MPGPPGRPGOR%DR%APGTORateSPGBPGFG%3PT%FT%eFG%Poss%ORtgDraftedAndre Roberson (Soph)30.211.611.112.7%29.6%1.216.5%1.31.951.0%38.0%61.4%54.3%21.9%108.7Joey Dorsey (Sr)184.108.40.2065.2%25.7%0.516.5%1.11.964.7%0.0%37.8%64.7%14.7%113.433rd pickKenneth Faried (Sr)34.717.314.519.9%31.6%1.118.1%1.92.362.3%N/A57.7%62.3%25.8%116.222nd pickKawhi Leonard (Jr)32.615.510.611.2%26.6%2.514.6%1.40.644.4%29.1%75.9%47.1%27.5%109.315th pickLuc Richard Mbah a Moute (Sr)29.08.86.09.5%15.7%1.521.1%1.00.547.8%20.0%68.9%48.8%18.8%102.537th pickTyrus Thomas (Frosh)25.9220.127.116.11%26.1%1.318.6%1.03.160.8%100.0%65.7%61.0%22.0%116.14th pick The first thing I want to point out is that this is a very small sample size, so it's hard to read too much into it. Now that that disclaimer is out of the way, I will say that heading in to this exercise, I was still on the fence on if Dre would be smart to go pro after next season. After looking over the numbers, I think it's a foregone conclusion at this point. Assuming Dre stays the same number wise, he's already putting up numbers similar to most of the guys on this list. His rebounding numbers are only worse than Faried's (and it's at this point that I think we all need to look and see just how damn good Faried was his senior year. Those numbers are insane), he only turns the ball over more than Leonard, and he's right in the discussion on steals & blocks per game (no, I didn't use S% & B%, and I realize that JG is silently sighing and shaking his head, but I'm lazy so deal with it). The one area that Dre lags behind is the area that all of us are expecting him to spend the most time improving -- his shooting %. If he can knock his 3 point shooting percentage up a notch or two, that would improve his eFG% and probably knock his Offensive Rating back in to the 110-114 range. That said, yesterday on twitter, JG & Rumblin got into a bit of a discussion on what would be the best course for Dre -- if he should work on rounding out his game and improving his offensive touch or if he should just continue to develop his rebounding and defense so he can go extreme beast mode. Until Rumblin had mentioned it, I had never thought about that path, but he has a good point -- great rebounding and defense is finally starting to be appreciated by NBA GM's (although not as much as it should be yet), so that may be a better path to the NBA for him. It's definitely something to watch this upcoming season. Looking over those numbers, and knowing his athleticism/"potential" (a word all NBA GM's love), I think it's a safe bet to say that Dre would be a first round pick next year. Right now NBADraft.net has him as the #15 pick in the 2013 Draft and DraftExpress has him as the #19 pick. The 2013 NBA Draft won't be nearly as deep as the 2012 draft is, so that is in Dre's favor as well. If he's a first round pick, as much as it would suck for the Buffs 2013-14 squad, you have to say "Go". I hate to say it, but we'd better appreciate Dre this upcoming year as it may be his last in the black & gold. One random note I wanted to add that may only be of interest to me -- On every KenPom page, it will list the "best" statistical matches to other players throughout history. If you look at Kenneth Faried's sophomore year, his most similar comparison is Dre's sophomore year. Just for the hell of it, here are how their two careers have lined up so far: MPGPPGRPGOR%DR%APGTORateSPGBPGFG%3PT%FT%eFG%Poss%ORtgFaried (Frosh)20.210.58.020.2%31.0%0.316.6%1.20.851.6%0.0%58.0%51.6%29.2%100.8Roberson (Frosh)18.104.22.1685.1%25.5%0.918.3%22.214.171.124%34.3%55.3%61.5%16.3%118.3Faried (Soph)30.113.913.016.4%33.8%1.417.8%1.91.955.6%40.0%57.7%55.9%24.6%110.1Roberson (Soph)30.211.611.112.7%29.6%1.216.5%1.31.951.0%38.0%61.4%54.3%21.9%108.7Faried (Jr)30.316.913.016.2%36.7%0.517.1%1.92.356.4%25.0%59.5%56.5%27.8%109.8 If Dre can duplicate the leap in PPG that Faried was able to accomplish in his junior year, we could be looking at a lottery pick.