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How many conference road wins?

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by jgisland, Jan 2, 2013.

  1. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    Abs and I were discussing this last night, as we all know CU hasn't been exactly dominate on the road. Only picking up 3 conference road wins last year against P12 cellar dwellers Utah, ASU and USC, so how many do they get this year?

    KenPom currently has that number at 5, going 5-4 on the road in conference play. With wins on the road at ASU, UW, WSU, Utah and Oregon St.

    Personally I would take 5-4, not playing at UCLA in Pauley doesn't hurt.
     
  2. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    As i said last night we'll lay an egg in at least one of these winnable road games.
     
  3. jwhite17

    jwhite17 Member

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    5 road wins for this young team would be incredible! We would contend for the conference crown if that came true, but I doubt it happens.

    Even though we beat Fresno, we didn't really play that well. We got destroyed against Kansas, which they have done against all teams since they have played after us. We should have beat Wyoming, but they had a great game plan of flopping to get us in foul trouble.

    Boyle has us winning at home and on neutral courts, which is great, but his road record has been abysmal.

    I would be happy with 3 road wins (at Utah, at Washington State, and at ASU) this year. Although, the Pac12 isn't as terrible as last year, so I could see anywhere from 2-5 wins, so I will go with 3. Anything more than that would be great!
     
  4. Lt.Col.FrankSlade

    Lt.Col.FrankSlade Well-Known Member

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    I predict 2 or 3 conference road victories.

    Winning 5 would be absolutely fantastic.
     
  5. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    We win 3.
     
  6. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    it wouldn't surprise me either. Do you think we will get a surprise road win to make up for it?
     
  7. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    This is where I am at as well. JG seems to disagree though.
     
  8. DBT

    DBT Club Member Club Member

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    That is the first I'd heard of the "flopping" thing. I did see where foul trouble killed us.
     
  9. absinthe

    absinthe Ambitious but rubbish. Club Member Junta Member

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    I don't we just arent that good on the road, we are young, and we dont really have an answer if our main scorers go cold.
     
  10. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    I agree. 5-4
     
  11. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    While I agree they will drop one they shouldn't (my guess would be against UW) they also get one they shouldn't (I would guess CU steals one of the two in the Bay area).

    I am going 5. W's are ASU, WSU, Utah, Oregon St. and either Cal or Stanford.
     
  12. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Two. When in doubt, go cynical. Especially on the road.
     
  13. JimmyBuff

    JimmyBuff Well-Known Member

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    I'll go 4.
     
  14. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Would kill to go 5-4, but don't see it happening. 3, maybe 4.
     
  15. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    4, we sweep the Wasingtons.
     
  16. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    I'll just park this here: (date, game, win probability) courtesy of rpiforecast

    1-3 @Arizona 22%
    1-6 @Arizona St. 62%
    1-10 Southern California 89%
    1-12 UCLA71%
    1-16 @Washington 68%
    1-19 @Washington St.59%
    1-24 Stanford 75%
    1-27 California 76%
    2-2 @Utah 65%
    2-7 @Oregon 38%
    2-10 @Oregon St. 63%
    2-14 Arizona 49%
    2-16 Arizona St. 86%
    2-21 Utah 87%
    2-27 @Stanford 47%
    3-2 @California 48%
    3-7 Oregon 68%
    3-9 Oregon St. 86%

    The quick read is they predict us to win 5 on the road (with Stanford and Cal being tossups) and being raped by Arizona tomorrow.
     
  17. Scotch

    Scotch Registered User Club Member Junta Member

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    I'll go with 4.
     
  18. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    9

    Only because 10 wasn't an option.
     
  19. buffsyko

    buffsyko Club Member Club Member

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    I'll go with 5. Scott and johnson will be studs by mid season.
     
  20. alec10burks

    alec10burks Member

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    4-5 wins.
     
  21. sackman

    sackman Club Member Club Member

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    Worst case - 3. Best case - 7. Most likely (IMO) - 5.
     
  22. Duff Man

    Duff Man Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    So am I correct in assuming Oregon State and the Bay area teams are the swing games?
     
  23. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Yes.

    ...And Stanford is a bad matchup for us regardless of where we play them.
     
  24. Scotch

    Scotch Registered User Club Member Junta Member

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    Yes on CAL and OSU. JMO, have all but penciled in @Stanford as a loss.
     
  25. Scotch

    Scotch Registered User Club Member Junta Member

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    Put Jelly and Simba on the floor at the same time and it wouldn't be so bad. I swear the disaster in Boulder last year was in part due to the lineups Boyle played. Simba is Simba and all, but he was the only guy we had who could matchup down low in that game. Play him more and Dufault and Roberson might have had a chance.
     
  26. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    Do you bench Booker or Chen for Simba?
     
  27. Scotch

    Scotch Registered User Club Member Junta Member

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    If they play like they did last year against the Trees, does it really matter?
     
  28. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    Just wondering if you remove defense + size (sorta) for offense. I would guess ski knowing what Tad covets.
     
  29. Heywood

    Heywood The actual El Guapo Club Member

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    I say four with an Oregon sweep. Mostly because I will be at those games.
     
  30. mattrob

    mattrob Club Member Club Member

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    I'll say 4. Utah, ASU, WSU and one of Washington/Cal/OSU.
     

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