I think they lose 2 of those 3 home games, and Ohio State for sure. On the road vs Purdue is going to be tough and CU/Minn are toss ups. To me, that's 5 losses out of those 7 games, which still gives a one game buffer to hit the Under at 8.5.
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CU Over/Under 4.5
- Thread starter Limon Jack
- Start date
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Let's chalk up Cal Poly as a W. I think they're beating Hawaii (Athlon has the Rainbows at 7-6, and I think that's pretty reasonable). I think they beat ASU (who should be a little down IMO-no Wilkins or Harry coming back) or UA (who has absolute dumpster fire written all over them).
I've got Air Force beating Colgate, San Jose State, Navy, Utah State, New Mexico, Colorado State, and Wyoming.
Granted-that's not as easy money as taking the under on Clemson (11.5) and Alabama (11).
Yeah, I think we can talk OSU into 3 wins for sure, but Hawaii is never an easy out (in fact, they are usually a very, very tough out) on the islands. That's why I think their O/U all hinges on the Hawaii game. Win it, and they will probably hit the Over with an upset in the Pac 12. Lose it, and I think it's Under as I just can't see them with two Pac 12 upsets. That's why I think 2.5 is about right for them.
Lot of people (me) figured their coaching situation would be a complete dumpster fire right off the bat. Doesn't look like that's the case.
Yes but they are fun.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I agree. Where I disagree with you is I've got them beating Hawaii. They'll take down Arizona to hit the over IMO.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...llege-football-win-totals-for-every-fbs-team/
National Over/Unders in case anyone is curious. Threw up some interesting ones that didn't make it in the initial post:
National Over/Unders in case anyone is curious. Threw up some interesting ones that didn't make it in the initial post:
- Clemson: 11.5 (Over +130, Under -156)
- Miami: 8.5 (Over -130, Under +112)
- Virginia Tech: 8.5 (Over -146, Under +124)
- Ohio State: 10.5 (Over +112, Under -130)
- Michigan: 9.5 (Over -168, Under +142)
- Oklahoma: 10.5 (Over -130, Under +112)
- Texas: 9.5 (Over +102, Under -120)
- Iowa State: 8 (Over +106, Under -124)
- TCU: 7.5 (Over -120, Under +102)
- Alabama: 11 (Over -130, Under +110)
- Georgia: 11 (Over +130, Under -154)
- Florida: 9 (Over +102, Under -120)
- LSU: 9 (Over -108, Under -108)
- Mississippi State: 8.5 (Over -165, Under +140)
- Auburn: 8 (Over +130, Under -156)
- Texas A&M: 7.5 (Over -114, Under -102)
- Missouri: 6.5 (Over -184, Under +154)
- Tennessee: 6.5 (Over -184, Under +154)
- Army: 8.5 (Over -225, Under +186)
- Notre Dame: 8.5 (Over -184, Under +154)
- BYU: 6 (Over -130, Under +112)
Attachments
LSU has a lot of talent but in recent years has seemed to underachieve. Might be a good but on the under.
High expectations for Michigan. Wonder if Harbaugh starts to get a warmer seat if he fails to beat tOSU this year and falls under 10 wins.
Overall a lot of high numbers in the SEC but have to remember how many cream puffs they play OOC and that the bottom teams are far behind the top teams.
Still think in addition to LSU that I might look at the under for Florida and Georgia.
Also hard to make the math work with all of those B12 schools with high totals, they play each other so somebody is going to fall short just on those games.
They’re fun like buying a lottery ticket is fun
Isn’t that what I said? It hinges on them beating Hawaii because I think they’ll get 1 Pac 12 win. If they lose to Hawaii, where does their third win come from?
I mean they are a lot easier than that lol
Of course, but sports books are built on parlays. Odds are so heavily against you that in 4-5 bet parlays, the fun is mostly in thinking about what you’ll do with the x5 or x10 winnings. That and having a ton of action on multiple games.
Against my better judgement most of the time, I’m a sucker and throw some parlays out there sometimes as well
Yeah I just really like them on the pre season win totals. There is actually a lot of value there if you do your research. Much harder to go with 3 games in a day.
3 games in a day are a blast though, unless you lose the first one haha
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Misread it my bad
I'm taking the over.
It shouldn't be unreasonable for CU to start out 3-0 and that includes a win over the Huskers. Then we got the road trip to ASU...who is their QB going to be? I like CU's chances in Tempe. The Arizona game is a win since the Buffs are coming off a bye week. CU could be at least 4-1 if not 5-0 like last season.
CU plays at UO on a short week...I'm not going to think about a W in that case unless it's fantasy thoughts. Ditto for the WSU game. USC is coming off a bye week while CU is coming off a short week after the WSU game but hey it's a home game. Buffs travel to UCLA after that one then Stanford at home. UW comes and CU finishes at Utah. Two more home wins over USC & Stanford would get the Buffs to a bowl game.
It shouldn't be unreasonable for CU to start out 3-0 and that includes a win over the Huskers. Then we got the road trip to ASU...who is their QB going to be? I like CU's chances in Tempe. The Arizona game is a win since the Buffs are coming off a bye week. CU could be at least 4-1 if not 5-0 like last season.
CU plays at UO on a short week...I'm not going to think about a W in that case unless it's fantasy thoughts. Ditto for the WSU game. USC is coming off a bye week while CU is coming off a short week after the WSU game but hey it's a home game. Buffs travel to UCLA after that one then Stanford at home. UW comes and CU finishes at Utah. Two more home wins over USC & Stanford would get the Buffs to a bowl game.
Spicy!
Limon Jack
Member
Please post a picture of your bet. You're going to make a killing considering Vegas was so foolish with such a low O/U win #.
Why should I bet on your trailer home in Limon which is worth almost nothing?
You throwing down on Nebraska Over 8.5?
Mick Ronson
Well-Known Member
bet against tOSU, Oklahoma....
Clemson, Bama, UGA.....they can't all win 11 games. bet against 2 and win the other?
bet against Manny Diaz at Miami and ESPN hoo hoo overrating U and Syracuse but 8.5 seems about right.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I think OU loses once, so I'd go over there......most likely of the three to go under in terms of Clemson, Alabama, and Georgia is Georgia. Agree on Miami.
Limon Jack
Member
Under. I think they go 8-4.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Agree with this completely-I see three OOC wins, Arizona, and Arizona State.......and then I think our upgraded coaching staff gets us one more (most likely USC-because the wheels will be coming off them by mid October).
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I agree with you! Only I have the Nubs eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeking into some bowl that nobody gives a **** about. 6-6 bitch.
fify
For them any excuse to leave Nebraska in late December is a big deal.
That's why they can sell 45,000 tickets to the MidSouth Acme Foot fungus Cream bowl in two days.
SerenityBuff
Well-Known Member
Fresno State won 12 games last year and 10 the year before. Tedford has his alma mater rolling. SC is in trouble right out of the gate and could be looking at a 1-5 start.
I was giving SC the botd, but good points