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StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Four Seed: 02/15/2013

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is now projecting Colorado to be a four seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Buffaloes are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #24 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-7 overall record and a 7-5 record in the Pac 12.
During its last four games, Colorado registered quality wins against AP #9 Arizona and AP #23 Oregon and a win against Oregon State but also suffered some damage with a bad loss to RPI #157 Utah.
Colorado is average against top competition, with a 7-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 4-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 3-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Buffaloes have four quality wins including AP #9 Arizona, AP #23 Oregon, AP #24 Colorado State, and RPI #45 Baylor. Their only bad loss came against RPI #157 Utah.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (19-6, 8-2 C-USA, StatRank #41), California (15-9, 7-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #40), and Alabama (16-8, 8-3 SEC, StatRank #59).
The first four teams out are Florida State (13-11, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #82), Rutgers (13-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #78), Texas A&M (15-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75), and Villanova (15-10, 6-6 Big East, StatRank #71).
The next four out are Maryland (17-7, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #72), Massachusetts (16-7, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #47), Charlotte (18-6, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #48), and Tennessee (13-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75).
Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Colorado
#5Butler
#6New Mexico
#7Illinois
#8Cincinnati
#9Memphis
#10Baylor
#11Iowa State
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Montana
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Georgetown
#5Marquette
#6Oklahoma
#7Kentucky
#8Colorado State
#9UNLV
#10Belmont
#11MTSU
#12Boise State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14FGCU
#15Harvard
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5NC State
#6Oklahoma State
#7Notre Dame
#8Missouri
#9San Diego State
#10La Salle
#11St. John's
#12California
#13Southern Miss
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Long Beach State
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Minnesota
#4Ohio State
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8North Carolina
#9UCLA
#10Ole Miss
#11Stanford
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]
ConfNCAA
Teams		Conf
Teams		Pct in
NCAA
Big East81650.0%
Big Ten71258.3%
Pac 1261250.0%
Big 1261060.0%
Mountain West5862.5%
SEC51241.7%
ACC41233.3%
A-1031421.4%
C-USA21216.7%
Big West1911.1%
Patriot1812.5%
Atlantic Sun11010.0%
West Coast1911.1%
Ivy League1812.5%
Ohio Valley1119.1%
SoCon1128.3%
WAC1812.5%
MAC1128.3%
Sun Belt1128.3%
Big Sky1911.1%
MAAC11010.0%
Big South1119.1%
CAA1128.3%
SWAC11010.0%
Southland1128.3%
America East1911.1%
Horizon11010.0%
Summit League11010.0%
Missouri Valley11010.0%
NEC1128.3%
MEAC1137.7%


Originally posted by Fight CU
Click here to view the article.
 
6 Pac:12 teams? They make everything seem so unrealistic when they do stuff like that.
 
Yeah, we already know the bias of the selection committee won't give us that much credit. Plus the loss at Utah is a ding. Would love anything above a 7; those 7/8 slots are an almost guaranteed 2nd round exit.
 
I don't see a #4 seed as feasible unless we win out and win the tourney...which could happen...but not likely. Somewhere between #6-10 is my completely uninformed guess.
 
I'm not ready to lose the chip on my shoulder, so I have decided to feel disrespected by this StatSheet projection.
 
Region 2 is balls deep with great teams. Indiana, florida, and Kansas. You could make a case for all three to be #1 seeds.
 
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