When I went up to see practice this summer, I was impressed by Dinwiddie. Not only did he look bigger & stronger, but he looked a lot more confident and under control out there. You get the feeling while it's Dre's ball (copyright Snow 2012), it's going to be The Mayor's team. As a freshman, he couldn't really do more than lead by example. This year, I think he's ready to all out lead. It wouldn't surprise me to see him not only become the floor general the team needs, but also the go to guy in the clutch for when the team needs an easy basket. The one defining moment of the practice I was at was when he was trapped in the corner by a double team, somehow escaped baseline and was able to dunk it. It was a thing of beauty, and a thing that Buff fans should get ready to see more of this year. As with Scott, I asked on Twitter yesterday to see what everyone was thinking, and there was a general consensus. Most people are expecting the Mayor to put up 13 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists a game -- all improvements on his freshman year totals of 10.0, 3.6 and 1.8. Now this analysis is yet another stat nerd comparison that will probably cause JG to shake his head as it is in no way scientific and probably has many flaws, but it was a fun little exercise for me to see what we can expect this season. What I did is I went to The Mayor's KenPom page and looked at his comparable players. They were: 2011 Evan Roquemore (Santa Clara) 2006 Brandon Ewing (Wyoming) 2007 David Kool (Western Michigan) 2012 Ty Greene (South Carolina Upstate) 2009 Dominique Morrison (Oral Roberts) Now right off of the bat I'm going to remove Greene. Nothing personal against him, but if I'm using the comparables as precident, it's hard to see anything when someone is in the same class as The Mayor. So that reduces my sample size by one. What I did is I took some basic stats from each of the players and found out how their numbers improved in between their freshmen and sophomore seasons. For this discussion, the most important numbers I looked at were points per game, rebounds per game and assists per game. However, I also wanted to see some "higher level" numbers, so I also looked at %Minutes, O-Rating, %Possession, %Shots, Assist Rate & TO Rate. In general, the numbers broke down like so for their sophomore year as compared to their freshman year: You'll notice that all of the stats improved in between their freshman and sophomore years except for their Offensive Rating. Now this makes sense because each of these guys had more of a burden placed upon them in their second year, so it makes sense that they're less efficient. You will notice that the efficiency rate is a minimal drop however, where as most of hte other stats (specifically PPG & APG) jumped up quite a bit. So if we use those numbers, what can we expect to see the Mayor put up this upcoming season? Now that's purely by the numbers. There are many faults to go along with how I came up with these numbers, so they're just a guideline. But along with that, I would like to do a little tweaking of my own. First off, last season The Mayor was forced to spend a lot of his time at off-guard, and he didn't have the ball in his hands as much as he was used to. That's changing this year. The assists per game are low - period. He's going to be setting people up more. Honestly, I think it's reasonable to expect that he could be putting up 4 or 5 a game. I'm going to go with four to play it safe - mainly because our offensive style involves lots of ballhandlers. His rebounds are probably a touch high. Once again, due to the new position, that needs to be tweaked. When you add in the fact that we gained three ball hungry rebounders this off-season (Josh Scott, Wesley Gordon and Xavier Johnson) and have arguably the best rebounder in college basketball, you're going to lose some opportunities. I'm knocking that one down to 3 rebounds a game. Finally though, we have points. With him back at the point in his comfort level, I think it's going to make him a better scorer as well. 'Nik has said all along that he sees Dinwiddie as a player who will set his teammates up all game to get them going and then when push comes to shove, he's going to take over and force his will on his opponents. So with that, I think it's reasonable to think that The Mayor will put up 15 points, 4 assists and 3 rebounds a game next season -- good enough to get him some All-Pac-12 love (probably second team) and get more and more people realizing that he's one of the better young PG's in the game today. Oh, and one final note -- last year Austin Rivers was the 10th pick in the NBA Draft as a 6'5" combo guard. He scored 15.5 points, grabbed 3.4 rebounds and had 2.1 assists a game. I think the odds of The Mayor getting to celebrate senior night in Boulder are getting slim.