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Official CU RPI Watch 2016-17

Thursday, Feb 16th, games we directly care about:

COLORADO at Oregon State, 7pm, PACN... must win. They pretty much all are at this point.
Arizona at Washington State, 7pm, FS1... a Wazzu win would be a bit better for us since we played twice.
Utah at Oregon, 7pm, ESPN... this one doesn't matter, probably.
Sacramento State at Montana, 7pm... would be a surprising good bump if Sac State could win.
Pacific at Portland, 8pm... this is one that Portland cannot lose (they're killing us by sucking).
Grand Canyon at Seattle, 8pm... much stranger things have happened.
Arizona State at Washington, 9pm, FS1... UW win would be big since we played them twice & it gets us a game clear of ASU in standings if CU wins.
San Diego at BYU, 9pm, ESPNU... BYU has quietly gotten up to #90 RPI and needs to keep it rolling.

If things break really well, there's a chance we're Top 100 RPI by the end of the night.
 
Buffnik said:
Thursday, Feb 16th, games we directly care about:

COLORADO at Oregon State, 7pm, PACN... must win. They pretty much all are at this point.
Arizona at Washington State, 7pm, FS1... a Wazzu win would be a bit better for us since we played twice.
Utah at Oregon, 7pm, ESPN... this one doesn't matter, probably.
Sacramento State at Montana, 7pm... would be a surprising good bump if Sac State could win.
Pacific at Portland, 8pm... this is one that Portland cannot lose (they're killing us by sucking).
Grand Canyon at Seattle, 8pm... much stranger things have happened.
Arizona State at Washington, 9pm, FS1... UW win would be big since we played them twice & it gets us a game clear of ASU in standings if CU wins.
San Diego at BYU, 9pm, ESPNU... BYU has quietly gotten up to #90 RPI and needs to keep it rolling.

If things break really well, there's a chance we're Top 100 RPI by the end of the night.
Click to expand...
Seems like we haven't moved much at all in the last 2 weeks.

Will an OSU win knock us down even though it's on the road? I don't know enough to say if the road win does enough to cancel out the fact that we're playing RPI 288.
 
CUwhit21 said:
Seems like we haven't moved much at all in the last 2 weeks.

Will an OSU win knock us down even though it's on the road? I don't know enough to say if the road win does enough to cancel out the fact that we're playing RPI 288.
Click to expand...

It will help. Our resume gets impacted by win/loss in the game & whether it's home/away/neutral, but the next factors are opponent's record and record of opponent's opponents. So, most of this works in our favor (road win + the records of the teams OSU has played). We will get a bump if we win.
 
Buffs win! But it dropped us from 106 to 107. Ugh. But Memphis losing moved us back to 106.

Arizona and Oregon won. Probably good for league prestige and CU's place in the standings, but didn't help RPI.

Sacramento State got a road win, so that could help us a bit.
 
Buffs Basketball Fan said:
Next game is all you can control.
Click to expand...
Hope we can control the next game. I watched when AZ came to visit OR, and AZ it received a thorough thrashing, perhaps OR's best showing of the year. I think we have to assume a loss is likely, but if the same teams show up that met in Boulder, we've got a shot.
 
Not a lot happening tonight.

E Washington hosts Idaho (13-11) at 7:05 pm. Would be a solid win that would help us.
Cal is at Stanford at 8pm on FS1. No real impact here for CU's RPI except that Furd is at #75 and we might benefit from passing them.
 
EWU took care of business. Small bump for the Buffs. Looks like we'll be RPI 105 entering tomorrow.
 
Saturday, Feb 18th, games we directly care about:

COLORADO at Oregon, 1pm, FOX... a win changes everything.
#25 Notre Dame at NC State, 10am, ESPN... NC State also lurking 1 spot behind us in RPI at 106.
Kansas State at Texas, 12pm, LHN... Horns win also good for us because KSU is RPI 58 on the Bubble.
UL Lafayette at LA Monroe, 1pm... rivalry with the home crowd gives a better shot in this one.
Sacramento State at Montana State, 2pm... need to complete the sweep of MT on this road trip.
Arizona State at Washington State, 3pm, PACN... CU played Wazzu twice.
Air Force at San Jose State, 3pm... rare chance for a Zoomie road win.
Western Carolina at Wofford, 5pm... should get the win in this one.
#5 Arizona at Washington, 6pm, ESPN2... we played UW twice.
Xavier at Marquette, 6pm, CBSSN... Xavier needs to bounce back after losing at Seton Hall. Marquette on Bubble. Good one.
USC at #6 UCLA, 8pm, PACN... doesn't matter for CU, so let's just enjoy some wide open hoops with 2 good offensive teams in a rivalry game.
San Francisco at Portland, 8pm... unfortunately, it looks like Portland quit again this season.
CSU Bakersfield at Seattle, 8pm... maybe a chance at home against a very good CSU-B team?
#22 St. Mary's at BYU, 8pm, ESPN2... huge opportunity for the Cougs in this one.
 
Texas just came back to force OT vs KSU.

ESPN scoreboard had it wrong. UT lost. Furk.
 
LA Monroe does what it does. Had the game won and choked it away in the final minute to lose by 1.
 
SDB said:
No bubble when u lose by 30 on the road...and give up a 27-2 run...
Click to expand...

As of today, absolutely true. But our last 3 coming up with current RPIs: Utah (79), Stanford (67), Cal (36). Buffs can finish with 3 straight Top 100 wins. I suspect that would take us somewhere in the 70s on RPI. Maybe a rematch with Stanford in the Pac-12 tourney in the opener for another Top 100.

Lot of work to do, obviously, but there's reasonable potential there to make it happen. We should be favored in our last 3 and the 1st round of the P12T. 20-12 with a 10-9 record against the conference heading into another game against UCLA or Oregon is well within the realm of possibility here.
 
Sac State lost. No surprise.
AFA lost on the road, of course. Had a 13 pt halftime lead, got taken into OT at SJSU, and lost. I think they might have the longest road losing streak in the nation now.
Wazzu helped us, though, by beating ASU.
 
Wofford rolled today. They're capable of going on a run to end the season, too.
 
If we win the next 4 and lose in the 2nd round of the P12 tourney (a likely scenario), we will have sandwiched two 10-3 runs around an 0-7 center. I have no profound exposition on this, just an observation of symmetry. Or rather possible symmetry.
 
Keep an eye on the Utah at Oregon State game tonight. Senior Day for OSU and its best remaining chance to get a conference win this year.

Utah leads 28-24 at half. ESPNU.
 
Horrible loss by Utah, they're now definitely in the same boat as the Buffs now and likely need to win the PAC tournament to dance.
 
Buffnik said:
Anyone know the tiebreaker if we sweep the last 3 and end up tied with the Utes at 6/7?
Click to expand...

Is this where that record vs the 1 seed, then 2 seed etc. comes into play? If that's the case, I believe the buffs win over Oregon would give them the tie breaker over Utah, as the Utes haven't beaten any of the top 3 PAC teams.
 
Updated the OP. Everything is riding on Thursday night. Got to beat Utah.
 
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