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2013-14 CU MBB SOS Watch (OOC & Pac-12 Opponents)
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
SECOBuffsFan
Active Member
Washington State killed Mississippi Valley State
Buffenuf
massive tool
Utes are 10-1 now---St Kate's doesn't count. SOS is #347. It will be interesting to see what they do vs. the Duckies this week in SLC! Just wear 'em down at the least.
BehindEnemyLines
beware the habu
File that under "bad loss" if the parole tiders pull off the upset.
UCLA over Alabama 75-64
Yesterday’s games all went according to script. The only loss was Jackson St falling to #17 Memphis.
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cubuffs85
Active Member
How many non-neutral site big upsets were there this year? One I can recall is Stanford beating UConn.
When you take out the neutral sites it's a short list:
Our win against Kansas was and upset from an RPI perspective.
USC's win at Dayton was an upset
Those two plus the Stanford game are the only one's I find.
Oregon beats Morgan St. 97-76
USC over Howard 82-60
Stanford over Cal Poly 79-62
Oregon St. over Quinnipiac 76-68
Washington over Hartford 73-67
USC over Howard 82-60
Stanford over Cal Poly 79-62
Oregon St. over Quinnipiac 76-68
Washington over Hartford 73-67
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Today's games
Good day for the Pac.
Updated the OP.
CU's now got the #6 Strength of Schedule and Real Time RPI projects that it will finish as the #3 schedule in the nation. A big reason is that the upcoming Pac-12 schedule is very strong. Every team in the conference is inside the RPI 200, with Oregon and Arizona in the Top 10 and with ASU, UCLA, Stanford, Cal and USC all within the Top 100.
Wyoming, Elon and UCSB all remain surprising strong with RPIs inside the Top 100. Jackson State is just outside at #109.
Monday, 12/30, games we care about:
Oklahoma State hosts Robert Morris
Baylor hosts Oral Roberts
Kansas hosts Toledo
Arkansas State hosts S Arkansas (non D1 game)
UT Martin plays at Jacksonville State
UCSB plays at Seattle
CU's now got the #6 Strength of Schedule and Real Time RPI projects that it will finish as the #3 schedule in the nation. A big reason is that the upcoming Pac-12 schedule is very strong. Every team in the conference is inside the RPI 200, with Oregon and Arizona in the Top 10 and with ASU, UCLA, Stanford, Cal and USC all within the Top 100.
Wyoming, Elon and UCSB all remain surprising strong with RPIs inside the Top 100. Jackson State is just outside at #109.
Monday, 12/30, games we care about:
Oklahoma State hosts Robert Morris
Baylor hosts Oral Roberts
Kansas hosts Toledo
Arkansas State hosts S Arkansas (non D1 game)
UT Martin plays at Jacksonville State
UCSB plays at Seattle
anyone else look at rpi forecast? So we are predicted to finish 22-9 and probably 19 in the country, but here is the strange part. Their win probability algorithm only has us losing 5 more games, so shouldn't they update their prediction to 24-7?
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Colorado.html
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Colorado.html
i just saw that ASU is 11-2... are they a legit 11-2 or are they like a utah who has played noone?
SECOBuffsFan
Active Member
They played a better schedule than Utah...but not overly challenging
You're right Tante, something's not updating right on that site. They have this chart on the team page that shows expected RPI based on record. It say's our end of season rpi should be around 10 if we finish with a 24-7 record. Nothing matches?
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Colorado.html
[h=3]RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD[/h]Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
| Final Record | Expected RPI | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28-3 | 1.3 | 0.06% |
| 27-4 | 3.1 | 0.49% |
| 26-5 | 4.5 | 2.18% |
| 25-6 | 6.9 | 6.93% |
| 24-7 | 10.5 | 12.80% |
| 23-8 | 14.8 | 18.62% |
| 22-9 | 20.2 | 20.28% |
| 21-10 | 26.7 | 18.19% |
| 20-11 | 34.3 | 11.51% |
| 19-12 | 42.5 | 6.01% |
| 18-13 | 52.6 | 2.11% |
| 17-14 | 63.6 | 0.56% |
| 16-15 | 74.9 | 0.20% |
| 15-16 | 83.6 | 0.05% |
nm
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SECOBuffsFan
Active Member
Its your typical bell curve.....22-9 falls as close to the middle as possible
I'm predicting 23-8 right now. And my predictions ALWAYS come true! :lol:
But seriously ... I think it's more than reasonable to assume we'll lose 6 conference games, which won't suck because the Pac 12 is a lot stronger than it was 2 years ago. And given that fact and our overall SOS, not only do we get into the dance easily, but we get a decent seed (4 or 5).
UCSB got a nice win at Seattle. In control the whole game.
Kansas also got a quality win over Toledo, which had come in at 12-0.
Arkansas State, Baylor & Okie Lite took care of business.
Only loss was UT Martin at Jacksonville State, which was the conference opener for both.
********************
On tap for New Year's Eve:
11am MT on ESPNU: Elon plays Duke in Greensboro. (Can't fault Elon for avoiding competition this year. Damn.)
Kansas also got a quality win over Toledo, which had come in at 12-0.
Arkansas State, Baylor & Okie Lite took care of business.
Only loss was UT Martin at Jacksonville State, which was the conference opener for both.
********************
On tap for New Year's Eve:
11am MT on ESPNU: Elon plays Duke in Greensboro. (Can't fault Elon for avoiding competition this year. Damn.)
It's an RPI bump for the Buffs, regardless. I love that game. :lol:
SECOBuffsFan
Active Member
Puke 86 Elon 48
Elon is the Little Engine That Could. They are forecast to lose only one more game (RPI) or two (KenPom) and then run all over their ****ty conference. The one agreed on loss is to UMass, which is #1 in the RPI and still should be Top 5 at worst at the end of the regular season.
Elon will be a constant boost to our RPI from here on out, not that we need it. Barring catastrophe, RPI shouldn't even come up in the committee discussions over CU, unless needed to split hairs over a seed. That is unlikely, as there are many other rules (conference rematches, playing venues, etc) that will come into play first.
Need to start racking up signature wins now for the media and coaches to notice. CU-Oregon is the game of the day on Sunday, but the NFL will hog all the eyeballs.
Not for basketball folks. That's who matter to us right now. We'll have plenty of chances to be on the big stage if we keep winning and moving up the ranks, though. This week is huge for the Buffs.
cubuffs85
Active Member
Let's be real, other than hardcore CU/Oregon fans and people who just hate football and love basketball, NFL playoffs will get much of the attention.
Absolutely. But I'm talking about the basketball writers, talking heads, selection committee folks, etc. That's who I care about impressing on Sunday. All I'm saying.
It doesn't matter who watches Sunday. A win solidifies the Buffs as a top team and we get coverage on sportscenter etc. going forward.