages since the Briles system exploits that stuff. Against Nebraska, I think we'll be able to run-blitz the hell out of them, use a spy for zone reads & scrambles, and dare Sims to challenge Travis & Omarion in single coverage.
 
You're new around here. We have a long history of getting excited about players in the spring!
Most of us have learned to ignore spring, summer and fall camp.... a lot! :giggle:

He hasn't come anywhere near being all conference in 3 years of playing.
Either way, he won't play in the first half. We need to finish the game in the first half.
 
I'm banking on a style difference. Against TCU, the defense had to play "pass first" and couldn't take risks with blitz packages since the Briles system exploits that stuff. Against Nebraska, I think we'll be able to run-blitz the hell out of them, use a spy for zone reads & scrambles, and dare Sims to challenge Travis & Omarion in single coverage.
They averaged 4.9 against a far superior run defense in Minnesota. Nebraska’s rush attack is much better than what Colorado saw against TCU.
 
Then don't be a dick when it's uncalled for
You’ll enjoy this site more if you manage to get a sense of humor and take a little good natured ribbing in the way it was intended like almost everyone else here. 🤷🏽‍♂️ Have a good one.
 
2 was almost otherworldly last week. Can he be slowed? Seems like the offense makes it difficult for the D to hit him consistently. He has numerous targets he feels comfortable can catch a 50-50 ball, so rushing 3 likely won’t work. I think this is the key to the game. If the corn has no answer for him, they won’t be able to keep up.
 
Could go in multiple threads. But, this line action is indicative of what I’m hearing from sharps: they think the cornholio game will be close. 3.5+ they are eating up.

The other thing is that Colorado is the public’s favorite team. Prime is inspiring action from a lot of non traditional sources.


More bets than 31 week one NFL teams. Only surpassed thus far by Chiefs.
 
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